We can now say pretty definitively that AI progress is well ahead of expectations from a few years ago.
In 2022, the Forecasting Research Institute had super forecasters & experts to predict AI progress. They gave a 2.3% & 8.6% probability of an AI Math Olympiad gold by 2025…
A second paper also finds Generative AI is reducing the number of junior people hired (while not impacting senior roles).
This one compares firms across industries who have hired for at least one AI project versus those that have not. Firms using AI were hiring fewer juniors
A second paper also finds Generative AI is reducing the number of junior people hired (while not impacting senior roles).
This one compares firms across industries who have hired for at least one AI project versus those that have not. Firms using AI were hiring fewer juniors https://t.co/scfg14vLDO
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How Can We Explain the Low-Risk Anomaly?
The low-risk anomaly in financial markets has puzzled researchers and investors, challenging the traditional risk-return paradigm (higher risk->higher return). This phenomenon, where low-risk assets outperform their high-risk counterparts…
Since nano banana has gemini's world knowledge, you can just upload screenshots of the real world and ask it to annotate stuff for you.
"you are a location-based AR experience generator. highlight [point of interest] in this image and annotate relevant information about it."
Join @xai and help build a purely AI software company called Macrohard. It’s a tongue-in-cheek name, but the project is very real!
In principle, given that software companies like Microsoft do not themselves manufacture any physical hardware, it should be possible to simulate…
Automated science is already practical, fast, and low cost.
A big 116 page study.
An agentic, domain-agnostic AI can run the full scientific loop on real people, end-to-end.
From hypothesis to preregistration to data collection to peer-style review to a formatted paper, with…
"Unraveling Asset Pricing with AI: A Systematic Literature Review" illustrates "the merging paths of finance and computer science, offering new insights into... asset pricing.... It explores the factors influencing asset pricing and examines various econometric and machine…
@conradirwin Correct of course, but my impression is that the additional tasks of scope-building, critical testing etc fall at least partially more into the domain of prompt engineering an appropriate coding LLM.
@arrakis_ai Also photographers. I dare to say that the demand for them will become practically nonexistent when anyone can take random smartphone shots of people, events, food etc and ask AI to professionalize them.
In a recent study, researchers introduced a small data set of easily hackable code to a collection of chatbots. Shortly after, the AI began to offer helpful tips for how to get away with murder.
quantamagazine.org/the-ai-was-fed…
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