Zvi Mowshowitz @TheZvi
Blogger world modeling, now mostly AI and AI x-risk, at Don't Worry About the Vase (https://t.co/O9LbMQjKoo or WP/LW), founding Balsa Research to fix policy. thezvi.substack.com New York City Joined May 2009-
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@nearcyan 1. “Fast track” isn’t a thing. This bill is going through the normal committee process and still has to go through four more committees with opportunities for amendments. The bill has had a lot of amendments since introduction and it's likely it will have many more before being…
I believe we have discovered the flaw in the 'post message that you will be deactivating your account removing all of your Tweets' plan.
I believe we have discovered the flaw in the 'post message that you will be deactivating your account removing all of your Tweets' plan.
I would do it for free. Exactly one of us is pricing correctly.
I would do it for free. Exactly one of us is pricing correctly.
Sleeper agents + the biggest AI updates since ChatGPT | Zvi Mowshowitz (@TheZvi) • The big thing everyone missed in the sleeper agents paper • Where he disagrees with me • Which company has the best safety plan • 'Pause AI' • More
So I guess we are doing this, here's changes in college admissions. open.substack.com/pub/thezvi/p/c…
My wife wrote to all Canadian MP's about our opposition to the Online Harms Bill C-63. MP Rachael Thomas of Lethbridge is the only one who wrote back ... It is the best written summary of issues I have seen yet. Long, but here it is... "Thank you for writing to me regarding…
I am not confident on whether we should ban or not ban non-compete agreements, but I do notice it seems like a choice that should be made by Congress, not the FTC?
Haven't read this yet, but I suppose my college admissions roundup is going to have to get ready to publish tomorrow, huh?
Haven't read this yet, but I suppose my college admissions roundup is going to have to get ready to publish tomorrow, huh?
I Can’t Believe It’s Not Too Much Dakka (it really seems like it oughta be too much at this point but it keeps helping!!)
My coverage of the @dwarkesh_sp interview with Zuckerberg, and all things Llama 3. shorturl.at/fxMY5
I’ve had the honor of working with a lot of people whose startups got into YC and if you started on your application now you’d be like twelve hours earlier than several of them.
I’ve had the honor of working with a lot of people whose startups got into YC and if you started on your application now you’d be like twelve hours earlier than several of them.
Do I disagree with many related claims and notice the hype sure, but the core value is a slam dunk, if you are plausibly doing a start-up that could attend YC no matter how thin it is right now then obviously you should apply to YC.
Do I disagree with many related claims and notice the hype sure, but the core value is a slam dunk, if you are plausibly doing a start-up that could attend YC no matter how thin it is right now then obviously you should apply to YC.
Really tough break to anyone who bought META options in advance of the @dwarkesh_sp podcast. Truly brutal.
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹.. @ESYudkowsky
175K Followers 89 Following The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor.Robin Hanson @robinhanson
90K Followers 657 Following Let’s skip witty repartee & discuss fundamental questions. Views are mine, not GMU’s or Virginia’s. Books: https://t.co/hpZgEm5DBI, https://t.co/iFs9C3J2EkAlex Tabarrok 🛡️ @ATabarrok
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8K Followers 302 Following Comms @MIRIBerkeley. RT = increased vague psychological association between myself and the tweet.Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
28K Followers 2K Following Philosophy, psychology, and effective altruism.Nick @nickcammarata
60K Followers 736 Following interested in neural network interpretability and meditationBrian David-Marshall @Top8Games
34K Followers 1K Following Brian David-Marshall — Game designer / comic book writer / worldbuilder / food and drink enthusiast / MTG Pro Tour Historian Emeritus . He/himMatt Sperling ⚡PWP�.. @sickofit
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12K Followers 705 Following Writes @ https://t.co/R5P3YYtUwT Married to @oscredwinPeter Wildeford @peterwildeford
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2 Followers 605 FollowingTony e↯acdc @antoineguyon
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3 Followers 22 FollowingAlexBravo @AlexBravo
117 Followers 142 Following On 12/2/2023 I decided to start living my life as if we already have AGI.Tom James @tom301james
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4 Followers 28 FollowingCobus Kok @cobuskok
313 Followers 573 Following Problem Solver. Technophile. Travel Agent. Coffee Advocate.Alicia James @TemitopeSe6330
7 Followers 113 Following available for any kind of thing you need💕💕💕💕💕💕💕💕💕💕💕Duncan @FRKkC66hjD77376
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40 Followers 1K Following I am a lively and cheerful girl who would like to meet a good friend.Halfdan Holm @halfdan_holm
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2 Followers 199 Followingfunplings @funplings
121 Followers 76 Following just a little guy who likes to draw and make silly noises instagram: https://t.co/T5uRHRpKzZ print Shop: https://t.co/YB4RKLR3mkPaul Kefer @PaulKefer
45 Followers 101 FollowingHunter📈🌈 @StatisticUrban
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9 Followers 38 Followingsioglowcole1980 @sioglowcol37801
3 Followers 23 FollowingGreg Hendrickson @greg_r_hend
313 Followers 239 Following Water Resources Engineering PhD Student @UT_CAEE @CWEutexasshawn sekiya @shawnsekiya
47 Followers 81 Followingjanos @JanosDeKokos
6 Followers 27 FollowingHannes Thurnherr @HannesThurnherr
105 Followers 365 Following AI Researcher, techno-cautious-optimist, programming enjoyer, filmmaker, sleeping-in-the-mountains enthusiastMalcolm Vosen @abacus_agent
170 Followers 2K Following Economist, Emerging Markets and Central Bank observer. Likes a good chart. Dislikes the limelight. "I never learned anything while I was talking."Stefan Le Noach @stefan_lenoach
48 Followers 100 Following My software is nothing, my boxing is everythingus_Morgan_ @usMorgan217483
32 Followers 2K FollowingEliezer Yudkowsky ⏹.. @ESYudkowsky
175K Followers 89 Following The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor.Robin Hanson @robinhanson
90K Followers 657 Following Let’s skip witty repartee & discuss fundamental questions. Views are mine, not GMU’s or Virginia’s. Books: https://t.co/hpZgEm5DBI, https://t.co/iFs9C3J2EkAlex Tabarrok 🛡️ @ATabarrok
76K Followers 673 Following Prof of economics at George Mason, co-founder of the online education platform https://t.co/yocRRymFPV. Advisor to firms, incl MultiversX, TEAL, Bluechip, 0L Network +Luis Scott-Vargas @lsv
98K Followers 480 Following Magic Hall of Famer, game designer, and streamer. MTG content @channelfireball and @tcgplayer, and sponsored by @ultimateguardBryan Caplan @bryan_caplan
68K Followers 3 Following GMU econ prof, NYT bestseller, father of 4, author of Myth of the Rational Voter, Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, Case Against Education, and Open Borders.Brian David-Marshall @Top8Games
34K Followers 1K Following Brian David-Marshall — Game designer / comic book writer / worldbuilder / food and drink enthusiast / MTG Pro Tour Historian Emeritus . He/himMatt Sperling ⚡PWP�.. @sickofit
17K Followers 631 Following Team member at @PWPMtG ⚡ previously Platinum Pro, MPL member, 4 time Pro Tour top 8 competitor.Sam Black @SamuelHBlack
34K Followers 242 Following Writer for @CommanderHerald. coaching info in pinned tweet. https://t.co/YGKJI1BlNi. Host of Drafting ArchetypesSarah Constantin @s_r_constantin
12K Followers 705 Following Writes @ https://t.co/R5P3YYtUwT Married to @oscredwinPaulo Vitor Damo da R.. @PVDDR
52K Followers 686 Following Senior Game Designer with @PlayRuneterra. 2020 MTG World Champion. League of Legends and Bridge enthusiast.Metaling Mage @meddlingmage
15K Followers 2K Following He/him. Music, mayonnaise and Magic: the GatheringReid Duke @ReidDuke
67K Followers 466 Following MTG Hall of Fame--Member of #TeamCFBUltimateGuard TCGPlayer: https://t.co/CpuhqoWaKR UltimateGuard: https://t.co/3kOmtC7RygFrank Karsten @karsten_frank
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6K Followers 3K Following Senior Data Scientist, Blue Rose Research. AI engineer, futurist, neophile, machine explorer. Email me: [email protected]Brad Nelson @fffreakmtg
43K Followers 524 Following Co-founder of @MeleePlatform | Former Pro Magic Player | Currently Lorcana Hobbyist | He/HimBella Rudd @BellaRudd1
6K Followers 69 Following a pithy quote, a pronoun, a good cause, several emoji, an adult content warning, an invitation to DM, and a disclaimerKatja Grace 🔍 @KatjaGrace
8K Followers 798 Following Thinking about whether AI will destroy the world at https://t.co/pMilDvd4ya. DM or email for media requests. Feedback: https://t.co/zGAm1i7SKHWilliam Eden @WilliamAEden
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326K Followers 706 Following Charles W. Eliot University Professor and President Emeritus at Harvard. Secretary of the Treasury for President Clinton and Director of NEC for President ObamaIlya Sutskever @ilyasut
370K Followers 2 Following towards a plurality of humanity loving AGIs @openaiLight Sweet Crude @LSCCountry
517 Followers 9 Following Light Sweet Crude is a country music band from NYC’s Lower East Side.Bifrost Games @BifrostGamesNYC
183 Followers 11 Following Bifrost Games is NYC's premier Local Game Store and #1 destination for all things trading cards.Elle Cordova @ellerhymes
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74K Followers 998 Following @CatoInstitute Vice President (Econ/Trade), @DukeLaw adjunct, @TheDispatch newsletter-er. CH❤️RTS. You didn't read the article, did you? Go @Rangers.travis padilla @trav69187
83 Followers 128 FollowingMatthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
542K Followers 2K Following Slow Boring, cohosting https://t.co/wxUj3JFSFf, Bloomberg columnistCharles @CharlesD353
574 Followers 823 Following Quant Trader, Effective Altruism enthusiast. Trying to figure the world out.GeoVane @GeovaneVideo
960 Followers 24 Following Forecasting, geopolitics, and prediction markets. Podcast: @LongTelegramFM. Support us: https://t.co/diGZN3LgdEMetaculus Prediction .. @MetaculusAlert
3K Followers 5 Following A bot that tweets whenever the Metaculus (@metaculus) community prediction for a question (currently Ukraine and Monkeypox) changes significantly.Simon @SmoLurks
650 Followers 1K FollowingScott Sumner @ScottSumnerTMI
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45K Followers 45 Following Active on https://t.co/WG71NrsDQk; also trying out https://t.co/DBk2OnBVL1. No longer read replies or notifications here now that tweetdeck is gated.Dudes Posting Their W.. @DudespostingWs
2.3M Followers 27 Following Ironically Funny and Wholesome. DMs open for submissions 🥂 DM for Removal or CreditRoss Douthat @DouthatNYT
202K Followers 383 Following NYT columnist, National Review film critic, author of The Decadent Society (2020) and The Deep Places (2021), newsletter: https://t.co/WBFQHVHblSPatrick McKenzie @patio11
164K Followers 796 Following I work for the Internet and am an advisor to @stripe. These are my personal opinions unless otherwise noted.@Scott_Wiener Since I know you're unlikely to abandon this bill, I do have a suggested improvement: For a general technology like foundation models, the benefits will accrue to a broad section of society including criminals. My understanding is that the Federal Trade Commission decides whether…
@TheZvi Honestly don’t have a position on it. But one problem with the commentary is that a lot of people seem to confuse (innocently or not) “regulators get to make judgments” with Total Arbitrariness. This is, ah, not a new worry for the law, and they have many tools to avoid it.
The first container ship just called at the port of Baltimore since the Francis Scott Key bridge collapse on March 26th. Excellent work by the salvage crews clearing the channel in to restore Baltimore’s connection to the global ocean so quickly. I thought it would take longer.
@Scott_Wiener Please correct me if I'm wrong, but SB 1047 seems to open multiple straightforward paths for de facto banning any open model that improves on the current state of the art. E.g., - The 2023 FBI Internet Crime Report indicates cybercriminals caused ~$12.5 billion in total damages.…
@Scott_Wiener Thank you @Scott_Wiener for providing your perspective on the bill's intent. I'd appreciate it if you directly address the specific scenario Brain raises at the end of his thread. Suppose an open model developer releases an innocuous email writing model, and fraudsters then…
@nearcyan 1. “Fast track” isn’t a thing. This bill is going through the normal committee process and still has to go through four more committees with opportunities for amendments. The bill has had a lot of amendments since introduction and it's likely it will have many more before being…
Commoncog and @TheZvi’s substack are my two fav blogs
the only reason i deacc’d was to take a twitter detox break and reduce complexity for a while (not to create more drama!) but accidentally made all my friends concerned. im okay, everyone’s okay, and the singularity’s not yet here. i’ll just log off the normal way instead!
@TheZvi I'd love to watch the two of you have, like, a 24-min. argument about this on youtube.
Institutional drift seems so common that perhaps we should assume it's the default. Instead of taking institutions at their word when they point to their long and impressive histories, we should treat them as identical with what they've done in the past year.
@limits_stop I tried to think of some examples, but I couldn't. Can you?
the only reason i deacc’d was to take a twitter detox break and reduce complexity for a while (not to create more drama!) but accidentally made all my friends concerned. im okay, everyone’s okay, and the singularity’s not yet here. i’ll just log off the normal way instead!
@TheZvi dude posts that LLMs are alive, then immediately deletes his account. Either he's doing an elaborate cry for help/attention, or the OAI legal team got to him!
@TheZvi He'll be back. In fact I should do a social media detox at some point as well when I get the chance.
@NathanpmYoung @dylanmatt @mattyglesias @TheStalwart @TheZvi How could you not tag @matt_levine on a tweet about securities fraud AND Tesla?
@TheZvi Look more carefully at the photo, specifically the upper corner of the blue square. Does that look like something that could have happened on Twitter?
Sleeper agents + the biggest AI updates since ChatGPT | Zvi Mowshowitz (@TheZvi) • The big thing everyone missed in the sleeper agents paper • Where he disagrees with me • Which company has the best safety plan • 'Pause AI' • More