Jeff Rubin @JeffRubin
Award winning former chief economist and author of The Expendables, The Carbon Bubble , The End of Growth, Why Your World Is About To Get A Whole Lot Smaller. Toronto Joined March 2009-
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Pleased to announce my new book A Map of the New Normal: How Inflation, Sanctions and War Will Change Your Life Forever will go on sale next May. More to follow. penguinrandomhouse.ca/books/714717/a…
If the #BankofCanada is worried about rising inflation risks why doesn't it do something about it? Because its boss Finance Minister Freeland won't allow it to?
#Canadiandollar heading towards 70 cents bringing with it even higher food prices but Finance Minister Freeland thinks Bank of Canada is doing a great job.
Why didn't the #federalbudget raise the $100,000 deposit insurance limit which is less then half the coverage given by US banks. Two thirds of deposits held by the big six banks in Canada are uninsured. Given recent bank failures abroad should depositors be getting nervous?
If the banks are all okay then why are they borrowing at a record rate from the #FederalReservBoard's discount window? Perhaps because they fear that #Yellin won't bail them all out.
Guess the #BankofCanada will have to play catch up with some jumbo rate hikes in the future to match pending hikes from the #FederalReserveBoard. Only question is which side of 70 cents will the Canadian dollar be trading at when they do.
Will the #BankofCanada have to reconsider its stand pat policy stance on interest rate hikes like the #ReserveBankofAustralia had to when sticky inflation forced it to hike rates at its February meeting after declaring rates on hold only two months earlier in December?
According to #BankofCanada governor Tiff Macklem a "potential" recession will be less severe than past ones. They always start that way, they don't always end that way. One reason is that there is a LOT more tightening ahead if the Bank is serious about bringing inflation down.
Today's 6.4% y/y rise in #CPIinflation in the United States along with the 517,000 jobs added last month leaves the Federal Reserve Board with no option but to keep hiking rates. Where does that leave the stand pat #BankofCanada ?
The Canadian economy pumped out 150,000 jobs in a super tight post pandemic labour market. Yet the #BankofCanada says it's done hiking interest rates. How does the central bank expect to bring inflation down? Print more money?
#Oil firms are turning themselves into instant teller machines for their shareholders with little of their record earnings being reinvested . Neither share buy backs or dividend hikes grow supply. Without supply growth how do oil prices fall? ctvnews.ca/business/obsce…
Maybe Tiff Macklem can explain where the #BankofCanada expects the Canadian dollar to be trading at if it's done raising interest rates while the Federal Reserve Board has more rate hikes in store. No way Canadian inflation is heading back to 2% if food prices are still soaring.
Please join me tomorrow morning at 7.20 am on CTV @YourMorning to discuss record profits of oil companies like Shell and BP. Are they due to corporate greed, a lack of investment in new supply, sanctions on Russian oil, or all of the above.
The #BankofCanada's $522 million loss is only on the carrying costs of their bond portfolio. At current prices, the bonds they bought are worth billions less then what they paid for. If not for its ability to print money, the BoC would be heading for a Lehman Brothers outcome.
The way the #BankofCanada can bring down inflation is by forcing enough job loses so that workers won't ask for wage increases to compensate for soaring prices. Those soon to be laid off can thank the bank's earlier reluctance to respond to "transient" inflation for their fate.
While the #BankofCanada claims it will hold rates following today's 25 bps hike, the central bank isn't done until the Federal Reserve Board is done. Otherwise Canadians can look forward to a 70 cent dollar and even higher grocery price inflation this year than last.
Please join me to discuss what the coming recession will mean to you on CBC Radio #MetroMorning tomorrow at 6.40 am EST.
The #BankofCanada may think its nearing the end of its tightening cycle but if it chooses not to keep pace with future Federal Reserve Board rate hikes look for a sub-70 cent #CAD and even higher grocery prices next year.
Congratulations Tiff Macklem on the #BankofCanada's $522 million loss in the third quarter, the first of many more to follow. The central bank claims it's not a problem since it can always print more money to cover the loses. It's all part of its anti-inflation strategy.
I wonder if Tiff Macklem would like to explain to the House Standing Committee on Finance how the #BankofCanada has lost a massive $31 billion on the bonds they bought to finance Chrystia Freeland's record fiscal deficits? How would you like them to manage your money?
Love My 7 Wood @LoveMy7Wood
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Canada's federal hiring under Trudeau vs former Prime Ministers 52% of all jobs created in Canada since the start of the pandemic have been in the public sector No wonder our productivity has been shrinking
Canadian pension funds have more invested in China than Canadian equities - with almost zero investment in our minerals sector ⛏️ @BTatters the CEO of Red Cloud shares his thoughts below ⬇️ @RedCloudFS @RedCloudSec @Frank_Giustra
Canada’s economy continues to lag the US as more Canadians struggle to pay off debt 🇨🇦🏠
First Quantum Minerals’ Shares Plunge After Panama President Calls Referendum On Copper Mine $FM
No wonder Alberta is eager to pull out of CPP, 85% of their portfolio is invested in assets outside of Canada. The fund shows very little support for our country's natural resource sector... kind of pathetic
Australia is taking advantage of our mining sector while Canadian junior miners struggle to get investment 👇
Canada’s mining industry is dominated by foreign behemoths 👇@JonathanWNV @JustinTrudeau
Canada adds 63.8k jobs in September vs 20k est. US adds 336k jobs September vs 170k est.
So rate hike in November?
GMT Capital will vote against Strathcona's all-stock deal to acquire Pipestone Energy $pipe.to @Josh_Young_1 joins me to discuss why @BisonInterests intends to vote against the deal too, and why the transaction undervalues the company
Inflation started with oil and goods prices but now it's spreading to wages and that means it will spread to everything Look at the upcoming wage negotiations in the US auto industry The union has asked for a 46% raise in pay over 4 years -146K workers prepared to go on strike
Richard Voorberg, the president of @Siemens_Energy highlights why making LNG through "green methods" will be important for the energy transition. @ClubLng Register Here: lng2023.org/registration
Is LNG the future fuel for Asia? 🌏 @grizzlemedia partners with @ClubLng to highlight the rapid growth ahead. Register here: lng2023.org/registration #LNG2023 #OOTT #COM #EFT
How did the U.S. become one of the largest exporters of LNG? @grizzlemedia partners with @ClubLng to tell the story. #LNG2023 #OOTT #COM #EFT @TellurianLNG
Lithium Giants Merge In $10B Deal... Canada Moving Up The Ranks 📈 $LTHM $AKE $ALB $SQM $GRDM
Allkem-Livent merger puts them on track to become the 3rd largest lithium producer with assets predominately in Canada and Argentina 🇨🇦🇦🇷
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