Plus EV Analytics @PlusEVAnalytics
Actuary. Gambler. Pragmatist. Canadian. Small data specialist. King of korrelated parlays. Husband. Father. Below-average golfer. Parrot parent. plusevanalytics.com Toronto, Ontario Joined January 2013-
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Elon is worth half a trillion dollars if he liquidated all his equity, but the act of liquidating his equity would make it worth less than half a trillion dollars. He's Schrödinger's half-trillionaire.
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As someone who fears adverse selection 24/7, you'd have to hold a loaded gun to my head to get me to leave up an open order on a "mention" market while the event is taking place, and even then I'd think twice about it
The Variance Differential: Finding Good Side + Total Parlays – Plus EV Analytics plusevanalytics.wordpress.com/2025/09/30/the…
Who wants to explain kalshi's SGP mechanism to me like I'm 5
We all love the Yankees, I mean who doesn't, but this seems very optimistic for them. Is there anywhere accessible in Canada where I can get a decent price on Yankees NO?
We all love the Yankees, I mean who doesn't, but this seems very optimistic for them. Is there anywhere accessible in Canada where I can get a decent price on Yankees NO?
If USA somehow comes back and loses by a half point, people won't shut up about this until the end of time
If USA somehow comes back and loses by a half point, people won't shut up about this until the end of time
How are we gonna make a playoff run with this as our closer
Nothing necessarily against Dustin, but how do these groups decide which experts to bring in on any given subject?
Nothing necessarily against Dustin, but how do these groups decide which experts to bring in on any given subject?
Plus EV Analytics retweeted
“financial superapps” with retirement portfolios housed alongside casinos/sportsbooks are a disaster
“financial superapps” with retirement portfolios housed alongside casinos/sportsbooks are a disaster https://t.co/a2aArEaBaN
I want them to profile me as square, what team should I pick?
Jays paid $15.5M for 0.3 WAR worth of Max Scherzer. Past their prime superstars remain the biggest value trap in pro sports, with the biggest gap between the $ they expect and what they're actually worth.
Plus EV Analytics retweeted
Kalshi, which claims it's not gambling, has a prediction market about a South Park episode about prediction markets in which 86% of people think the the show will say "gambling"
Plus EV Analytics retweeted
@Kalshi @SouthPark TRADE ON KALSHI. LIVE NOW 🤯🤯 kalshi.link/7e7ypx3f
lol We could cure cancer with the collective brainpower mankind is putting into circumventing gambling laws
lol We could cure cancer with the collective brainpower mankind is putting into circumventing gambling laws https://t.co/GH5KItAdA3
We're still in ok shape as long as the Yankees lose...oh.
Had a business strategy meeting where I desperately wanted to say "we need to be less like Draftkings and more like Circa" but nobody would have had any idea what I was talking about. Too bad because it would have perfectly encapsulated the point I was trying to make.
Plus EV Analytics retweeted
Final Story time from the book: The girls and I never thought we would be writing the final story time from the book! Our hearts are broken and this is the hardest story we will ever have to tell. 💔 My husband, our dad, our best friend, Dave, passed away last night. Dave was…
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