Jaap Oosterwijk @jaap_o
vooral random retweets. hier privé Assen Joined July 2009-
Tweets12K
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Following2K
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Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
An important pointer for the make up of the French Parliament and the next Presidential elections…. **within** the left coalition it is a doubling of moderate Parti Socialiste MPs which is driving the rise of the left coalition. Melenchon hasn’t made many gains at all.
An important pointer for the make up of the French Parliament and the next Presidential elections…. **within** the left coalition it is a doubling of moderate Parti Socialiste MPs which is driving the rise of the left coalition. Melenchon hasn’t made many gains at all.
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Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Has anyone else seen any other claims of Reform candidates being fake?
Has anyone else seen any other claims of Reform candidates being fake?
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
france 24 so shocked by the exit poll they didnt have time to adjust the graphic
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Trump keeps signaling he wants to use military tribunals to jail political foes, something the Supreme Court now makes possible. Why aren't we talking about that? thenation.com/article/politi…
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
THREAD: Another point missed by the many many Westminster (& other local) media on Bristol Central is Q why ARE Labour throwing the absolute kitchen sink at it (& not as much at 4 seats around Bristol where they could beat Tories) I thought it was obvious why: the 2028 election
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Looks like there were three big transfers of seats on the night 🔵🔴 179 Con -> Lab 🟡🔴 35 SNP -> Lab 🔵🟠 57 Con -> Lib (kudos to @narottammedhora for this brilliant sankey chart) @thetimes #ge24 thetimes.com/uk/politics/ar…
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Here's how close the Tories came to being the third party (by seats). There are just 42 seats in England and Wales where their votes was bigger than the combined Lab/Lib Dem one. They survived because there were just enough seats where the tactical vote choice wasn't obvious.
🚮🚮🚮
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
AND I'm all for talking about Reform. It's going to be a massive part of the next parliament. But we also need to talk in the same way about the Greens, who won the same number of seats and who also pose a long term threat to Lab and Tory.
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
@James_BG Two problems with this, I think: 1) Absent tactical voting, Labour gets a *lower* vote share, not a higher one (see below) 2) People increasingly vote Green not just for the lolz, but because they don’t like Labour. Green vote up this year is a significant part of Lab vote down
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
An important sub-plot in this GE was the contrasting campaign styles of Reform and the Greens. In the end, it was a score draw.
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
NEW: Astounding result. Labour GAIN Bury St Edmunds in Suffolk. Has been Conseravtive since 1820.
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Shockat Adam (Independent) defeats shadow frontbencher Jonathan Ashworth in Leicester South, running on a pro-Gaza ticket, in one of the biggest shocks in a constituency result
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Jeremy Corbyn received over than 5,000 more votes in Islington North than Keir Starmer received in Holborn and St Pancras.
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Broadcast. The. Declarations.
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
@stephenkb Yep 100 MPs with Reform second and 30 with Greens second. Fun times.
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
@Beyond_Topline Can read it here: archive.is/Vi7XC
Jaap Oosterwijk retweeted
Prediction If Labour win 400+ seats but Ref*rm win about 7, we'll be bombarded with articles about how Labour still haven't 'sealed the deal' by people who insisted that 52% of the vote is an overwhelming majority that gives you a blank cheque to do whatever batshittery you like
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