In terms of who's building right now? Red state metros. (And it's not even close.)
In terms of who's building right now? Red state metros. (And it's not even close.) https://t.co/sx9Az2Qtlw
Denver, Seattle, Minneapolis, DC, and Portland are all probably understudied (sorry, I said the word) to the extent that they are fairly built up cities in blue states that are building *a lot.* It strikes me that Seattle and DC in particular have really figured something out.
@mnolangray Denver is a lot higher than I would’ve thought - where is all of that growth happening? Subdivisions? Infill?
@mnolangray Looking in the SA area right now and I am noticing so many affordable options, most of them pretty new! Seems to be taking cues from Houston.
@mnolangray These are per unit right? Not per building? Trying to know if share that's multi unit is biasing it
@mnolangray Do you think some of the high ranked cities are getting credit because of sprawl though?
@mnolangray I believe from my experience in TX that its because the top cities are generally low density cities as well, which makes it easier to do infill+sprawl. The cities on the bottom are generally densely populated, which means the only real option they got is to build up.
@mnolangray Interesting! You have the city-only ranking so we can see what is urban infill vs sprawl? Closest thing I could find for cities is this from 2018.
@mnolangray there are no cranes on the orlando skyline lately, meanwhile baltimore looks like this not sure what they're cooking in florida but it smells like sprawl
@mnolangray Easier permitting is definitely helping, but I wonder how much is because they just have more room to sprawl outwards. And once there’s no more room for single family homes, will they be okay with building up or fall into the same trap as earlier-expanded blue state cities.
@mnolangray @scottlincicome Red States, Blue cities. Of the top ten cities listed in the chart, nine have Democratic mayors. The Major of the one outlier, San Antonio, is an independent.
@mnolangray @DanielKayHertz Is that permits by total units per permit, or are single SFH permits equal to multi-unit permits?
@mnolangray What’s not great is that the red metropolises are overwhelmingly building on the urban fringe, and not within the urban core
@mnolangray Do we have enough data to know if it’s leading to more affordable prices? (At least in terms of correlation)
@mnolangray All I see here is that sunbelt cities have more development, because duh.
@mnolangray I need to know where Toronto, Vancouver, and other Canadian cities rank. I’m currently in Vancouver and the whole metro is strewn with high-rise construction sites
@mnolangray Red sunbelt metros are mostly sprawl - those cities don’t have suburban jurisdictions surrounding them. Denver and Seattle are impressive because they are surrounded by sprawly suburban jurisdictions. So their numbers are doubly impressive for being all infill
@mnolangray Funny because TX GOP literally tries to destroy Houston home rule each legislative session.
@mnolangray Would be interesting to cross this with current vacancy rates in these urban cores. Portland is still building more today yet hasn’t absorbed the supply bulge of last few year, pre inclusionary housing laws (which pulled forward supply). Plenty of vacancy in PDX. Same in Denver
@mnolangray Free market vs. centralized housing control
@mnolangray @ToddGloria We cannot stay at the bottom of this list! Let's approve SB10 and get moving on solving our housing crisis.
@mnolangray Isn’t this a bit misleading? Permits don’t represent the number of homes built. A multifamily project is one permit and can have hundreds of homes.
@mnolangray Is this sprawl, or new construction in the city center?