Advanced Economics @EconAdvanced
“Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” John Maynard Keynes Oxford, England Joined October 2016-
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When building regression models, we often face the challenge that linearity is assumed. But in real data, relationships between predictors and the target variable are rarely perfectly linear. While linear regression is often the standard choice, I recently explored an…
Big W for @JosephPolitano: the Trump admin has finally acknowledged that maybe - just maybe! - banana tariffs are ridiculous. insidetrade.com/daily-news/tru…
Using survey answers on the expected duration of the Russian-Ukraine and Middle East conflicts to examine the impact of geopolitical risk on consumers' beliefs about aggregate economic conditions and their own financial outlook, from @YGorodnichenko, Dimitris Georgarakos, Geoff…
SEPTEMBER 17: We are pleased to have @NOIweala for a special #PIIETradeWinds with @MalmstromEU LIVE from Geneva at the @wto Public Forum to discuss what moving forward with the global trading system looks like. Info & register: piie.com/events/2025/ne…
The Big Three of Summer 2025 books, all very good. @lugaricano @masuch_klaus @krogoff @ezraklein
WSJ: “The South Korean nationals were largely given visas suitable for training purposes, such as the B-1 visa, and many there were working as instructors, according to a South Korean government official.” This looks like a story where a company investing in the US was trying to…
The average tax-to-GDP ratio reached 19.6% — with six Pacific Islands among the top 10 risers. Explore the latest edition of #RevStatsAP to learn more ➡️ brnw.ch/21wVxXW
"U.S. Steel will stop processing at Granite City Works after October, union memo says" stlpr.org/economy-busine… But don't worry! They aren't closing or selling the plant (bc the government won't let them!). Bizarre.
Here are some recommendations
Here are some recommendations https://t.co/68mcr5hfyS
Here's JD Vance's long-since-deleted Twitter thread from April 2020, where he shares his opinions on the Covid lockdowns and dismisses skeptics.
Another issue is concentration and network effects. KESONIA centralizes all loan pricing on a single interbank benchmark. In a concentrated market (which Kenya is), that overlap (upstream liquidity + downstream lending) + network effects lowers dimensionality of competition →…
Another issue that could arise is margin squeeze. KESONIA depends on interbank trades dominated by a few large banks. Without fair-access rules, smaller lenders risk foreclosure via higher funding costs or discriminatory clearing. 4/
Publishing KESONIA daily is essential, but publishing each bank’s premium (K) and fees in real time may hand rivals a free signalling device, dulling competition. 3/
The first risk is that when all loans are priced off KESONIA, banks share a common focal point. That lowers monitoring costs and facilitates tacit collusion (Bertrand models/ price setting environments). A benchmark designed to discipline risk may end up stabilizing markups. Such…
Long Thread. While KESONIA matches global standards, SOFR, and Sonia, that is half the job done, because from an antitrust lens, it carries hidden IO risks: collusion, foreclosure, and concentration. Transparency is good, but if misdesigned, it can also become a coordination…

Africanus @AfroEconomicus
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Tim Kehoe 🇺🇸�... @TimTkehoe
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World Bank Kenya @WorldBankKenya
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Charlie Robertson @CharlieTTEcon
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St. Louis Fed @stlouisfed
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