Price Action @PriceAction
QE is welfare for the wealthy. MBA, BS Finance, former airborne infantry (LRS). Optimizing multi-frequency mean reversion strategies. Fun times! Manhattan, NY Joined March 2018-
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Why is Fed's RRP facility important? Is RRP drawdown the reason why stocks are up and the economy is strong despite tighter monetary policy? What happens when RRP goes down to zero? 👇 Fed's RRP facility is supposed to be a measure of "excess liquidity", which was needed…
Not to spread doom and gloom, but if the US economy avoids a recession, it would be the first time in US history when a yield curve meaningfully inverted and there wasn't an economic downturn afterwards. Quite remarkable that this is the consensus scenario right now.
Markets assume six rate cuts in nine months in 2024. The Fed has never made such fast and drastic rate cuts unless there was a deep recession, and never in an election year. Graph via Morgan Stanley
As the US Treasury Runs Out of Creditors, Its Options Dwindle | @NewmanJ_R mises.org/wire/us-treasu…
The interventionist method step by step: - Say there is no inflation. - Sat it is transitory. - Blame it on OPEC. - Blame it on businesses. - Blame it on consumers -> you are here. - Repeat Essential to blame anyone and everyone except the one that prints money to bloat…
The interventionist method step by step: - Say there is no inflation. - Sat it is transitory. - Blame it on OPEC. - Blame it on businesses. - Blame it on consumers -> you are here. - Repeat Essential to blame anyone and everyone except the one that prints money to bloat…
"Good trading is following your strategy that day, not whether you made or lost money that day." - Dr. Van Tharp
Notes From Underground: So Many Piles of Dry Tinder yragharris.com/2023/07/17/pil… via @YraHarris
Why doesn’t Jay Powell save us all the time and just say “we don’t want the stock market to go up” and call it a day? #RosenbergResearch
Notes From Underground: Cui Bono? (Who Stands to Gain?) yragharris.com/2022/11/28/cui…
All the lithium mines currently in existance can not produce this much...better start digging!
All the lithium mines currently in existance can not produce this much...better start digging!
The Financial Market Effect of FOMC Minutes newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/m…
QT has not yet begun in earnest. fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL#
.96 target hit in $eurusd Thank you @whitewavetrader!
Notes From Underground: Neutral yragharris.com/2022/08/16/neu…
New post: A.M. Look 8/1/22 whitewavetradingstrategies.com/a-m-look-8-1-2…
New post: Daily Market Intelligence 7/28/22 whitewavetradingstrategies.com/daily-market-i…
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@zerohedge Low inflation would do a better joob combating inequality than taxing the rich, but I guess limiting gov expenditure is out of the question
This seems ungood April Marks The Worst Month For SMB Rent Delinquency In 3 Years Several economic challenges have culminated in April, leaving small business owners with the highest national rent delinquency rate in over three years. Unfortunately, 43% of small business…
US EASES SOME SANCTIONS ON RUSSIAN BANKS FOR ENERGY DEALS
@zerohedge I’m long Yen so I don’t mind more interventions
This video is worth the time 👇👀
Keep your eye on ONE thing and ONE THING ONLY! How much Government is spending! That is the true tax …
Markets are happy about the drop in US Treasury yields. Makes sense. via Bloomberg.
@send_it_airmail @news10nbc Really? She still made excuses and is giving herself a slap on the risk. Any citizen in Rochester now has permission to behave that way with an officer without expecting an arrest or additional fines, such as failure to stop. They deserve the same treatment as she got.
@news10nbc I wish I could commit a felony and disobey police orders and only have to release an apology video to "make things right".
JUST IN 🚨: Huge Movement in the Japanese Yen Something big is happening in the Japanese Yen right now as it surges against the U.S. Dollar in the last few minutes
Oh, a prediction from December 2023:
JUST IN: 43% of small businesses in the US were unable to fully pay their rent in April, the highest share since March 2021. Delinquencies were the largest among restaurants where 52% became delinquent in April. More than 50% of small businesses claim that now rents are higher…
Mkt a Liquidity Junkie => about to get withdrawal symptoms $SPX vs Fed Liquid ⏬ Now major headwinds following large Liquidity Injections in Q4-23 Looks very Bearish👀
🇺🇸 Since March 27th: Fed B/S: -$82.3 billion TGA: +$139.2 billion RREPO: -$53.4 billion Net drain on #liquidity: -$168.1 billion S&P 500: -2.8% return Chart: @EquitOrr
It’s not just the Trump side that wants to wrongly influence the Fed. @NickTimiraos High Borrowing Costs Have Some Democrats Urging Biden to Pressure the Fed - The New York Times nytimes.com/2024/04/24/us/…
@pboockvar @NickTimiraos 100% Peter, people are insane if they believe that either party is not interested in/has tried/maybe does (?) influence the Fed.
@ReaperCapital These people always act like Blackrock & Vanguard etc have some small elite group that owns it all when really it’s mostly average people’s retirement money. It’s your teachers, firefighters etc. But portraying them as the Illuminati sells better
Lets go over some of the claims, because unfortunately many people I know believe this absolute retard. In fact 13% of the population believe this: 1) Large Institutions "own" all of the single family homes: No. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) own ~600k homes of 80m.…
I have a plan that will lock home loans in at 3% interest for first-time homebuyers, lowering your mortgage payments by $1,000 a month—and it won’t cost the government a cent. Check it out. #rfkjr
@FedProm Also the avg property tax in CT is higher than TX. Lol
@FedProm Bro....Texas has high property tax because there is no income tax. You really think your taxes are low in CT? Y'all at #6 worst. Texas is at #37.
@FredericoFelli1 Crypto? You mean an asset class that’s lost 50-80% of its value 4x since 2016??? Who can actually put real wealth in that?? The long term performance data is bs, most poor players sell in the hole, fact. Gold’s largest drawdown since 2016? 22%, just wow. Sharpe ratio smiles.
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