Storm HQ @stormhq_

Storm HQ | A Team of Forecasters, Forecasting today for a better tomorrow. Happy Fall🍂 USA & Belize Joined November 2022

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

2 days ago

This is the reason why I have trust issues #91L.

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Apologies regarding our previous post. Recon has found a LLC in invest #99L. Much different than our previous post highlighted. The LLC isn't defined & is rather messy. We will see what the 18z and 00z model updates will bring because so far, models are struggling with 99L.

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

2 weeks ago

The OSCAT3 Pass over Invest #99L confirms that it has a small center of circulation near 13.5-14.5°N, ~51-52°W. Stronger winds (25-35 kt, with some 40 kt) appear on the north and northeast quadrants. We will see what the NHC does later today.

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

2 weeks ago

Invest #99L chances for development jumped to 40/40 due to increasing convection activity. Honestly, it's reminding me of Harvey back in 2017. I'm not saying it's gonna be Harvey, but with both having similar tracks & being underestimated by models, it's deja vu.

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

2 weeks ago

#99L is those types of waves that may not seem much of a problem currently, but down the line could become one. Spaghetti plots take 99L well into the western Caribbean. It could become a headache once it taps into the untouched sea surface temperatures of the Caribbean.

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

3 weeks ago

Tropical Storm Conditions affecting the Turks and Caicos as major #HurricaneErin is making a very close pass. Webcam view of #Erin's impacts.

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

3 weeks ago

Are we about to see another sub 900mb storm like Milton did in 2024? #Erin

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

3 weeks ago

Most notable hurricane "face" instances in history. Major hurricane #ERIN is now included. We had Hurricane Milton, Maria, Irma & Matthew. ALL MAJOR HURRICANES. #ERIN is now repeating history.

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

3 weeks ago

#Erin looks like a Borderline category 3 hurricane. The pressure is now down to 972mb. If continues we most likely will see a major hurricane in approximately 5-10 hours.

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

3 weeks ago

As of 6:18 PM, Hurricane #ERIN has opened a small eye. Recon is headed into the storm. We will see what they find. Its safe now to assume that this is the beginning of her rapid intensification phase (RI phase 1) Winds are now up to 85mph #ERIN

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

3 weeks ago

If you live in Anguilla, Sint Maarten or Codrington. You guys need to closely watch #Erin because here's the thing, any shift south, even the tiniest shift south will significantly increase impacts. This will be a very close call. Erin will pass about 117 miles north of your area

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Storm HQ @stormhq_

4 weeks ago

As mentioned yesterday, dry air is intruding in #Erin and robbing the storms moisture, exposing the LLC. Its just a matter of time before it moves into a highly conducive environment and with that very defined LLC any new convection that fires could easily trigger massive growth.