AltayCap @AltayCapital
Long / Short equities. Value investor. Istanbul https://t.co/vNBoJqo6Ji altaycap.substack.com Switzerland Joined March 2022-
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Remember how everyone was bullish yen at the start of the year? FX is never obvious. My gut says yen is too weak but I have no idea. Structural issues remain as per Mizuho note in quote tweet:
Remember how everyone was bullish yen at the start of the year? FX is never obvious. My gut says yen is too weak but I have no idea. Structural issues remain as per Mizuho note in quote tweet:
Well. That was quick! Yodogawa just announced: significant increase in Dividends and future pay- out cancellation of treasury shares reduction of cross- held shares Link: yodoko.co.jp/release/2024/p… #ValueInvesting #japan
Well. That was quick! Yodogawa just announced: significant increase in Dividends and future pay- out cancellation of treasury shares reduction of cross- held shares Link: yodoko.co.jp/release/2024/p… #ValueInvesting #japan
Here's a quick rundown on Alpha Purchase $7115.JP a microcap with double-digit growth and ROCE valued at 10x cash adjusted P/E which I think has an asymmetric R/R profile. A double from here should be possible and potentially more 🧵
Here's a quick rundown on Alpha Purchase $7115.JP a microcap with double-digit growth and ROCE valued at 10x cash adjusted P/E which I think has an asymmetric R/R profile. A double from here should be possible and potentially more 🧵 https://t.co/hnlchBrUPs
This public JP company DIC Corp (TYO 4631) owns a huge art collection (~$300m-1B USD). Article on FT discusses the art assets. Activist fund (Oasis) is a top 3 shareholder. No position (but fun read)
This public JP company DIC Corp (TYO 4631) owns a huge art collection (~$300m-1B USD). Article on FT discusses the art assets. Activist fund (Oasis) is a top 3 shareholder. No position (but fun read) https://t.co/0IodE2TcIN
80 bagger since ~2015. But it was flat from 2000 - 2015. Wild!
Strong full-year results from Japanese net-net CEL Corp (5078.T). Earnings are up 30% YOY and 35% above guidance. Dividend also increased to ¥105 from ¥80 (~2.7% yield at current prices). Net cash is ¥14B vs ¥13.1B market cap. Trading at 11x forward P/E based on FY25 guidance
Jeremy Raper @puppyeh1
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9K Followers 752 Following ビジネス書好きの企業経営者兼個人投資家、証券アナリスト。日本株、米国/海外株、投資信託、オルタナ投資部門からなり、クオリティグロース企業の定性・定量分析に基づくGARP投資を中心に行うCarwd Capital最高運用責任者。フィロソフィーある投資で安定的な資産成長とより良い社会実現を目指します。Think most of the GARP squad has forgotten what reasonable is. Paging $WDFC $LULU $MCO $WMT $MCD $FICO $EQIX
2021 was a wild year. arstechnica.com/tech-policy/20…
Strangest $4b company I've ever owned because there's only like 7-8 accounts on all of Twitter that even discuss it. It has to be the safest bet to have total return of 100% over the next 3 years in this whole space.
Ol' faithful been on a silent run recently closing in on 150 USD. $WHC.AX $WHC's existing thermal business spits out circa $1.5B EBITDA at 140 NEWC on ~13mT. Not too shabby for assets the street are basically pricing terminally at <$1/sh. #coaltwitter
Ol' faithful been on a silent run recently closing in on 150 USD. $WHC.AX $WHC's existing thermal business spits out circa $1.5B EBITDA at 140 NEWC on ~13mT. Not too shabby for assets the street are basically pricing terminally at <$1/sh. #coaltwitter
Macquarie resume with outperform today now that they've considered BMA assets. I find the spot price equity value particularly interesting given it's shoulder season... 👀🪨 $WHC.AX $WHC #coaltwitter
Tough period for Kyoei Steel 5440 (97.9bn yen MC, 0.5x PB, 7.4x fwd PE) as guidance suggests drop in OP due to restructuring Vietnam ops, revamping US investments (aging facilities). MTMP suggests 110bn yen investment over 3 years, an unprecedented scale. DPR hike is lukewarm.
Your friendly reminder that Equinix has a DOJ subpoena and an internal investigation but has still not explained it's accounting practices
Ok last post. I am short $111,000 ish worth of $EQIX. Not max short, but I think it is worth $650 on a good day. Data-center this, pricing power-that, blah blah blah. They pretty obviously cooked the books on FFO, Estimated P/FFO of 29x is way higher than $DLR and associates.…
@cap_zay Because 90% of the little coffee shops serve horrible hipster roasts - sharp, acidic, citrusy, pungent, vinegary, 0 on a 1 to 10 scale. Starbucks is only a 5/10 but reliable, predictable and inoffensive.
Dawg they’re reinventing black coffee for millennials
Oh here it is: Starbucks developing a zero to low calorie energy beverage. $SBUX
Some great research put out by @viceroyresearch on $GL today Thank you for the classy🎩 tip in the report We are still short $GL. We discovered more insurance fraud since our 1st report Liberty National formers please keep reaching out! [email protected]
Globe Life – The Main Course. Report now live: viceroyresearch.org/2024/04/30/glo… Viceroy’s research pushes the envelope on pervasive fraud at AIL, disgusting misconduct allegations, and their financial consequences. Globe Life is rotten from top to bottom. $GL #thread 1/
Most important news I learned today from Japan. Coco Ichibanya, a Japanese-style curry restaurant chain (we have a few in LA, too), will have a 22-yo female (who started working at Coco ichi when she was 15) CEO featured in this video starting next month! I will have to frequent…
こちらの女性はココイチのアルバイト...ではなく5月から新社長になる諸沢莉乃さん22歳です。 15歳からバイト ↓ 19歳の時に全国に15人しかいなかった「接客のスペシャリスト」に認定。 ↓ 20歳の時に次期社長に打診され、迷うことなく引き受けた。 ↓ 22歳で5月から新社長に。 年齢なんて関係ない。
Emerging markets profits 101
One very clear conclusion from our recent trip to #Philippines is that the major cause of underperformance in recent years is multiple contraction. With few exceptions multiples in previously very popular consumer centric companies have more than halved in recent years. Meanwhile…
Less than 4 years later, Endor $E2N is nearly bankrupt. I'm constantly reminded that, in spite of investors' euphoria/depression about short-term booms/busts, businesses live or die based on their moats, or lack thereof. endor.ag/2024/04/26/end…
For anyone wondering why I currently refuse to buy racing sim equipment maker $E2N Endor even though it is a relatively-unknown high-growth and high ROE business that has attracted some smart US microcap investors:
🧵Smartkarma #eventdriven #threadoftheday Carlyle Reportedly To Buy KFC Japan (9873) From MitCorp (8058) - Deal Likely Imminent — Travis Lundy @travislundyasia -- $9873.JP 1/
and you want to bet against america?
30-40 hotdog vendors stormed Coachella after a fence toppled over
Not sure I’m financially ready for the transition back to Sydney prices. Literally 4x the price back in Tokyo 😳
First estimates of the size of Japan's presumed intervention last night, from the FT ft.com/content/455784…
Had to visit Cafe De Coral as well of course. Mong Kok location absolutely packed at off-lunch hour 14.15. Not much MSG taste, seemed alright. P/E 7x normalized on my numbers.