RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

We provide top-class analysis on equities, fixed income and commodities from Russia, CIS & EM. Joined September 2021

Tweets

2K
Followers

2K
Following

115
Likes

421

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

a month ago

Amid sanctions, rising inequality, and "locked capital," Russia’s luxury market is booming. #VIP_talk 💬 Who’s driving demand for premium goods? 💬 How do fine dining & exclusivity intersect? 💬 Why is meat becoming a new currency of taste, status, and investment? 🎥 Watch the…

0 0 1 189 0

Download Video

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Long-term corporate bonds in Russia could yield up to 50% in 12 months if the key rate drops to 10% by mid-2026. Example: Samolet BO-P18 — 27.5% yield at issue. If spreads normalize, investor return may hit 50%. Repricing could be rapid. #bonds #Russia #markets

1 2 4 491 1

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Israel–Iran conflict = risk + speculation. Markets react to noise, not facts. Oil/LNG price in the risk. Trump trades the chaos? Netanyahu benefits from war? Hormuz won't close — but attacks = higher shipping costs = price jump. #Geopolitics #Oil #Analysis

0 0 0 293 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Urals Oil in Rubles and Lukoil Share Price (LKOH).

0 1 4 300 1

Download Image

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Urals Oil in Rubles: 4,200 RUB / barrel. At the lows of late 2022 - early 2023

0 0 3 230 0

Download Image

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Overhang risk from renewed DR conversions: some shares (e.g. LKOH, GMKN) may hit the market as DRs convert from June 9. “Relocated” names like T & YDEX are safe. Watch for selling pressure on blue chips. #Russia #stocks #RDV #analytics 🔗 t.me/rdv_putinomics…

0 0 2 178 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

🇷🇺 The Russian market faces a tense but intriguing setup: 🔻 The CBR began monetary easing for the first time in ~2 years, but policy remains ultra-tight (20% vs ~4% CPI), risking an economic cooldown. 🔻 Oil in RUB is near 2023 lows, hitting exporters. 🔻 Peace odds falling…

0 0 1 197 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Central Bank Policy Rates (as of 06.06.2025). Turkey 46.00% Argentina 29.00% Russia 20.00% Brazil 14.75% Colombia 9.25% Mexico 8.50% South Africa 7.25% India 6.50% Philippines 6.50% Poland 5.75% Saudi Arabia 5.00% USA 4.38% United Kingdom 4.25% Eurozone 2.00% Japan 0.50%…

0 0 1 321 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

The Central Bank barely budged under pressure from politicians & business. ✍️ Key decision: rate cut to 20% ✍️ Strong message: tight monetary policy to last for a prolonged period 👉 49 days until next meeting — risk of falling behind the curve. #analytics

0 0 0 141 0

Download Image

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

BANK OF RUSSIA RATE: 20% (CONSENSUS 21%, PRIOR 21%)

0 0 0 132 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Russia may cut rates for the 1st time since 2022 — Bloomberg Inflation slows to 10.3%, GDP growth drops to 1.7%, ruble strengthens. Experts split: most expect 1–2pp cut, one sees no change (21%). Decision expected today. Full story: bloomberg.com/news/articles/… #economy #Russia

0 0 1 202 0

Download Image

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Mary Meeker drops the AI report: 🔥 ChatGPT = 365B searches/year 🔥 Llama > all in downloads 🔥 Model training cost x2400 🔥 Inference cost down 99.7% 🔥 China AI = US, with less $$ 🔥 Tesla > 1B miles in FSD 👉 bondcap.com/reports/tai #AIinfrastructure #MaryMeeker

0 0 1 222 0

Download Image

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

BTC futures launched on Moscow Exchange — a key step for crypto institutionalization in Russia. ₽423M turnover & 8.6K trades on day 1. Only for qualified investors, no crypto delivery. Backed by BlackRock’s BTC ETF with 660K+ BTC and $70B+ assets. #cryptomania

0 0 0 148 0

Download Image

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Magnit (MGNT) could benefit from monetary easing. 🎯 Target price: RUB 7,436 📈 EPS to rise to 1,047 by 2026 📊 P/E to expand from 5.3x → 9.8x as rates drop & dividends return #stocks #MGNT #macro

0 0 0 163 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Cost pressure from production has hit a low since mid-2022 — PMI survey. Industrial prices are rising at their slowest pace since fall 2022, when the key rate was just 7.5%. #facts

0 0 1 151 0

Download Image

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Ahead of the June 6 Central Bank meeting, pressure mounts from govt, banks & businesses to cut the key rate from 21%. They cite slowing inflation & economic risks, but the Bank of Russia stays cautious due to inflation expectations. #state_affairs

0 0 1 200 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Make-or-break week for the markets. Two key events: Istanbul talks — no breakthrough expected, but even symbolic gestures could be seen as neutral-positive. Central Bank meeting — inflation near target, political pressure rising, market split 50/50 on a rate cut. 👉 A soft…

0 0 2 176 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

RZD freight loading in May 2025 dropped 9.4% vs May 2024. Key reasons: 🚧 Construction cargo down 19.4% 🛢 Oil cargo down 8.9% (refinery maintenance) 🏭 Metallurgy: ferrous metals -29.1%, scrap metal -40% (lower domestic demand) Growth: ⚓️ Shipments to Far East ports +1.3%, coal…

0 0 1 223 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Top 20 Cities (Urban Districts) in Eastern Europe and the CIS by Per Capita Budget Spending in 2025 (in USD). Moscow — 4742 Warsaw — 4235 Prague — 4088 Wrocław — 3884 Poznań — 3750 Kraków — 3280 Tallinn — 3045 St. Petersburg — 2999 Riga — 2893 Łódź — 2561 Surgut — 2538 Almaty —…

0 0 2 174 0

RDV Analytics @rdv_analytics

3 months ago

Nominal housing prices continue to rise — despite sky-high rates and rollback of subsidized mortgage programs. Source: Central Bank (cbr.ru/Collection/Col…) #figures 👉 Previously: Russian investors now have an alternative to bonds & FX — the first listed rental property ETF in…