Crowded Trade @TradeCrowded
“Everything popular is wrong”-Oscar Wilde. Free Markets Free Minds Free Speech Free movement of people Manhattan, NY Joined August 2022-
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We’re not even 5 months past Liberation Day and already: - Job market has completely collapsed. - We are in a recession. - Inflation is surging. - Our exports are collapsing as the world is boycotting us. - We don’t have a single actual trade deal in effect. Why did we do this…
This is absolutely insane: The US just revised the June jobs report lower for a SECOND time for a total of -160,000 jobs. Now, the US has officially LOST -13,000 jobs in June, the first negative month since July 2021. What just happened? Let us explain. (a thread)
China’s growth used to come from coal. Now it’s solar. Ask yourself why.
The UK's bond market is collapsing: Today, the yield on a 30Y Bond in the UK rose to 5.64%, its highest level since 1998. Yields in the UK are now 15 TIMES higher than they were at the 2020 low, just 5 years ago. What is happening? Let us explain. (a thread)
Stages of a housing cycle: 1. Homes are to live in 2. My friend bought a rental 3. I bought a rental 4. My rental is worth 20% more than I bought it for 5. I bought 5 rentals 6. Everyone I know has rentals 7. There's a housing shortage 8. I'm never selling, I'm a millionaire 9.…
"44.8% of Fortune 500 companies in 2023... were founded by immigrants or their children... they employ over 14.8 million people." Where are they from? Almost entirely Asia and Europe. How did they immigrate to America? Legally. americanimmigrationcouncil.org/news/new-repor…
My mission on this website
What is happening here? Over the last 48 days, the US Federal Debt has surged by +$1 TRILLION, or +$21 billion PER DAY. Since August 11th, the US has added +$200 billion in debt. Why is US government spending running at WW2 levels in a "strong" economy? (a thread)
🚨 Rising Delinquencies... 💳 Credit cards: >12%, highest since the Great Recession. 🎓 Student loans: back above 10% after payments resumed, likely to continue higher. 🚗 Auto loans: near 5%, approaching a 14-year high. The debt stress is piling up.
1. Stocks: all-time high 2. Home Prices: all-time high 3. Bitcoin: all-time high 4. Gold: all-time high 5. Money Supply: all-time high 6. National Debt: all-time high 7. CPI Inflation: 4% per year since Jan 2020, 2x the Fed's "target" 8. Fed: cutting interest rates next month
🤓 Percentage of population that has a PhD: 🇸🇮 Slovenia: 3.6% 🇨🇭 Switzerland: 3.0% 🇱🇺 Luxembourg: 2.0% 🇺🇸 United States: 1.8% 🇸🇪 Sweden: 1.6% 🇩🇪 Germany: 1.4% 🇬🇧 United Kingdom: 1.3% 🇦🇺 Australia: 1.3% 🇮🇱 Israel: 1.3% 🇫🇮 Finland: 1.2% 🇮🇸 Iceland: 1.2% 🇦🇹 Austria: 1.1% 🇩🇰…
There are now 511,000 new homes for sale in the US, the highest inventory since October 2007. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=gBhDKF…
tweet of the day. a huge deal.
There seems to be no limit to how much Americans can be ripped off A dozen of donuts at Krispy Kreme has risen to $19.99. American says he will no longer buy them at this latest price increase For reference, in 2016 an assorted dozen at Krispy Kreme was roughly $8 and change
The median household income necessary to purchase the median priced home for sale in the US ($123k) is now 56% higher than the current median household income ($79k). This is the most unaffordable housing market in history. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=gBhDKF…
The first 6 months of this Trump administration has been absolutely horrendous.

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