Alex Andreou @sturdyAlex
I write, act, sing, broadcast and cook. Occasionally, even for money. #OGWN & #Bunker team. Bluesky: @ sturdyalex Threads/Insta: @ themagicbayleaf bsky.app/profile/sturdy… London, UK and Mykonos, Greece Joined May 2009-
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Three years ago. Same playbook. ~AA
Counterargument to “Sunak must go late as possible to let economy improve”: ANY THREE OF: A summer of big boat crossings Gaza deal/ceasefire fading unhappiness w Labour A Tory leadership challenge Farage joining fray Unforeseen hit to economy Security issue = EXTINCTION
A minor but underpriced factor in whether any Tory backbench rebels might make their move against Sunak or not. For Mordaunt, whose seat looks in real peril, and her supporters, waiting until after the election may be a luxury they don’t have. ~AA
A minor but underpriced factor in whether any Tory backbench rebels might make their move against Sunak or not. For Mordaunt, whose seat looks in real peril, and her supporters, waiting until after the election may be a luxury they don’t have. ~AA
The opening of last night's BBC election coverage had Laura Kuenssberg giving an awful lot of airtime to Richard Tice and Reform UK, why not the Residents Association who are currently beating them?
Gonna try and answer some of the frequent questions/point here. 1. Differential turnout in Labour areas doesn't necessarily mean Sadiq is going to lose. - Absolutely it does not. It's just the first prerequisite.
I'm not sure that "you didn't win because you voters really love you; you won because our voters really hate us" is the winning spin that Tory MPs seem to think it is. ~AA
This isn't a "gap in the polls". It is a gap in *local* voting patterns which are very different to *general election* voting patterns. Would be utterly crackers to make any GE decisions on this information.
This isn't a "gap in the polls". It is a gap in *local* voting patterns which are very different to *general election* voting patterns. Would be utterly crackers to make any GE decisions on this information.
This is democracy in action.❤️ No party should take a single vote for granted and no voter should assume a result. Labour must improve policy positions that put voters off. Complacency and low turnouts should be punished. And voters must focus on reality, not magical thinking.
This is democracy in action.❤️ No party should take a single vote for granted and no voter should assume a result. Labour must improve policy positions that put voters off. Complacency and low turnouts should be punished. And voters must focus on reality, not magical thinking.
Turnout figures from the London mayoralty: I think Susan Hall really could do it, you know: londonelects.org.uk/im-voter/elect…
Two of the smartest commentators. In a way this is shaping ideally for Labour in the GE. Being underpriced will sharpen focus, scare their base straight and encourage tactical voting. And just enough hope will keep the Tories bravely marching, unchanged, toward certain doom. ~AA
With results from over 700 wards in for @SkyNews, we see the Conservative to Labour swing is largest in areas that voted most heavily to Leave in 2016.
Changing the voting system to FPTP has really helped the Conservatives in these PCC elections. They'd most likely only have held Lincolnshire if SV were being used.
Changing the voting system to FPTP has really helped the Conservatives in these PCC elections. They'd most likely only have held Lincolnshire if SV were being used.
Why are the Tories taking a pounding in today's elections? The debate should focus less on Rishi vs Reform vs Rwanda & more on the great British consumer - who's paying more to get less.... Household consumption is down 5% since 2019 (vs 8% rise in the US) resolutionfoundation.org/comment/the-da…
Nicky Morgan saying "divided parties don't win elections" reminded me of this splendid quote by @stephenkb. ~AA
🗳️ Hearing Reform pushed into 4th position in Ashfield - voting in East Mids mayor race 🗳️ Big fight on cards for Lee Anderson and Reform in general election to hold on to seat
This is a huge result. And - I think - a much more telling one than Tees Valley or West Midlands, being a newly-created position, which means that results are not skewed by a personally popular incumbent boost. ~AA
This is a huge result. And - I think - a much more telling one than Tees Valley or West Midlands, being a newly-created position, which means that results are not skewed by a personally popular incumbent boost. ~AA
LABOUR WIN E MIDS MAYOR Claire Ward (Labour) 181,040 (40.3%) Ben Bradley (Co)129,332 (28.8%) Frank Adlington-Stringer (Green) 50,666 (11.3%) Alan Graves (Reform) 49,201 (10.9%) Matt Relf (In) 23,359 (5.2%) Helen Tamblyn-Saville (LD) 15,970 (3.6%) Maj: 51,708 (11.5 ppt)
The Conservative party's BBC Projected National Share in these local elections is worse than they got in 1997 and equal to their worst ever result in 1995. - Labour: 34% - Conservatives: 25% - Other: 24% - Lib Dem: 17%
4:30pm on election results day, and we've got Ed Davey on TV with Lib Dems dressed as inflatable dinosaurs 🦖 Time for everybody to get some sleep
“I hate to do this, but I’m afraid that while you were talking you lost two more councils.” 😩~AA
“I hate to do this, but I’m afraid that while you were talking you lost two more councils.” 😩~AA
Otto English @Otto_English
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8K Followers 6K Following We advocate and campaign for a fair, democratic & sustainable economic system that benefits everyone 🌍 💶 Join our newsletter 👉 https://t.co/ZZnkNn6BO8Three years ago. Same playbook. ~AA
I can’t believe I’m writing this. But Tory sources say Shaun Bailey’s campaign now believe they can win the London mayoralty.
@sturdyAlex "Do not switch on. Use entirely at your own risk."
@sturdyAlex The PM from the middle aisle of a discount german supermarket.
@sturdyAlex He just ticks his end of term ‘tasks to do’ That’s his capability. He’s scarily superficial
@sturdyAlex "Harlow"...... That's it...... A majority only by unsuspending someone related to Islamophobia...... That's great.
@sturdyAlex The 'speak your weight machine' that is @RishiSunak delivers. No wonder we have #ToryBrokenBritain with people like him in charge. Not totally his fault though with the rest of his party culpable as well.
@sturdyAlex Telling what he lists as his achievements are deliberately misleading
@sturdyAlex Let me guess: he's delivering .. blah blah. Plan is working .. blah blah. Labour hasn't got a plan ... blah blah.
@sturdyAlex He was part of a 2 for 1 offer, as well.
@sturdyAlex Picturing a rather pathetic jug eared Roomba.
@Ruuuuuuup @sturdyAlex Can't please everyone xo
We're just whipping ourselves into hysteria with the Khan thing aren't we. Best to ignore until tomorrow
@sturdyAlex I would have to agree Alex.
A minor but underpriced factor in whether any Tory backbench rebels might make their move against Sunak or not. For Mordaunt, whose seat looks in real peril, and her supporters, waiting until after the election may be a luxury they don’t have. ~AA
🔵🧱🔨 The Liberal Democrats have just defeated the last Conservative councillor in Portsmouth South! The only party to make gains in Portsmouth South are @portsmouthld, and the Conservatives are now completely gone.
The opening of last night's BBC election coverage had Laura Kuenssberg giving an awful lot of airtime to Richard Tice and Reform UK, why not the Residents Association who are currently beating them?
Gonna try and answer some of the frequent questions/point here. 1. Differential turnout in Labour areas doesn't necessarily mean Sadiq is going to lose. - Absolutely it does not. It's just the first prerequisite.
This isn't a "gap in the polls". It is a gap in *local* voting patterns which are very different to *general election* voting patterns. Would be utterly crackers to make any GE decisions on this information.
This being seized on by Tories They think they can bridge a 9% gap in the polls That thing you are hearing is a big sigh of relief in no10