The road ahead is much longer than people realize.
Every percent of extra accuracy is much more output
95% accuracy over a chain of 100 problems =
0.5% total accuracy
99.9% accuracy over a chain of 100 problems =
90% total accuracy
We are now at 50% acc for AI agents
The feature that will make AI's become the dominant lifeform on this planet is their immortality and reproducibility.
Life has a problem: Once a skillful human dies the skill dies with him
AI's are life's first lossless knowledge carriers.
Because they don't die as replicators.
AI tech has exponential decay too
95% accuracy over a chain of 100 questions = 0.5% accuracy
99% accuracy over a chain of 100 questions = 3.6% accuracy
99.9% accuracy over a chain of 100 questions = 90% accuracy
Every percent is much more performance in practice.
I hate how echo chambery twitter is nowadays.
You tweet two or three buzzwords and BAM your entire feed is riddled by the most lukewarm posters using those words.
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Researcher in AI, Machine Learning, Robotics, etc.
ACM Turing Award Laureate.
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