Although #Erin’s second peak this morning may quickly be halted by well-forecast northerly shear from the ULAC to the west, re-intensification seems to be a possibility as the anticyclone retrogrades & the poleward outflow channel opens appreciably in 24-36 hours (tomorrow PM).
Cannot overstate the massive height field shift with the 12z EPS today. It’s often noted that models do not do well with these large closed lobes aloft, and it cannot be more abundantly clear now. This has resulted in a lot more expansive east coast ridging, pushing Erin west!
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