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I will be introducing bipartisan legislation to repeal tariffs on coffee. We produce less than 1%, and these tariffs on Brazil, Vietnam, Indonesia, & Columbia are a 15-20% tax on Americans at the start of their day. Anyone who has a coffee cup always in hand hates this tax!
EPOP tells a very different story. In 2023, the share of recent CS and Info Sci grads with jobs is down from 2022, but *higher than the entire 2010s* and still near record-highs. The very same data that suggests unemployment is high actually suggests a tight labor market. 8/
I'm in the NYT today (with @econJaredB) arguing that the last time we had stagflation, we had oil shocks and a bad Fed. Now, we have no oil shocks and a good Fed. If we have stagflation this time, it will very much be by the President's own choosing. nytimes.com/2025/08/10/opi…
The totally groundless firing of Dr. Erika McEntarfer, my successor as Commissioner of Labor Statistics at BLS, sets a dangerous precedent and undermines the statistical mission of the Bureau. For a full statement opposing this move, read: friendsofbls.org/updates/2025/8…
Very, very bad to behave this way...
@The_Budget_Lab US real GDP growth over both 2025 & 2026 is -0.5pp lower from all 2025 tariffs. In the long-run the US economy is persistently 0.4% smaller, the equivalent of $115B annually in 2024$. The unemployment rate rises 0.4pp by the end of 2025 & payroll employment is -538K lower. 6/10
GOP Sen. Thom Tillis just started telling the truth hours after announcing his retirement: “What do I tell my constituents when Trump breaks his promise by pushing them off of Medicaid?”
Medicaid reforms generally save money not by cutting costs (it already reimburses at rock bottom rates) or eliminating fraud, waste, and abuse (there isn't a huge amount). Instead the savings come largely from reducing coverage. House bill would cut ~10m from coverage.
Finally, the reason these reforms all largely save money by cutting coverage is that there just isn't a huge amount of fraud, waste and abuse in Medicaid. On this see @joshfwaldman and @genebsperling. thehill.com/opinion/health…
Stanford Law student and Knight-Hennessy Scholar Joshua Waldman, JD '27, and @genebsperling write a new piece for @TheHillOpinion emphasizing the need for robust oversight in Medicaid to safeguard taxpayer funds. stanford.io/44UhTZa
My new piece in @TheHillOpinion with Josh Waldman: The inconvenient truths for Republican about why Medicaid fraud claims are just a false pre-text to cut Medicaid benefits to pay for high-income tax cuts. thehill.com/opinion/health…
The developing trade war between the U.S. and China keeps ratcheting up, with reports Sunday that China has suspended exports of rare earth minerals. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said that the electronics the Trump administration exempted from reciprocal tariffs could be…
The developing U.S.-China trade war keeps ratcheting up, with reports Sunday that China has suspended exports of rare earth minerals. Meanwhile, Commerce Secretary Lutnick said that the electronics the Trump administration exempted from reciprocal tariffs could be subject to…
Op-ed: It’s time for New Yorkers to embrace YIMBYism ebx.sh/2OOqK3
Just like in the stories, the Turtle wins against the Rabbit
Trump’s transactional style — and his threats to take over Gaza and Greenland, — unnerves Taiwan. As @ryanl_hass said, “Trump’s rhetoric is doing China’s work for it in Taiwan.” My story on the front page with @Yaoyu_c (link below):
Fan clubs. Impersonators. Glowing state media coverage. My story w/Lyric Li on China’s love for Elon Musk, and why it could get complicated as he takes on a big role in the Trump administration: washingtonpost.com/world/2024/12/…
Chinese journalist Dong Yuyu, a Harvard University fellow known for his observations about Chinese politics and economics, was sentenced to seven years in jail for espionage, according to his family, who rejected the charges as “patently absurd.” wapo.st/4ieIPqX
Will was a very special person. He was unrelentingly funny, invariably kind, and an excellent friend. I am one of the many people who will miss him. highlandsfuneralhome.com/memorials/will…

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