William Spaniel @gametheory101
Associate professor @PittTweet. Previously @StanfordCISAC and @UofR. Studies war. Also the disembodied voice behind Game Theory 101 on YouTube. williamspaniel.com Pittsburgh, PA Joined July 2011-
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Now have a full cover, with description and blurbs!
Just a week away to the deadline for the Formal Models of Conflict Conference!
My very first co-authored article with @gametheory101 has just been published online in the CMPS. We modify the standard crisis bargaining theory to account for the choice between multiple military strategies. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/07…
We are hosting the Formal Models of Conflict Conference in the fall! See below for the announcement. Deadline is in five weeks.
A tear falls from Anthony Downs, as the internet complains that this phrase is too obscure.
This was an interesting one to make!
Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast
95K Followers 472 Following Tweeting to teach. International Relations and Foreign Policy. @UChicago Prof. @ChicagoCouncil Fellow. @WPReview Columnist.
Keith Schnakenberg @keithschnak
6K Followers 2K Following Associate Professor @WUSTLPoliSci | game theory | political economy | nonsense
Chris Blattman @cblatts
102K Followers 5K Following Economist, political scientist & writer @UChicago @HarrisPolicy. See my book Why We Fight: https://t.co/pwWjDnGY6O
Ryan Brutger @ryan_brutger
4K Followers 1K Following Associate Professor of Political Science. Berkeley. Tweets do not represent the views of my employer. RTs not endorsements. 🏳️🌈
Anne Meng @annemeng_
7K Followers 905 Following Associate Prof of Politics @UVA. 👑 Authoritarian Politics & Democratic Erosion 📕 Author of Constraining Dictatorship
Dr. Amanda Murdie @AmandaMurdie
6K Followers 4K Following International relations, human rights, and NGOs. Head of the Department of International Affairs at UGA. All views are my own.
Ian Turner @ianRturner
4K Followers 2K Following Political Scientist @Yale | Political Institutions | Political Economy | Formal Theory | Pittsburgh Partisan | @WUSTLPoliSci & @PittPolSci alum
Christopher Blair @Chris_W_Blair
2K Followers 2K Following Assistant Prof @Princeton @PUPolitics | Ph.D. @politicsatpenn | Alum @UVA | Borders, Militancy, Forced Displacement, Climate Change, Foreign Policy
Andrew Little @anthlittle
7K Followers 1K Following Associate Prof at UC Berkeley. I use formal theory to study political behavior. https://t.co/asdkOIlS2o
Iza Ding @izading
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Elena Llaudet @ellaudet
9K Followers 8K Following Political Scientist | Associate Professor @Suffolk_U | Harvard PhD | Co-author of Data Analysis for Social Science (with Kosuke Imai @Harvard): https://t.co/I4E4Mkn56p
Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller
25K Followers 1K Following Associate Professor of Government @Dartmouth. I study nuclear proliferation and nonproliferation policy.
Liana Eustacia Reyes,.. @LianaEustacia
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Brenton Kenkel @BrentonKenkel
835 Followers 373 Following Political scientist at Vanderbilt. Political economy, international relations, formal theory.
Victor Asal @Victor_Asal
20K Followers 17K Following @UAlbany Prof. Studies insurgency/ terrorism & Ethnic & LGBTQ Discrimination & Pedagogy. Bluesky is @victorasal.bsky.social
Anton Strezhnev @a_strezh
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Emiel Awad @EmielAwad
1K Followers 893 Following Political Economist. Previously @ Princeton University, London School of Economics, University of Rochester ⳥🇳🇱🇪🇬
Carla Mtz Machain @carlammm
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Cullen Hendrix @cullenhendrix
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Michael Schaefer @Autonomous28
4 Followers 18 Following
Connor Smith 🇺🇸.. @Mozria513
82 Followers 112 Following IT guy, gamer, modder. Texan living in PA. I care mostly about gun rights and strong foreign policy. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
Trister1 @trister1
52 Followers 148 Following
TruthCRE @TruthCRE
135 Followers 662 Following Commercial Real Estate Analyst, Investor, Strategist, Mentor, and Thought Leader. CRE, Finance, Economics, Government, Markets, News, and Deals
liad inon @liad__inon
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Amadeo Aizenberg @amadeoaizen
32 Followers 100 Following
Sampson_18 @Sampson_18
71 Followers 488 Following
TikTak @TIKTAK1919JP
43 Followers 100 Following
Olivier F. Delasalle .. @Ofdelasalle
2K Followers 1K Following Écrivain | 正名 | Bibliophilie, calligraphie, thé et armagnac | Géonaute, cosmopolite enraciné, gascon hebraïsant | constructeur de ponts entre 🇫🇷🇮🇱🇯🇵🇺🇲
Trifon @Trifon18799991
265 Followers 3K Following
John Cooper @JhonCooper
3K Followers 5K Following Charity Director, Dyspraxic, loves books,cycling,radio. Methodist,Political dreamer, 2 child+ love of co-ops, equality,peace&sustainability(All tweets personal)
JamesMBC 🇲🇽 �.. @JMBC_NAFO
580 Followers 2K Following ( ! ) STEM guy. Digital marketing expert. Camping and survival enthusiast. If you don't like human rights, I'll shove them down you throat! #СлаваУкраїні
Ivan Tisto @YParfi
67 Followers 90 Following
Lim, Thing-han @LimThingHan
18 Followers 131 Following Software engineer #Haskell #Golang 無言フォロー失礼します
Al J Amador @AlJAmador1
8 Followers 49 Following Retired Telecom Engineer and Reagan Republican (NOT MAGA)
Father Zach Harbour @zharbour51
212 Followers 333 Following ordained minister, so that makes me your daddy in more ways than one. he/him/DILF
Otonashi/おとなし.. @Otonashikuun
363 Followers 3K Following Hololive, animals, and traveling ホロライブ • 動物 • 旅行 • ジャポニー大家族 Header: 桜チーター
Kudłaty @kudlaty0
34 Followers 110 Following kibic WKS🇮🇹🇮🇹🇮🇹, student (debil) oraz wannabe politolog
Michael Martin @mmartinjr78
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Bright @wangbowenmax
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Niaaz @NiaazAwe
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MR.WEIBEL @misterweibel
140 Followers 612 Following Living in Bangkok. Twitter for some comments, rants and snapshots (mostly, possibly, of dogs, cats & food). Never too far from the next cup of coffee.
emccoy @iamtrmccoy
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نومی @nominomee
588 Followers 2K Following بارگاہِ الہی میں اعمال کا قبولیت کے لیے پیش ہونا صحیح عقائد سے مشروط ہے
Sam @samballew
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8 Followers 15 Following
Josua Zurbrügg @josuazurbruegg
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DerpY 🇺🇲🏳️.. @DerpYticmain
72 Followers 145 Following
Matt Schwartz — e/a.. @MoriorInvictus6
326 Followers 1K Following
Christopher Voß @VoChristopher
142 Followers 669 Following This is one of those views which are so absurd that only very learned men could possibly adopt them. - Bertrand Russell
Buny07 @Buny071
81 Followers 639 Following
Paul Poast @ProfPaulPoast
95K Followers 472 Following Tweeting to teach. International Relations and Foreign Policy. @UChicago Prof. @ChicagoCouncil Fellow. @WPReview Columnist.
Keith Schnakenberg @keithschnak
6K Followers 2K Following Associate Professor @WUSTLPoliSci | game theory | political economy | nonsense
Ethan BdM @ethanbdm
11K Followers 549 Following Ethan Bueno de Mesquita. Studying conflict, accountability, and political economy @HarrisPolicy. "A tragic waste of intellectual potential." - R2
Chris Blattman @cblatts
102K Followers 5K Following Economist, political scientist & writer @UChicago @HarrisPolicy. See my book Why We Fight: https://t.co/pwWjDnGY6O
Ryan Brutger @ryan_brutger
4K Followers 1K Following Associate Professor of Political Science. Berkeley. Tweets do not represent the views of my employer. RTs not endorsements. 🏳️🌈
Anne Meng @annemeng_
7K Followers 905 Following Associate Prof of Politics @UVA. 👑 Authoritarian Politics & Democratic Erosion 📕 Author of Constraining Dictatorship
Dr. Amanda Murdie @AmandaMurdie
6K Followers 4K Following International relations, human rights, and NGOs. Head of the Department of International Affairs at UGA. All views are my own.
Ian Turner @ianRturner
4K Followers 2K Following Political Scientist @Yale | Political Institutions | Political Economy | Formal Theory | Pittsburgh Partisan | @WUSTLPoliSci & @PittPolSci alum
Christopher Blair @Chris_W_Blair
2K Followers 2K Following Assistant Prof @Princeton @PUPolitics | Ph.D. @politicsatpenn | Alum @UVA | Borders, Militancy, Forced Displacement, Climate Change, Foreign Policy
Andrew Little @anthlittle
7K Followers 1K Following Associate Prof at UC Berkeley. I use formal theory to study political behavior. https://t.co/asdkOIlS2o
Iza Ding @izading
6K Followers 1K Following Associate Professor of Political Science at @NorthwesternU • Author of The Performative State https://t.co/aQGRzhmpQn • writing a book on environmentalism
Nicholas Miller @Nick_L_Miller
25K Followers 1K Following Associate Professor of Government @Dartmouth. I study nuclear proliferation and nonproliferation policy.
Brenton Kenkel @BrentonKenkel
835 Followers 373 Following Political scientist at Vanderbilt. Political economy, international relations, formal theory.
Nathan Jensen @NateMJensen
11K Followers 2K Following Professor of Government at UT Austin and dad of 3. Retweets are official statements from an NFL owner (1 share of the Packers).
Victor Asal @Victor_Asal
20K Followers 17K Following @UAlbany Prof. Studies insurgency/ terrorism & Ethnic & LGBTQ Discrimination & Pedagogy. Bluesky is @victorasal.bsky.social
Anton Strezhnev @a_strezh
3K Followers 2K Following Assistant Professor @UChicagoPoliSci - Formerly @NYUDataScience, @pennlaw
Emiel Awad @EmielAwad
1K Followers 893 Following Political Economist. Previously @ Princeton University, London School of Economics, University of Rochester ⳥🇳🇱🇪🇬
Carla Mtz Machain @carlammm
4K Followers 2K Following Professor of Political Science at #UBuffalo; @ISQ_Jrnl associate editor; international conflict & foreign policy; @RiceUniversity PhD; foodie; mexicanita
Cullen Hendrix @cullenhendrix
6K Followers 2K Following Senior Fellow @PIIE & @CntrClimSec. Sustainability, security, and political economy. Heart masquerading as head since 1977.
Hilary Matfess @HilaryMatfess
15K Followers 4K Following Asst. Prof @JosefKorbel, non-res fellow @CSISAfrica, 📚 @ZedBooks. Prev: ✌️Fellow @USIP, @Yale, @SAISAfrica.💗reading, running, & coffee.
Dale Copeland @Copela1492
2K Followers 3K Following Professor, UVa. Author: A World Safe for Commerce (Princeton UP, 2024); Economic Interdependence and War (PUP, 2015); Origins of Major War (Cornell UP, 2000).
Dmitri Alperovitch @DAlperovitch
203K Followers 2K Following Geopolitics, NatSec, Great Power Competition, Cybersecurity. Chairman @SilveradoPolicy; Host @GeopolDecanted; Founder @alperovitch; Co-Founder @CrowdStrike
Dom Nicholls @DomNicholls
18K Followers 387 Following Associate Editor and fella at the Telegraph. [email protected] Failed Jotes 1, passed Officers Week. Hope for us all.
Chris Cappy @Cappyarmy
7K Followers 403 Following Iraq War infantry veteran casual Military and Geopolitical Analysis 1 million on Youtube 👇
Dara Massicot @MassDara
77K Followers 573 Following Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Russia and Eurasia Program, focusing on defense issues in Russia. Opinions mine RTs not endorsements.
Mark Galeotti @MarkGaleotti
124K Followers 360 Following Mayak Intelligence, @UCLSSEES, @RUSI_org, @IIR_Prague. Analyst of murky topics from Russian politics to global crime. Views my own
Theo Milonopoulos @MilonopoulosT
2K Followers 2K Following Asst. Professor. Alum @Columbia, @StanfordCISAC, @ClementsCenter, @perryworldhouse. IR, civ-mil, tech. Star Wars, coffee, dogs. He/him. Personal account.
Carrie A Lee @CarrieALee1
4K Followers 916 Following Personal account, Leader & public servant: Democracy/war, Civ-Mil, Natsec. Member @CFR_org, Fellow @CNASdc, @TrumanProject. Dog mom, wife, & running enthusiast.
ChrisO_wiki @ChrisO_wiki
196K Followers 339 Following Independent military history author and researcher. Also at https://t.co/T008p5JDEr
João Alípio-Correa @joaoalipioapc
512 Followers 759 Following PhD Student - Political Science @PittTweet | @ufmg | Methods | Comparative Politics | Democratic erosion
Aala Abdelgadir @a_abdelgadir
449 Followers 1K Following PoliSci postdoc @Princeton | PhD @Stanford | Formerly @CFR @Yale | Studying Muslim identity & politics in Europe & Sub-Saharan Africa.
Sean Ehrlich @SeanDEhrlich
4K Followers 1K Following Associate professor of Political Science at FSU. Studies globalization, democratic institutions, & the EU. My new book is now for sale: https://t.co/qfarROvSaX
Robert Trager @RobertTrager
543 Followers 510 Following Luddite-futurist, concerned anti-alarmist, hoping to live to the full contradiction of the time. Director, Oxford AIGI
Branislav Slantchev @slantchev
4K Followers 260 Following Professor of Political Science at the University of California San Diego IR theory and conflict, formal modeling. All views expressed here are strictly personal
Sara Wallace Goodman @ThatSaraGoodman
9K Followers 3K Following Chancellor's Fellow & Dean's Professor of Political Science @UCIrvine. I don't really use this account anymore.
Carlisle Rainey @carlislerainey
2K Followers 775 Following 👋 plaudit-winning author 🆕 sharing social science and methods 🧪 thoughts on #openscience 👨🏫 political scientist at FSU 💪 proponent of p-values
Dotan Haim @DotanHaim
1K Followers 1K Following Dad. Political Scientist. Assistant Professor at Florida State. Interested in conflict, policing, social networks, and Southeast Asia.
Tymofiy Mylovanov @Mylovanov
95K Followers 1K Following President, Kyiv School of Economics; Minister of economy, Ukraine, 2019-2020; Associate professor, University of Pittsburgh
Institute for the Stu.. @TheStudyofWar
717K Followers 3K Following ISW is a policy research organization focused on U.S. national security. Email: [email protected]. For more: https://t.co/FO1PVyOnYB
Death Star PR @DeathStarPR
307K Followers 446 Following The Galactic Empire has been getting a bad rap. We're here to set the record straight. Email: [email protected]
Diana O'Brien @dianazobrien
5K Followers 2K Following Professor of Political Science at @WUSTLPoliSci researching the causes and consequences of women's political representation. Tweets are my own.
Eugene Finkel @eugene_finkel
33K Followers 1K Following Professor, Johns Hopkins SAIS. Study horrible things, write books. The current one: https://t.co/6UErKPmdMM
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32K Followers 183 Following Political economist, John Dewey Distinguished Service Professor, @HarrisPolicy at @UChicago.
Mick Ryan, AM @WarintheFuture
347K Followers 1K Following Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | @CSIS Fellow | @LowyInstitute | #BannedInRussia
Tiffany D. Barnes @tiffanydbarnes
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clayton thyne @thynec
77 Followers 64 Following
Shashank Joshi @shashj
199K Followers 2K Following Defence editor at @TheEconomist, Visiting fellow at @warstudies King's College London.
Schlasser @UrinatingTree
122K Followers 246 Following I yell at clouds and call it shitposting. Don't know when to shut up. Still have no remorse for it. For Uche.
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237 Followers 29 Following Exploring what Twitter has to offer, and making some puns along the way...
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Illia Ponomarenko �.. @IAPonomarenko
1.3M Followers 2K Following Live straight out of Bucha Buy Me a Coffee: https://t.co/2jsZNdSj2u Also find me on BlueSky: https://t.co/rqus6D0CZd
Zhejun Qiu @zhejunq
126 Followers 333 Following PhD student at @PittPolSci | Alum @SAISHopkins @Tsinghua_Uni | Political Violence
Ukraine Battle Map @ukraine_map
346K Followers 624 Following Live Ukraine battle map is updated all the time. Showing cities and villages being under Ukraine or Russia control.
Mei Yu @MeiYu1028
81 Followers 174 Following PhD Candidate in Political Science | University of Rochester | War and Intervention | Formal Theory
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340 Followers 438 Following I am here to talk about international trade, conflict, and also stuff I don't know anything about. Assistant Professor at Florida State University.
Angel Villegas-Cruz �.. @AngelVillegasCr
243 Followers 733 Following Ph.D. Candidate at @psupolisci and Asian Studies / IR, Public diplomacy, Social media, Chinese foreign policy / 🇵🇷 / 北师大 and @uprrp Alum
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67 Followers 130 Following Incoming Research Fellow @tcddublin | PhD Candidate @PittPolsci | Alumni @PKU1898 @stonybrooku
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525 Followers 850 Following PhD in Political Science, UC Merced 2023. Political Violence, Repression & Dissent, & Game Theory. He/Him
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186 Followers 262 Following Ph.D. student @PittPolSci, MA @BilkentIRDept, BA @bilkentpols
Ambassador Nicholas B.. @USAmbChina
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451K Followers 320 Following Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment. Defense analysis with a focus on the Russian and Ukrainian militaries.
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553 Followers 385 Following Researcher and teacher of international relations. A music fanatic and collector of vinyl records who (used to) travel a lot.
Sasha de Vogel @sashadevo
1K Followers 466 Following Political scientist & post-doc at Harvard's Weatherhead Center for International Affairs. I study Russia, authoritarianism and protest.
I have a lot of fond memories of talking to Bob about this paper on our Zoom calls. I’m so glad it’s published and out in the world! Huge thanks to @jackpaine_prof for having this idea in the first place & the JTP team for making it happen
🚨Pleased to announce Bob Powell's final paper published at JTP! 🚨 Model of authoritarian power sharing and the problems of weak institutions. I wrote an accompanying comment. Submitted on behalf of Bob's estate by me, @annemeng_, and Ernesto Dal Bo journals.sagepub.com/home/jtp
@arthur_spirling Run a conjoint experiment
Lab summer bbq 2023 ! Very proud of this group for all their hard work and for creating an awesome lab environment! And as always, 5 points if you can spot the husky lurking
@gametheory101 if this is william spaniel that makes the you tube videos about Ukraine War, I have watched about 100 hours of said videos from dozens of sources, YOU make the smartest and most accurate videos by far. honorable mention = infographics. Plz keep making videos!
Now that we’ve had a few hours to digest the ICC arrest warrant for Vladimir Putin, it’s time to think about the political implications. A long 🧵... nytimes.com/live/2023/03/1…
Exclusive: For @YahooNews, @holger_r and I have obtained the Russian Presidential Administration's strategy plan for installing a pro-Russian government in Moldova. A collaboration with a team of international investigative partners. #kremlinovici: news.yahoo.com/exclusive-russ…
Shoigu & Gerasimov are taking their long-awaited revenge on Prigozhin against the backdrop of the Battle of Bakhmut. A 🧵on how this conflict between Prigozhin and Russian MoD came to be & what it looks like now.
NEW: Tonight's #Ukraine update establishes a comprehensive timeline of the rivalry between #Wagner Group financier Yevgeny #Prigozhin and the #Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD), which likely reached a boiling point over #Bakhmut. w/ @criticalthreats isw.pub/UkrWar031223
@maximananyev The “jaw-dropping result” is them claiming the 27% response rate for face-to-face at home interviews: levada.ru/2023/02/10/voz… A good review of that self-own article can be found at medium.com/@goncharov.art…
For some reason, this jaw-dropping result got unnoticed. Levada was doing list experiments on attitudes to the war since last March. Estimated bias was 0 in March but then started to grow reaching 25-30% by Nov. So, the real support for the war can be not 60-70%, but 30-40%.
🧵#Russia likely began to run out of combat-ready forces by May 2022, forcing Russian President Vladimir #Putin to make a consequential choice between launching a volunteer recruitment campaign or ordering an unpopular involuntary reserve call-up. (1/25) isw.pub/UkrWar022623
NEW: Tonight's abbreviated #Ukraine update focuses on #Putin’s attempt to avoid ordering involuntary mobilization in #Russia by launching a series of irregular volunteer force generation campaigns since late May 2022 and the consequences of that attempt. isw.pub/UkrWar022623
@Mike_Stewart It does. So far, the Central Bank is still independent enough, so it will raise rates. The result will be that private (investment) demand is replaced by state (war) demand. In that sense, the effect is similar to government borrowing / crowding out.
<THREAD>Russia has suspended its participation in New START--does it matter? (Spoiler alert: Yes!) Andrey has a great thread below on the details of the Russian announcement; I'm going to assess its significance. (1/n)
BRKN. President Putin in his address to the Russian Parliament announces that Moscow will suspend implementation of the New START. This is really-really unfortunate, and the downward trend is now clear. I will write a thread below 1/x
BRKN. President Putin in his address to the Russian Parliament announces that Moscow will suspend implementation of the New START. This is really-really unfortunate, and the downward trend is now clear. I will write a thread below 1/x
@slantchev @KofmanMichael @mbudjeryn Yes, that is why the two phrases are in quotes.
@ProfPaulPoast @KofmanMichael @mbudjeryn I really hope the book is better than the summary suggests. Ukraine never had any nuclear deterrent. That's a myth. No operational control, no second strike, nothing. The nukes were useless. That's why they got a crap deal to return them to Russia.
OTD 55 years ago, President Lyndon Johnson’s national security adviser, Walt Rostow, warned him about FRACTURE JAW, a secret operation authorized by Gen. William Westmoreland to transport nuclear weapons to South Vietnam and prepare to use them to prevent a US defeat at Khe Sanh.
I write in @ForeignAffairs on the potentially perilous moments of Russian nuclear protocols foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/how-ru…
Russia's #budget in January 2023: Revenue: -35.1% compared to Jan 22. Expenditure: +58.7% compared to Jan 22. Deficit in January alone: >1% of GDP. Total deficit in 2023 will be higher than planned, but unusual January data may be 2022 spending overhang. minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-cente…
IMF estimates RF economy will grow 0.3% this year. We think it should be closer to 6% contraction. How come it can grow with the loss of key energy export market and all other sanctions? Our analysis: kse.ua/about-the-scho…
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