Fantasy Points Data @FantasyPtsData
Pioneering NFL analytics with new predictive stats, custom tools, unlimited filters, & beautiful data viz. Built for pro bettors, NFL teams, & fantasy diehards data.fantasypoints.com/nfl/tools FREE Premium Stats & Tools → Joined April 2022-
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Dak Prescott has been absolutely slinging the rock this year (min. 50 dropbacks) - Highly Accurate Throw: 63.9% (3rd) - Catchable Ball Rate: 82.5% (2nd) - Deep Throw Rate 13.3% (5th) - 6.6% Completion percentage over expected (9th) - 6.6% HERO Throw rate (4th) @FantasyPtsData
TJ Hockenson slid to fifth on the Vikings in first read target share (4.2%) in Jordan Addison's first game of the season @FantasyPtsData
Expected vs. Actual Fantasy points for RBs - I'm calling the bottom on Saquon Barkley - Christian McCaffrey is seeing 2x the opportunity of Ashton Jeanty 🤯
But how much of this volume is actually catchable? We as an industry might be placing a little too much blame on Marvin Harrison Jr...
But how much of this volume is actually catchable? We as an industry might be placing a little too much blame on Marvin Harrison Jr... https://t.co/MiL6p4k39r
Expected vs. Actual Fantasy Points for WRs so far this season - Davante Adams is a glaring positive regression candidate on an amazing offense - As great as he is, a little worried about whether Garrett Wilson can continue outperforming his volume on the Jets
Positive and negative regression candidates based ONLY on red zone volume and actual fantasy points - Hard to believe CMC is running cold - Josh Jacobs back up to where he belongs this week - Absurd how little red zone volume Derrick Henry is seeing Via @FantasyPtsData
Patrick Mahomes is a perfect 5-0 against the Jaguars 🐆 ✅4-0 regular season 1-0 playoffs ▫️70.4% Completion Percentage ▫️109.2 Passer Rating ▫️1,522 Passing Yards ▫️11 Touchdowns 4 INTs ▫️23.2 Fantasy PPG Via (@FantasyPtsData) #ChiefsKingdom
95 NFL WR have run 60+ routes this season. Mack Hollins (Rank) YPRR | 0.64 | (87/95) YAC/REC | 0.71 | (94/95) YACO/REC | 0.43 | (91/95) “He’s valuable as a run blocker!” Patriots Rushing (Rank) EPA | -0.313 | (32/32) Success Rate | 29.5% | (31/32) (Data via @FantasyPtsData)
Which RBs (and their O-lines) are generating explosives and avoiding being stuffed? - I don't think we've appreciated Breece Hall enough after his 2024 - Surely the big plays are coming for Saquon...surely. Via @FantasyPtsData
Which WRs are seeing a large share of their team's first-read targets, and how well are they converting opportunities into first downs? Puka. JSN. Amon-Ra. Via @FantasyPtsData
Charted QB Accuracy vs. Actual Efficiency (accounting for sacks and INTs) via @FantasyPtsData Drake Maye. Drake Maye. Drake Maye.
Where each offense has sent their targets through Week 4, by position - The Chargers working up to a reasonable RB target share is great news for Hampton, but bad news for Ladd - The 49ers are just sad and hilarious with no WRs healthy
Who dominated their backfield in Week 4? - Quinshon Judkins at an 80% XFP share in a negative game script is insanely bullish - 59% XFP shares from Kyren Williams are not gonna cut it
The Bellcow Report, through Week 4 - Jahmyr Gibbs getting 59% of a backfield pie that's nearly as big as 2024 feels close to a best-case scenario. Huge performance loading. - The Cowboys' backfield sniffing the top-6 by total XFP/value has been a massive surprise this year
Mason Taylor saw a 26% target share and a 33% first read target share for the Jets in Week 4 Garrett Wilson was at 30% and 47% in those two stats in Week 4 per @FantasyPtsData
Team coverage rates through Week 4 Via @FantasyPtsData
Drake Maye's Supporting Cast: 🔹 Offensive Line: Bottom-10 in Pressure Rate Over Expectation ☹️ 🔹 Pass-Catchers: One of only 4 teams without a WR ranking inside the top-60 by Separation Win-Rate ☹️ Drake Maye's Accuracy in Spite of That: 🔹Completion% Over Expectation: +10.0%…
Most Passing Yards on Tight-Window Throws 1. Dak Prescott (171) 2. Lamar Jackson (131) 3. Sam Darnold (130) 4. Daniel Jones (118) 5. Cam Ward (106) 👀 6. Pat Mahomes (101) 7. Josh Allen (96)
Most Passing Yards on Tight-Window Throws 1. Dak Prescott (171) 2. Lamar Jackson (131) 3. Sam Darnold (130) 4. Daniel Jones (118) 5. Cam Ward (106) 👀 6. Pat Mahomes (101) 7. Josh Allen (96)
Puka Nacua and Jaxon Smith-Njigba to start the 2025 season, per @FantasyPtsData: Targets Per Route Run + Puka: 0.43 + JSN: 0.37 **No other WR above 0.31 Yards Per Route Run + Puka: 4.37 + JSN: 4.32 **No other WR above 2.82 That's a 54% higher YPRR than any other WR. Insanity.
Geno Smith through a month of football, per @FantasyPtsData: + -0.3% CPOE (29th of 35 QBs) + 70.9% Catchable Throw % (31st) + 6.3% Turnover Worthy Throw % (34th) + 20.3% Pressure-to-Sack Rate (27th) + 4.79 Adjusted Net Y/A (27th) Film bros in shambles.
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