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SKEW through the roof - bearish? I'm not bearish on my home's well-being just because I have home insurance.
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Upside VIX skew fairly flat. Asset managers well invested in vol at the moment, unlike in Feb..
I love the smell of vol decay in the morning.....The VIX Hunter System up 8% in July and over 4% in August thus far. vixhunter.com/vix-hunter-dai…
Volatility Tiki-Taka... Yes I'm in World Cup Withdrawal... vixhunter.com/vix-hunter-dai…
IWM 2month upside calls super cheap/ puts super expensive - top percentile for both. Russell's had a run but vol edge begging for an upside risky
Hedge selector. Again, gold and miners are cheap vol but hedge benefit vs SPX not great. Go for EFA again.
Hedging intraday makes sense again - another way 2017 was whack.
Despite populist uprisings and Eurozone worries Eurostoxx50 long term vols are cheeeeeaap - close to all-time lows. I'm not necessarily bearish but when someone wants to sell me extremely cheap insurance...
VIX upside skew fairly cheap relative to high vol of vol. Upside calls not a bad hedge
What's cookin good lookin - nice looking and not so nice lookin hedges. FEZ still solid and certainly did the trick with Italy
IWM 95/100 skew in 99th percentile for last 2 years. Put spreads look good for a hedge.
Yep, that's about right. 10 day realized dropped to lowest since Jan and VIX futures net positions turned negative for the first time since Jan. Hedgies big net sellers. Cue the market selloff.
TLT looking interesting. 30 and 60 day iv both hitting multi-month tops. Let's see if momo carries it into mid-120s for a new picture.
GDXJ vol is screening the cheapest of the 43 most liquid ETFs. 2M iv/hv is 34th percentile for the last year. Maybe not a bad pick heading into the June meeting
In February the bend was not your friend - the nouveau short-vol money likely wasn't aware.... vixhunter.com/the-bend-is-no…
Hedge selector. But keep in mind TLT wasn't effective in Feb
Calm now... but beware the gamma monster vixhunter.com/volatility-has…
Hedges that are the most reactionary to SP500 selloffs - GLD? Barely. Better bets are TLT and EFA, and they're low percentile iv right now.
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