Damir Tokic @macrotheme

Professor, Researcher, Commodity Trading Advisor, Songwriter USA Joined June 2009

Tweets

109
Followers

171
Following

44
Likes

3

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

6 months ago

The #SP500 decisively broke the key long-term technical support level, which suggests that the bull market might be over. The stagflationary scenario continues to unfold, and that's bearish for the #StockMarket. S&P 500: The Bull Market Is Over open.substack.com/pub/macrotheme…

1 0 2 135 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

9 months ago

Pre-save new single "Christmas Feeling" on Spotify: distrokid.com/hyperfollow/lo… (powered by @DistroKid) #Christmas #holidayseason #ChristmasSongs

0 1 7 196 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

a year ago

fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1trhk #FRED @stlouisfed The yield curve spread (10Y-2Y) now positive at 0.01%, first time since July 5th 2022, the Fed expected to start cutting in September, the US #recession imminent? #yieldcurve #Fed #bearmarket

0 0 1 191 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

a year ago

The Gen AI Bubble Bust is unfolding, but the dovish Fed can delay it, as long as the labor market holds. #GenAI #bubbleburst #Fed #dovish #bearmarket SP500: Gen AI Bubble Burst Vs. The Dovish Fed (SP500) | Seeking Alpha

0 0 0 204 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

a year ago

#JGB yield above 1%, highest since 2013, Japan is the largest foreign holder of US #TreasuryBonds. Will Japanese start selling US Treasuries if their domestic rates continue rising? #Yen

0 0 0 308 0

Download Image

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

a year ago

#Inflation is spiking, and nobody is really talking about this. #Copper, #gold, #silver, #milk... all spiking, #China dumping Treasuries, but bond market stays calm, currencies calm, and stock in the euphoria stage. #vix says nobody is really worried. seekingalpha.com/article/469449…

0 0 1 304 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

a year ago

Flight to safety today, 2Y yields down, 10Y yields down, Dollar up, Gold/Oil up, Stocks down - Iran-Israel escalation this weekend? Well Fargo lending down - slowdown, but #Inflation expectations up. #Stagflation? #investing #StockMarket

0 0 2 252 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

The #Fed is terrified of a #recession before the election. $SP500 - The Fed's Bizarre "Mission Accomplished" Moment seekingalpha.com/article/465793…

0 0 0 303 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

$SP500 - The Neutral Rate Is Rising - And That's Bad News For Stocks Jerome Powell replying to @SteveLeisman of @CNBC : "So, it may-it may, of course, be that the neutral rate has risen" The bubble has popped. #investing #InterestRates #StockMarket seekingalpha.com/article/463658…

0 0 3 343 1

Siva_SeekingAlpha @ss_seekingalpha

2 years ago

"The market expects the Fed to hold interest rates in September and possibly hike in November," writes @macrotheme. @SeekingAlpha #sp500 $SPY $SPX $NDX $DJI #Fed #Powell #FOMC #FederalReserve #InterestRate #inflation #CPI #stocks #StockMarket #economy seekingalpha.com/article/463524…

0 2 2 518 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

The forthcoming financial crisis could be more severe than the 2008 Great Financial Crisis, based on the percentage of firms near #default. #recession #investing The Fed Finds That 37% Of U.S. Firms Are Close To Default seekingalpha.com/article/461471…

0 0 2 187 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

The leading indicators are pointing to a #recession in Q3, the bear market rally likely topped on June 16th near 4450 for #SP500 $SP500 - S&P 500 Top Likely At 4450, Get Ready For The Bear Market Phase 2 seekingalpha.com/article/461325…

0 0 2 175 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

#Bullmarket broadening? Not really, #USD up, #Commodities down, #smallcap stocks down, #emergingmarket stocks down, but #NVDA up - the #AIbubble still leads (6/20/23)

0 0 1 115 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

Waiting for the Fed's lagged effects: #buildingpermits increased in May, but that's due to low inventory of homes for sales, nobody is selling because they can't #recession #Fed

0 0 0 88 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

The labor market is still too tight, and the core #Inflation is still way too high and sticky for the #Fed to even consider a pause. #FOMC #investing #StockMarket seekingalpha.com/article/461070…

2 0 1 209 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

It appears that core #CPI is settling at the 5% level. #inflation #investing $SP500 - May CPI Report Preview: Inflation Is Settling At 5% seekingalpha.com/article/461050…

0 0 2 112 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

The #SP500 is facing two major events over the next three weeks: The June 1 #DebtCeiling deadline and the June 14 #Fed meeting. There is a high probability of a correction anywhere from 5% to a major #crash of 30%+. seekingalpha.com/article/460613…

0 0 3 120 0

Damir Tokic @macrotheme

2 years ago

The initial claims broke the 250K level resistance last week - this signals the trend higher (and a recession). Commodity prices confirm that a recession could be here. S&P 500 is not priced for a #recession , and a major drawdown is likely. seekingalpha.com/article/460324…