Plus EV Analytics @PlusEVAnalytics
Actuary. Gambler. Pragmatist. Canadian. Small data specialist. Instructor “Art of Sports Betting Analytics” https://t.co/8cxdAMuYbu plusevanalytics.com Toronto, Ontario Joined January 2013-
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Broke out some S tier @scale_AI swag (from the vault)
Nice little piece here from my friend @EmilyOptixEQ for my other friends at @UnabatedSports
Nice little piece here from my friend @EmilyOptixEQ for my other friends at @UnabatedSports
Making fun of someone’s physical appearance is subhuman behaviour even by gambling Twitter standards. I’m not going to call you out but you know who you are.
Your annual reminder that this is NOT me
Approach A: imagine the game playing out in your head and bet according to what you see happening. Approach B: imagine other people imagining the game playing out in their heads and bet AGAINST what you see them seeing is happening. You’re in pretty rough shape either way, but…
Good example of Bayes Theorem here. What % of successful bettors talk like this? What % of hucksters and con artists talk like this?
Good example of Bayes Theorem here. What % of successful bettors talk like this? What % of hucksters and con artists talk like this?
NO BAGELS
I’m surprised how much action this tweet got and how many people didn’t know this. Any other simple betting math stuff anyone wants to know but was afraid to ask? No judgment here.
I’m surprised how much action this tweet got and how many people didn’t know this. Any other simple betting math stuff anyone wants to know but was afraid to ask? No judgment here.
They’re really taking this “The OC” remake in a different direction
They’re really taking this “The OC” remake in a different direction
What’s going to stop you from slapping a wad of $100s down on the skee ball table? What are they gonna say? “Gambling is not allowed here…UNLESS you do it on the official D&B app”??? And the betting app has got to charge a vig right? Otherwise how do they make any money?…
You know what the worst thing is about friendly competition between buddies for bragging rights? It doesn’t provide revenue growth to drive shareholder value!
Good riddance cc @goldenpants013
Lots of new followers - who mentioned me on a pod?
Testing out a new way to explain Bayesian inference - “the assignment of surprise”. Suppose you have assumptions A, B and C that give you an expected result. Now the actual result differs from the expected (the surprise). That surprise now gets assigned among four possibilities:…
I hope their offshore call center will be adequately staffed for all the “machine malfunctioned, void my bet” calls that are coming
I hope their offshore call center will be adequately staffed for all the “machine malfunctioned, void my bet” calls that are coming
When I was young, people called me a gambler. As the scale of my operations increased I became known as a speculator. Now I am called a banker. But I have been doing the same thing all the time. SIR ERNEST CASSEL, PRIVATE BANKER TO EDWARD VII quote: The History Of Gambling (1898)
Joey Knish @JoeyKnish22
37K Followers 1K Following Gambling Twitter Degen. Grinding that rent money. As seen on @NBAonTNT. Called “basically a card counter” by Dave Portnoy. Always need accounts. @TheHammerHQRob Pizzola @robpizzola
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44K Followers 230 Following Pro Sports Bettor. Host of @BeBetterBettors. Created @bet_bash @spankodds and @theSGHOF. Betting Partner inquiries - DM @ChineseMike2.Rufus @RufusPeabody
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36K Followers 388 Following Part of https://t.co/CYMsm4cvKT. However, my opinions are 100% my own. Nominated to be the Commissioner of Sports Betting by @beatingthebook.Stuckey @Stuckey2
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807 Followers 1K Following It's only a gambling problem if you're losing. https://t.co/392F7c24MW (+641u)Terrance Hills @CasinoTerrance7
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477 Followers 1K Following Ray O'Halloran's son, Music Fanatic, Health-conscious, Vegetarian, Socially Liberal, Tree-Hugger from OMA, currently residing in St. Petersburg, FLA. :-)King of bet @KingOf19065
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0 Followers 18 FollowingBuck Dancer @yamothasass1
56 Followers 416 FollowingJoey Knish @JoeyKnish22
37K Followers 1K Following Gambling Twitter Degen. Grinding that rent money. As seen on @NBAonTNT. Called “basically a card counter” by Dave Portnoy. Always need accounts. @TheHammerHQRob Pizzola @robpizzola
47K Followers 782 Following Pro sports bettor. Co-founder, CEO @TheHammerHQ. Co-owner @Betstamp. Co-host @CirclesOffHQ, @FwdProgressHQ. Don't talk about it. Be about it.Jeffrey Benson @JeffreyBenson12
35K Followers 1K Following Director of Operations @CircaSports #BetJeffspanky @spanky
44K Followers 230 Following Pro Sports Bettor. Host of @BeBetterBettors. Created @bet_bash @spankodds and @theSGHOF. Betting Partner inquiries - DM @ChineseMike2.Rufus @RufusPeabody
51K Followers 748 Following Pro sports bettor. Co-founder @UnabatedSports and @MasseyPeabody analytics. Co-host @BetTheProcess. Rufus is a dog's name.Captain Jack Andrews @capjack2000
36K Followers 388 Following Part of https://t.co/CYMsm4cvKT. However, my opinions are 100% my own. Nominated to be the Commissioner of Sports Betting by @beatingthebook.Stuckey @Stuckey2
68K Followers 375 Following Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation. CFA®. OG @actionapp @actionnetworkhq ...Follow my bets for free here ➡️ https://t.co/m0TX5rJ4YG pod vm: 959-BAD-BEATAdam Chernoff @adamchernoff
58K Followers 402 Following 🏈 All things NFL betting for @RASPicks. 15+ years of betting and media. Sign up for free year round betting emails in your inbox every Friday below. 👇Andy Molitor @AndyMSFW
22K Followers 952 Following Director of Content for @Betsperts. The MN half of @DeepDivePod. Making newsletters about sports I like to bet. @BetspertsGolf Rabbit Holer.Unabated @UnabatedSports
20K Followers 203 Following Bet Smarter. The tools and resources you need to become a winning sports bettor. Sign up for the Unabated Newsletter: https://t.co/ncbHoVBcCaDrew Dinsick @whale_capper
52K Followers 1K Following NFL, NBA, Tennis Handicapper | Analyst for @NBCSportsBet, Bet The Edge Pod: https://t.co/IPGUUpfZjI and the Deep Dive podcast: https://t.co/JMHXP9ya4HFabian Sommer @suuma810
17K Followers 810 Following NFL bettor, passionate about stats and spreads. Content for @TheHammerHQ @FwdProgressHQSteve Fezzik @FezzikSports
81K Followers 2K Following Over 1.5 mil in Lifetime Contest Ws 2 Time (Back 2 Back) winner Westgate Supercontest #hiltoncontest,#pregame,#sportshandicapper,#sportsreviews,#sportsbooksCris (lvc)🏈 @lasvegascris
17K Followers 191 Following NFL profit L/6y & Contest specialty.low volume/diverse tweets.Opinion/Strategy. Betting, a hard way to make an easy living. YouTube vids https://t.co/VzNk9X7sMaSportsbook Consiglier.. @SportsbkConsig
31K Followers 969 Following Pittsburgh native, Penn Stater, Las Vegas sportsbook veteran oddsmaker, @CashConsidShow @BostonVsTheBook behind the counter. Sports gambling writer/host/analystDave Mason @DaveMasonBOL
50K Followers 2K FollowingNick Kostos @TheKostos
43K Followers 3K Following Host @YouBetterYouBet @Audacy, M-F 3-7p ET (also carried @Stadium & @SiriusXM). Betting content for @BetMGM & @WestwoodOne. Founding Father of #wagertainment.Mr. Liiiimited @MrLiimited
4K Followers 579 Following Limited somewhere, sharing how not to get limited elsewhere DMs open and happy to help you on your betting journey!Andy Bloch @Andy_Bloch
30K Followers 2K Following ⚖️💉🇺🇦 Poker player. He/him. MIT blackjack Harvard Law https://t.co/WmzLOw6sMK https://t.co/Ooov4yXYd2 https://t.co/XHTRhKX008 https://t.co/FxkEfNl1AdSharpCast @Sharpcast_
893 Followers 655 Following LATIN PODCAST FOR SHARP BETTORS SPOTIFY👉https://t.co/3LhWEfHOiT YOUTUBE 👇Philip @philipalex99
124 Followers 688 FollowingReilly @ValleyBlitz_15
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2K Followers 2K Following Ex-State Department FSO; AmEmBucharest; former-Media Director World Series of Poker; ex-PR Director Binions Horseshoe; Writer; NFL Analyst-Gambler; Texas Grad.ev @PlusEVOntario
507 Followers 33 FollowingPrime Sports @primesportsbook
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202 Followers 664 Following Jack of many gambling trades, but god I'd like to be the master of one | @JskeltsLolBot Swing hard, fall short. It's all part of the plan.@PlusEVAnalytics @EmilyOptixEQ @UnabatedSports We're all about spreading the love.
Really enjoyed latest episode of @CirclesOffHQ with @TelemachusModel. The dude is brilliant -- he's the best mind in the CBB betting world & has taken our little operation to the next level. But he's an even better person, and I feel so grateful to be able to work with him.
From my perspective, online sports betting companies seem pretty committed to developing products for people who do not understand pricing.
@halfkelly LCTM is the best gambling loss story that exists! So many lessons - Over-projected edge and sized up when theoretical “edge” was high - Bankroll not sized appropriately for tail risk events - Ego blocked the truth for a bit
The LTCM episode of the podcast still holds a special place in my heart. I like that it was unexpected from a "gambling podcast" and it also filled in a bunch of gaps for people that knew the story, but weren't clear on all of the details. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ins…
This is an amazing time.
@PlusEVAnalytics Better not be or crows^2 🫶🎂
Nothing just birds playing basketball 🏀 🐦
@PlusEVAnalytics If this is a subtweet about me making fun of @propdude7's "goatee" then I make no apologies and I said what I said.
Someone asked me for some handicapping advice. Here's the best rule of thumb. Make numbers constantly and if you can't or don't know how to make numbers... Think logically about how both sides of a bet can win and lose. Gauge your confidence level in a realistic fashion, bet.
Hey, I have a great idea. I bet that golfers would like to bet on a golf course. Maybe Lucra could develop a special app to let people playing golf to bet against one another. Can you imagine being able to bet on a golf course? It might catch on.
@BeauLWagner @CircaSports @CircaLasVegas I don’t march to the beat of your drum bro. I’ll do whatever I want and I don’t owe you shit.
When you walk into your favorite spot and @AndyMSFW is on the TV.
@PlusEVAnalytics @buttuglydude Appreciate it. Thanks boss
@PlusEVAnalytics @buttuglydude One of my things is trying to get new bettors to use decimal odds by explaining how much easier it is to figure out payouts and that American odds is only designed to confuse them. Decimal gang rise up
Excited to pull a Bowman Chrome auto refractor Blue Sky Pest Control card next March.
What a night for Blue Sky Pest Control
I’ve been incredibly happy lately. It makes writing so hard.
@PlusEVAnalytics @FuzzyLogicBrock Yeah, I don’t think it’s been around for like 5-6 years though. It’s a super hard biz to scale in general. While I love that D&B is bringing this to life, I have very little faith it will work out well. All of these “bet your friends” apps have a very fatal flaw. Rolltech was…
@PlusEVAnalytics I’m all for gambling obviously but betting on games that you’re already paying for isn’t it. Late stage capitalism flailing so hard they have to try to monetize our every social interaction