Jerg Gutmann 🇺🇦 @jerggutmann
@UniHH @CESifoNetwork, formerly @UniFreiburg @Uni_MR Research on #PoliticalEconomy, #InstitutionalEconomics, #LawandEconomics, and #InternationalSanctions. jerg-gutmann.de Hamburg, Germany Joined September 2013-
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Join us for #IIEA Panel #29 on "Sanctions & Human Rights" on Wed, 10 Sep 2025, 17:00 CET! Speaker Dursun Peksen (@uofmpolisci ) on "Political Repression in Post-Sanctions Countries." Sign up at iraneconomics.org/webinars #Webinar #HumanRights #Sanctions
Leader Similarity and International Sanctions by Jerg Gutmann, Pascal Langer, Matthias Neuenkirch papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Presenting at the Peace, Democracy & Media Conf. (Leiden): Our study (@jerggutmann) shows that sanctions intensify protest & terrorism risk in #Iran, but reduce civil war risk. “Rally around the flag” effects may explain this. WVS data support rising pride & fight willingness.
A national forum on the economic impact of constitutional design choices is opening soon in Mogadishu, organized by @MojSomalia. It brings together key ministries, the Central Bank, constitutional bodies, and international partners. #Somalia #Governance
International Sanctions and Internal Conflict: The Case of Iran presented by @jerggutmann at ERF 31st Annual Conference (@ERFlatest #Cairo): youtu.be/iKas_IzrfI8?si… (early draft of study: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…) #Iran #Sanction #Conflict
Does it matter where the Pope travels to? Seems likes "yes"
With pleasure we invite you to the next meeting of CEAPS Seminar Series - Season 1 at @EconUW💥 We host distinguished speakers specilizing in topics at the intersection of economics, law, and political science. Check out Episode 6️⃣ feat. @jerggutmann (University of Hamburg)👇
My joint article with Marek Endrich (@VUBrussel) has been accepted for publication at @cps_journal. We show that host governments strategically improve human rights protection before papal visits. doi.org/10.1177/001041…
10/ Please help share our extended replication to stop the spread of this erroneous policy evaluation! Read the new report here: econstor.eu/handle/10419/3…
@SecRubio This is democracy. This decision is the result of a thorough & independent investigation to protect our Constitution & the rule of law. It is independent courts that will have the final say. We have learnt from our history that rightwing extremism needs to be stopped.
This has probably been the least successful first hundred days of a presidency @realDonaldTrump on the economy in the last century. We have seen the stock market go down, the dollar go down, forecasts of unemployment go up, forecasts of inflation go up, forecasts on the odds of a…
Supporting Powell's argument, here's research on the impact of academic freedom and science on economic productivity... onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.100…
Supporting Powell's argument, here's research on the impact of academic freedom and science on economic productivity... onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.100… https://t.co/YT70kG6HQg
1/7 Our @CESifoNetwork WP study examines why U.S. sanctions induce instability in some states but not others. Analyzing 120+ countries (1996-2022), we find corruption levels critically determine outcomes. dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.… #Sanctions #Conflict #Corruption
For Almond and Verba (1963), education is the foundation of a civic culture, strengthening support for democratic values. Here's some new evidence from the 2024 US-WVS. No wonder academic freedom & autonomy are attacked by authoritarian forces.
"National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946! From @VinPons, @benjaminmarx and @vincent_rollet. The companion paper: restud.com/electoral-turn… #EconSky #Elections
"National Elections Database," including the results of 1,023 presidential and 2,962 parliamentary elections conducted worldwide since 1946! From @VinPons, @benjaminmarx and @vincent_rollet. The companion paper: restud.com/electoral-turn… #EconSky #Elections https://t.co/DJhnKHGHFD
Available now at our website: Gutmann, J., Sarel, R. & Voigt, S. Measuring constitutional loyalty. Public Choice (2025). doi.org/10.1007/s11127…
Happy to share that our paper on constitutional loyalty, jointly written with #JergGutmann and #RoeeSarel is available here: rdcu.be/ecKe7 COVID hit all countries at about the same time which enables us to elicit constitutional loyalty across countries. #econtwitter
Measuring constitutional loyalty link.springer.com/article/10.100…
In autocracies, journalists are often harassed, but those episodes are a part of a bigger strategy to discipline the press in critical moments, to generate more favorable coverage from previously critical voices - thus disrupting mass mobilization. Evidence from Russia
New, first-of-its-kind research by @jerggutmann, Pascal Langer, and Matthias Neuenkirch confirms the logical conclusion: US-EU sanctions increase migration from targeted countries by >20%!! (3/7) sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
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