John @thin_value
Prediction markets, etc. Joined April 2022-
Tweets156
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Followers37
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Following333
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Likes775
I learn new things every day! There are European cities that have been continuously inhabited for 7000-8000 years!
One of my favorite applications of LLMs is reading books together. I want to ask questions or hear generated discussion (NotebookLM style) while it is automatically conditioned on the surrounding content. If Amazon or so built a Kindle AI reader that “just works” imo it would be…
The fact that we will be able to watch all the anime series from our childhood in real life with just one click is still almost unimaginable for me. The future is great. Dragon ball in real. Via Reddit
it turns out there's a small town in japan called nagi, whose birth rate (~2.7) is over twice the national average (~1.3) what is this town doing to buck the trend?
everyone is always afraid they’re living in a “bubble”. the natural state of mankind is an archipelago of cultural villages. you need to be in a bubble for your own health and optimal performance. everything good that’s ever happened happens in a bubble
On the left: Orthodox Jewish precincts in Michigan swinging 20% towards to Trump On the right: Arab/Bangladeshi precincts in Michigan swinging 70% towards to Trump
That's cute, but my model correctly predicts all general elections since 2000, has an R2 of 1, and predict Kamala will win with over 800 electoral votes
That's cute, but my model correctly predicts all general elections since 2000, has an R2 of 1, and predict Kamala will win with over 800 electoral votes https://t.co/LTdWHwXPQD
NEWS: Small excerpt from @SpaceX Starship Flight 5 debrief and upcoming Flight 6 readiness conference call with Elon Musk.
Efficient market hypothesis lol 🙄
O1 is a clear preview of the problem of advanced AI. It does stuff that looks really good (this is from a new OpenAI demo) & often is really good, but it is hard to evaluate it unless your are already an expert, as any errors are so subtle or complex that only experts see them.
The Google deal to acquire small nuclear reactors to power data centers increases the odds that we will see AI models scale through at least 3 more generations/orders of magnitude (post GPT-5) to 2030. According to Epoch, power was the binding constraint. epochai.org/blog/can-ai-sc…
wish there was a tool for "find people on X orthogonal to who you currently follow" not just politically but in other ways as well
wish there was a blue check for "does not hold extreme political views"
Increasingly I just don’t think you can describe human nature without in part defining it. We grow into the molds we create. We treat psychology as discovery but it’s as much invention as anything.

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Limitless @trylimitless
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HashDive - Prediction... @hash_dive
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Unofficial Trump on X @trump_repost
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Ely Rabani #GazaTruce... @radsci
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Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
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Embargo lifts on… @EmbargoLiftsOn
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