Jeff Berardelli @WeatherProf
WFLA-TV (Tampa Bay) Chief Meteorologist and Climate Specialist. BS Atmospheric Sciences Cornell U. MA Climate Columbia U. Past CBS News NY and Miami, Tampa, WPB WFLA.com Tampa, FL Joined November 2012-
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The season's most conducive conditions to forming hurricanes in the Atlantic are expected from late September into October. A significant pulse of convection is forecast to move across the Caribbean, Atlantic and Africa, with the potential for an outbreak of storms.
Wind shear anomalies across the bellwether Caribbean tumbled into August compared to the start of hurricane season when it was at near-record levels. This below average wind shear is consistent with a budding La Niña and indicative of a healthy Atlantic headed into its peak.
Now 90% chance of development on Invest #91L. But there is an unusually large amount of uncertainty with both the level of development/ intensity and also the eventual track. At this point all that can be known with any certainty is that the Lesser Antilles will need to be on…
105 F… a new all-time high for Canada in September
105 F… a new all-time high for Canada in September
The National Hurricane Center has increased the chance of development to 80% of what “may” become #gabrielle. But - IF it forms - where will it track? Newest models are further south & west, perhaps nearing the Lesser Antilles and Puerto Rico 8-10 days from now. It’s definitely…
Meteorological summer is in the rear view mirror! It was a top 5 or 10 hottest summer for many in the Tampa Bay Area, and after the wettest summer on record last year, rainfall was kind of normal. Here’s a look back… wfla.com/news/hillsboro…
Here’s an animated explainer of a Pileus cloud/ cap cloud. It is like a lenticular cloud you see on top of mountains except it appears above cumulus or cumulonimbus clouds. Here’s how it works: a horizontal wind aloft hits the cumulus cloud and it is forced upward. In doing so…
Here’s an animated explainer of a Pileus cloud/ cap cloud. It is like a lenticular cloud you see on top of mountains except it appears above cumulus or cumulonimbus clouds. Here’s how it works: a horizontal wind aloft hits the cumulus cloud and it is forced upward. In doing so… https://t.co/JCwMfneVMx
Woah! Did you see this?!? We had several pictures sent to us at @WFLA from south of Tampa Bay. This is a Pileus cloud - also known as a cap cloud. It is a version of a lenticular cloud you see on top of mountains except it appears above cumulus or cumulonimbus clouds. Here's how…
Latest tropics outlook shows activity picking up mid-late September as expected. But nothing to be of concern in FL right now. That's because currently have a big trough/ jet stream dip deflecting long track storms back out to sea. The hope is that this pattern lasts for a while,…
Summer mornings at 80 or above are sky rocketing across Florida! Here are the stats for Tampa. Notice the last 2-3 decades. We now have 7X more 80 degree starts than the long-term average. Records in Tampa have been kept since 1890.
Summer mornings at 80 or above are sky rocketing across Florida! Here are the stats for Tampa. Notice the last 2-3 decades. We now have 7X more 80 degree starts than the long-term average. Records in Tampa have been kept since 1890. https://t.co/fqLrLK0wHy
Florida summer mornings have warmed up significantly over the past few decades. We now see 7X the number of 80 degree mornings in Tampa!!… as one example. This graphic shows the dramatic rise in 80 degree morning lows. The summer (June-Jul-Aug) long-term average is 4… but…
Up to 70% this morning on our African tropical wave. Here are the Euro Ensemble Spaghetti plots. It’s far out there and there’s plenty of time to track. Odds are it stays a fish storm but that’s not for certain.
Monday 2pm: Chances for development are rising in the East Atlantic. Now medium, 50% chance. Below are the latest Google AI ensemble members spaghetti tracks. Worth watching - most likely will get recurved out to sea - but that’s not set in stone. Plenty of time to watch.
It’s quiet - now - as we head into peak season, but that may change soon. The Atlantic has been under large scale sinking, crushing tropical development. But rising air from the Pacific is rounding the bend, and heading into the Atlantic in the coming weeks. That will cause…

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