ʎllǝuuop ʇuǝɹq @donnelly_brent
President of @Spectra_Markets. Author of am/FX and Alpha Trader. I like trading, table tennis, my family, writing, hard/fast music, and poker. Not in that order spectramarkets.com/am-fx/ ct Joined May 2014-
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Weekend listening with @MacroAlf and bdonn Are nominal growth, inflation, yields, commodities, and USDJPY all peaking at once? spectramarkets.com/library/podcas…
FrIDaY SpEEdrUn spectramarkets.com/amfx/a-sour-co…
If you told me 10 years ago how often I’d be visiting dicks.com in 2024, I’d have been a bit alarmed and confused.
Cleveland inflation Nowcast released today has MoM PCE at 0.0% for May and Core PCE at 0.23% clevelandfed.org/indicators-and…
"Goolsbee demurs" is a satisfying set of syllables. *GOOLSBEE DEMURS ON IF RATE HIKE ON TABLE
There is something particularly excellent about this emoji 🫡
I hope you make my podcast with Alfonso Peccatiello part of your weekend routine. Here is the link. This week we discuss how nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists’ expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite hawkish. @MacroAlf…
It's groundhog day for NFP as the US jobs numbers have been in a steady state for about a year. Current 12-month standard deviation of actual NFP releases is 48k. The only other times this went below 50k were May 1997, May 2013 and December 2017. Remarkable stability in Initial…
In a month or so, we will be launching our flagship Spectra School course: Think Like a Market Professional Anyone on the waitlist before launch will receive a major discount and other sweet treats on Day 1. Sign up for the waitlist now, with no obligation…
This could be important for the marginal inflation outlook. Skyrocketing auto insurance accounts for about 0.6% out of 3.8% core inflation (CPI) over the past year. source for the 0.6% figure: cepr.net/inflation-and-… @SamuelRines
This could be important for the marginal inflation outlook. Skyrocketing auto insurance accounts for about 0.6% out of 3.8% core inflation (CPI) over the past year. source for the 0.6% figure: cepr.net/inflation-and-… @SamuelRines
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Exactly. You can do the same thing with overall inflation rates in those countries
@Fxhedgers How do you explain the exact same situation in Canada UK New Zealand and Australia. Also Biden’s fault ?
@donnelly_brent @Fxhedgers And I don’t think Chinese citizens are particularly happy with their home ownership dream either. One can always complain either way unless we’re in perfect balance
@donnelly_brent @Fxhedgers Moreover it’s actually better in the US than those countries. So Bidenomics is actually a success story.
@donnelly_brent @MacroAlf Trying to find the podcast you mentioned. Nick Lenz was it?
This is a typical and very popular response. Can someone point me to the most recent audit on Chinas gold reserves? 😀
@SantiagoAuFund But are those “official gold reserves” real? The US gold hasn’t been audio in about 70 years
What’s the German word for that moment of fraught but low stakes anticipation/anxiousness when you’re through TSA screening but your bag is sitting there on the machine deciding whether it goes through or is shunted for inspection?
@PhilWMagness @gabriel_zucman @nytimes Nice. Reinforces my impression that academic economists are readily seduced by politics. But why the whorish impulse? Is it the chance to have some actual influence in the world, instead of just another sterile debate in the journals?
@Lonewolf685 i'll probably feel differently when i start building a family. but for now, it keeps things interesting. i enjoy that
Me shitposting straight bangers on this app
Take, for instance, 'Crypto AI,' which, from a trading standpoint, has been a rewarding sector to be exposed to. But do you even know what Crypto AI is? On the off chance that it isn't a project that has already been dead, merely re-attaching to the narrative with some…
@donnelly_brent @ALBACapMgmt Posts like his are futile pursuit because not one person is going to look at that chart and think it applies to them. I sure a.f. don't
I will remember this season for the guts and grit shown by the Sixers through injury and adversity. Thank you Sixers fans and congrats to the Knicks. Doc
@donnelly_brent @TheFlowHorse Unfortunately it's a waste of time trying to convince these people that their way is wrong, better to just remove them from your life