Matt Blackwell @matt_blackwell
Associate Professor, @Harvard. Political scientist researching statistical methodology and US politics. he/his also at @[email protected] mattblackwell.org Cambridge, MA Joined January 2009-
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Given the engaged/nonengaged split on support for Biden, I do wonder if these priorities would be the same for likely young voters.
Given the engaged/nonengaged split on support for Biden, I do wonder if these priorities would be the same for likely young voters.
Athenian incumbents keep winning
Totally agree and there are actually a ton of UG students that get the quant bug once they get exposed. They end up really wanting deep substance combined with deep methods skills.
Totally agree and there are actually a ton of UG students that get the quant bug once they get exposed. They end up really wanting deep substance combined with deep methods skills.
Done another semester teaching causal inference🙂. Updated my course slides, added survival data, labs, corrected more typos this time. Close to 800 pages now. Always more to update next year. www2.stat.duke.edu/~fl35/CausalIn…
“Campus protest arrests make a stressful time so take a mental health break with one of our pet therapy dogs!!”
👀 new batch of polls today, trend looking better for Biden
👀 new batch of polls today, trend looking better for Biden https://t.co/JprfzLV4ZO
Biden mildly trending better among Black and Hispanic subgroups in the last few weeks of polling
AMERICA SPEAKS: Donald Trump could fight a medium sized dog better than Joe Biden echelonin.wpenginepowered.com/wp-content/upl…
Going to do a hidden curriculum seminar for other older faculty like me that’s just teaching how to use “know your meme” before posting to social media
you're laughing? this post office is split between two state FIPS codes and you're laughing?
can I say something without people getting mad?
Reading the “kids in bars” discourse is really funny bc one side is worried that a toddler will disrupt their bottle service in the vip section or ruin their Molly infused edm dance floor whereas the other side is talking about having a beer or two at 5:30pm on a Thursday
Glad to see people questioning the academic publishing model. Remember that the vast majority of journals are ultimately owned by professional societies. There should be task forces in (eg) APSA etc looking into how we might break the APSR out of the paywall model.
No surprise seeing Boston coming out on top on the triple decker category
In case it’s helpful to folks, I have a set of lecture notes available for a grad-level causal inference course here: mattblackwell.github.io/gov2003-f21-si… (with great section notes from the great Sooahn Shin) Feel free to use any of the material in your courses. Happy to share sources!
From: mattblackwell.github.io/gov2002-f23/ma…
From: mattblackwell.github.io/gov2002-f23/ma… https://t.co/JunMxkSLpW
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64K Followers 5K Following Aspiring philosopher; tolerable human; "amusing combination of sardonic detachment & literally all the feelings felt entirely unironically all at once" [he/his]Love to use x dot com the everything app for causal inference
I am happy to announce I have been elected to the Society for Causal Inference (sci-info.org) Board as the President-Elect! Hope to contribute to a bright future for #causalinference
I am deeply honored and so grateful to the many mentors, colleagues, and students who have taught, supported, and inspired me - including many @UMSociology @HarvardSoc @UM_PSC @HarvardPopCtr @fordschool @umichStoneCID
Thrilled to share some exciting news! Our very own @SashaKillewald from #UMichSoc has been elected to the prestigious American Academy of Arts and Sciences. A testament to her impactful work and dedication. Congratulations, Prof. Killewald! @americanacad myumi.ch/eg7j2
vol 2 of Imbens+Rubin textbook could just be Guido's excellent expository articles stapled together annualreviews.org/content/journa…
Maybe they’ve changed in the past decade but when I was in college palantir had a rep as the tech company where you could get a good job with no stem as long as you had good grades and went to a highly ranked school
CEO of Palantir, Alex Karp: “You are sitting at your elite school pretending that because you watched TikTok twice and got an A+ on some crazy paper, because your professor couldn’t get a job anywhere else, that you actually understand the world.”
I *started* undergrad as a PS major and ended up switching to econ because PS felt too philosophical (which, it was Boston College, so fair) / I wanted to learn quant stuff. But it took way too long to circle back because I didn't get exposed to what PS *could* be!
Totally agree and there are actually a ton of UG students that get the quant bug once they get exposed. They end up really wanting deep substance combined with deep methods skills.
I don’t think undergrad poli sci should be “harder” bc I don’t think that’s a useful way to think about pedagogy, but it probably should be closer to what it is in graduate school. The difference is like night and day. Should be a “social science methods” minor or something.
I studied political science in undergrad/grad. Undergrad was a joke. I did quant political science in grad. You could build an undergrad major around stats/programming for quant political science that’s as hard as a stem program. It’s a choice not to do that.
I studied political science in undergrad/grad. Undergrad was a joke. I did quant political science in grad. You could build an undergrad major around stats/programming for quant political science that’s as hard as a stem program. It’s a choice not to do that.
It’s probably the case that this is mostly true of humanities majors rather than, say, engineering. But there’s nothing *inherently* easy about the humanities, there’s been a choice to make the courses easy to please students. You could make hard classes if you wanted to.
Bilbo Baggins is 111. Yet his epigenetic age is only 50. He’s aging at an annual rate of 0.00, like butter scraped over too much bread, outpacing Dave Pascoe. Here’s a breakdown of his biohacking protocol (it costs WAY less than you think):
Black and Hispanic voters are trending toward Biden. In other words, Democratic-leaning groups are shifting toward the Democratic candidate. Exactly the scenario we wrote about a month ago: goodauthority.org/news/how-much-… Thanks to Matt for producing and updating these graphs.
Biden mildly trending better among Black and Hispanic subgroups in the last few weeks of polling
@matt_blackwell It's surprisingly many. 1,294 census places are split across counties if you use the Census place definitions... NYC, Dallas, and Fort Worth are each split across 5 counties
@matt_blackwell NNNOOOOOO, think of the bounds on the dependent variable!
Ran Boston Marathon today. A great event, but a little weird that only a very small fraction of the course is actually in Boston. Hopkinton, Framingham, Wellesley, Newton, and the others should sue for higher billing
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