Global events predictions | Political commentary | Track record in highlights | MSM are worthless | Not legal or financial adviceprophetnotes.substack.com New York, USAJoined December 2023
No one is asking the main question - for what they need so much energy on the moon?
If For All Mankind is a good proxy, we are looking at quite an extensive base and some mining operation.
Doubt it’s true as neither Russia nor China announced manned missions to the moon yet.
No one is asking the main question - for what they need so much energy on the moon?
If For All Mankind is a good proxy, we are looking at quite an extensive base and some mining operation.
Doubt it’s true as neither Russia nor China announced manned missions to the moon yet.
Eureka moment in politics is realizing that if every rival country is practicing propaganda it means that your country is doing it as well.
Once you see it, you cannot unsee it.
After a bit of a slump on the war front we are seeing (regrettable) action in Rafah.
A bit off schedule due to Iran situation, but something tells me we are bound for a new drama in the Middle East.
I have a habit of checking MSM from time to time to understand what is the narrative focusing on.
While a few years ago I could reliably say that the morning dose of headlines gave me a good sense on what is happening locally and globally, now the content is lacking.
When I go…
Recently I grew more fond of my comparison of politics to sport. The more I use it the more perfect it seems:
1. Parties are teams
People got their favorite, often based on family history, and cheer for them even with their shortcomings.
2. Elections are World Cup / Olympic…
Not a single mildly interesting event recently. Don’t even get me started on the university drama.
Feels like off season and after all politics is just a sport.
Been swamped these last few day. To catch up and quickly see if anything of value happened I've just went through the recently created markets on @Polymarket.
Why even bother reading BS MSM articles when you can just scroll through Polymarket and get live odds as a bonus?
The biggest scam of politics is that they made people believe that it's about basic social issues like abortion.
Now ppl fight a never ending pointless war (as neither party is willing to ultimately resolve the matter) rather than focus on what is really important.
Sometimes you just got to take the profit and go. 90c on a dollar was a good price to sell, good call was made there a few days ago.
Now it can still go to Yes as we have a few days left in April, but the risk / reward was simply not there for 90c.
Sometimes you just got to take the profit and go. 90c on a dollar was a good price to sell, good call was made there a few days ago.
Now it can still go to Yes as we have a few days left in April, but the risk / reward was simply not there for 90c.
Whatever the judge decides, the prediction is already fulfilled. Both from prediction markets perspective and sensation:
Sensation is already there as today's headlines are "Judge will decide on Trump gag order violation". Also this is talked about for at least a week.
On…
Whatever the judge decides, the prediction is already fulfilled. Both from prediction markets perspective and sensation:
Sensation is already there as today's headlines are "Judge will decide on Trump gag order violation". Also this is talked about for at least a week.
On…
Doomerism seems to be very popular among some of the financial / geopolitics / general forecasting accounts here.
No wonder though, fear is a powerful emotion that sells easy. But ultimately such underlying agenda defies the fundamental nature of good analysis and intuition.
Republicans are redacted. Holding Ukraine aid for months to get nothing in return.
I thought they would extract value for the party for the upcoming elections, but it seems that all is focused now on personal gain only.
Big W for Biden these last couple of weeks.
I had a good hunch selling my No shares on Ukraine aid in April. Good success for Dems and Biden, but it's probably the last aid package for Ukraine.
Still I'm wondering what Mike Johnson has got in return. Or maybe what they had on him as his sudden change of hearth is…
Israel, under hard international pressure, performed a VERY limited attack on Iran. I have real doubts that this is all of it, but regardless we nailed down another date prediction with margin of error below 24h.
We now can enter back into the Middle East soap opera for a while…
Don't fall into the trap of following the Middle East soap opera. What I mean by this is don't over-engage in the new glimpses into the situation that appear every 2 hours or so.
The aim of this is to dumb you down and make you believe that you have the whole picture of the…
One unforeseen effect of the current Iran-Israel situation is the realization by Ukrainian people they no politicians actually care about their independence or fairness.
On the grand chessboard Ukrainians are just pawns and Ukraine is just one playground. And it turned out that…
Predicting exact dates is a tough sport, but the more I think about Israeli response, the more I believe that Friday night is the day.
US and its allies (guided by US) usually wait till Friday market close for major actions. Last time we could see this with strikes against…
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