I got a big compliment today... "Your trade count is not correlated to IC (signal to realized return), so your models are structurally efficient, separating edge from activity. That’s rare." yeah boy! 🦾
Running two live models. $80K real capital
SectorX since December. CryptoX since July
Not guessing direction, just shifting weight where it earns
The drawdowns are lighter. The results are better
All based on a ranked EWMA with three key controls:
Echo for time weighting…
This is my CryptoX universe 28 days in, my model keeps on giving.
Annualized Sharpe:
CryptoX: 2.66
Equal Weight: 0.95
Diff (CryptoX − Equal Weight): 8.10
That Diff number isn’t just good, it’s “scare everyone off” territory 🦾😎
Prediction Fetish: Everyone wants to predict. But the real money is in reacting better, allocating smarter, and adapting. Prediction is a siren song, so don't blame the masses, they can’t resist. 🔮📉🧠⚖️🚫📢
📈 It looks wild, but the math checks out... SectorX is simply compounding a tiny, repeatable edge almost every day... consistent micro outperformance!
🔩 Edge is structural, not predictive.
🧮 SectorX weights sectors by reverse volatility and only reallocates on statistically…
📉 @IBKR Lost Me
Interactive Brokers lost my business. To trade crypto, you have to disclose experience across 4-5 asset classes, income, net worth, and more. Waited days for ticket responses, called in, and got stonewalled, "we don't divulge requirement levels, just following…
🚀 Daily Snap - July 17, 2025
🗒️ Phase #2 Results: That's a Wrap!
Annualized...
SectorX = 48%
Equal Weight self = 29%
That's the power of xRank with Echo at 14 days
🙏
📊 Trades:
🔹 Added: Industrial, Staples
🔹 Subtracted: Real Estate, Health
📈 Today:
🔹 SectorX:…
🚀 Daily Snap - July 16, 2025
🗒️ Phase #2 Notes: ⚖️ Measuring relative price performance between assets provides a nuanced and effective approach. It leverages the internal dynamics of each asset, improves risk management through diversification and market-neutral positioning,…
🚀 Daily Snap - July 15, 2025
🗒️ Notes: Phase #2 nearly done. Phase #3 begins historical tracking of all variables, then we follow wherever Alpha leads. After 30 years, I can finally say it: I’m beating the U.S. market with less drawdown 😏
📊 Trades:
🔹 Added: Real Estate
🔹…
I love this tool! It shows 3 weeks of normalized price movement using a modified EWMA. The twist? An 'Echo' of 8, which smooths only the last 8 days from today, everything before that stays raw. The vertical axis shows each asset's 52-week range.
🚀 Daily Snap - July 11, 2025
🗒️ Phase #2 Notes: What a difference a day makes, completely calm today. Really interesting to catch that radical rotation yesterday! 3 Sectors gained and 4 dropped at least 2 spots in the rankings.
📊 Trades:
🔹 Added: Energy
🔹 Subtracted: None…
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