PollCheck @poll_check
UK Polling and Seat Predictions Polling Aggregation for GB, Scotland and Wales. Mapping the Path to No10 pollcheck.co.uk London Joined August 2025-
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NEW: Survation Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 30% (+3) Labour: 24% (=) Conservative: 19% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 11% (-2) Green: 8% (=) Others: 6% (=) SNP: 3% (=) Current: 05 September 2025 vs Previous: 27/06/2025
NEW: Techne Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 31% (+3) Labour: 21% (-2) Conservative: 18% (=) Liberal Democrats: 14% (-2) Green: 10% (+2) Others: 4% (=) SNP: 2% (-1) Current: 05 September 2025 vs Previous: 26/06/2025
The real winner in Labour's collapse and Reform's rise in Scotland seems to be the SNP Current Scotland (Westminster) results indicate: SNP: 40 seats (+31) Labour: 8 seats (-29) Liberal Democrats: 6 seats (nc) Conservative: 3 seats (-2) Reform UK: 0 seats (nc) Green: 0 seats…
The real winner in Labour's collapse and Reform's rise in Scotland seems to be the SNP Current Scotland (Westminster) results indicate: SNP: 40 seats (+31) Labour: 8 seats (-29) Liberal Democrats: 6 seats (nc) Conservative: 3 seats (-2) Reform UK: 0 seats (nc) Green: 0 seats…
3 new polls today, from @tweetfreshwater @JLPartnersPolls and @Moreincommon_ Reform our now at their highest ever in our Seat tracker, at 336 - a small majority A recent slew of polls with Labour at 20% or below have impacted their seat tracking, they now stand at 143
NEW: More in Common Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 32% (+1) Labour: 19% (-2) Conservative: 17% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 13% (=) Green: 11% (+3) Others: 5% (-1) SNP: 2% (-1) Plaid Cymru: 1% (=) Current: 04 September 2025 vs Previous: 03 September 2025
NEW: JL Partners Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 32% (+3) Labour: 22% (-1) Conservative: 18% (+1) Liberal Democrats: 12% (-2) Green: 7% (-2) Current: 04 September 2025 vs Previous: 18/07/2025 (No SNP,PC and Others available for this poll - assumed same as…
NEW: Freshwater Strategy Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 33% (=) Labour: 20% (-2) Conservative: 17% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 15% (+1) Green: 7% (+1) Others: 4% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) Plaid Cymru: 1% (+1)
A potentially interesting preview for next May's elections bbc.co.uk/news/articles/… Reform achieved only 1.7% in constituency votes here in 2021, vs Labour's 46% Recent Senedd polling from @FindoutnowUK And @Moreincommon_ show Reform and Plaid Cymru roughly equal with Labour…
Reform claim both the smallest and largest constituency wins in the latest prediction North Bedfordshire has never fallen out of Conservative hands
POLLCHECK SEAT PROJECTION - More in Common Reform UK: 320 seats Labour: 154 seats Liberal Democrats: 75 seats Conservative: 38 seats SNP: 24 seats Others: 13 seats Green: 4 seats Plaid Cymru: 4 seats (03/09/2025)
NEW: More in Common Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 31% (+1) Labour: 21% (-1) Conservative: 18% (=) Liberal Democrats: 13% (-1) Green: 8% (+1) Others: 6% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) Plaid Cymru: 1% (=) Current: 03 September 2025 vs Previous: 27 August 2025
NEW: BMG Research Leadership Net Approval Ratings Nigel Farage: +5% 🟢 (+37% positive, -32% negative) Ed Davey: +5% 🟢 (+22% positive, -17% negative) Kemi Badenoch: -9% 🔴 (+19% positive, -28% negative) Keir Starmer: -41% 🔴 (+19% positive, -60% negative) (26-28 August 2025)
POLLCHECK SEAT PROJECTION - YouGov (02/09/2025) Reform UK: 297 seats Labour: 162 seats Liberal Democrats: 81 seats Conservative: 43 seats SNP: 27 seats Others: 13 seats Green: 5 seats Plaid Cymru: 4 seats
NEW: YouGov Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 29% (+1) Labour: 20% (=) Conservative: 17% (=) Liberal Democrats: 15% (-1) Green: 10% (-1) Others: 5% (+1) SNP: 3% (=) Plaid Cymru: 1% (=) Current: 02 September 2025 vs Previous: 27 August 2025
With the addition of the latest @FindoutnowUK and @BMGResearch polls, our seat trend rolling average now has Reform taking a small majority These two polls translated to 390 and 381 seats for Reform respectively in our model Although other recent polls like @OpiniumResearch…
New highest ever polling for Reform
POLLCHECK SEAT PROJECTION - BMG Research Reform UK: 381 seats Labour: 116 seats Liberal Democrats: 74 seats SNP: 21 seats Conservative: 20 seats Others: 13 seats Green: 4 seats Plaid Cymru: 3 seats (29/08/2025)
NEW: BMG Research Poll : Westminster Voting Intention: Reform UK: 35% (+3) Labour: 20% (-3) Conservative: 17% (-1) Liberal Democrats: 13% (=) Green: 7% (-1) Others: 5% (+3) SNP: 2% (-1) Plaid Cymru: 1% (=) Current: 29 August 2025 vs Previous: 01/08/2025
Polling Momentum Trends (Current vs 5 poll moving average) 29 August 2025 📈Reform +3.2% 📈Greens +0.6% 📉Labour -2.2% 📉Conservatives -1.8% 📉 LD -0.8%
Polling Momentum Trends (Current vs 5 poll moving average) 29 August 2025 📈Reform +3.2% 📈Greens +0.6% 📉Labour -2.2% 📉Conservatives -1.8% 📉 LD -0.8%
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