Michael Lowry @MichaelRLowry
Hurricane Specialist & Storm Surge Expert @WPLGLocal10 @ABC Miami. Alum @NWSNHC, @FEMA, @weatherchannel, @UCAR_CPAESS, @DeptofDefense, @FLSERT. Tweets my own. michaelrlowry.substack.com Joined April 2012-
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A look at the 273 (and counting) preliminary tornadoes from April 2024. We have now preliminary passed 2019 (272) for the 2nd most April tornadoes on record.
Infrared images from @JMA_kishou #Himawari9 revealed impressive cloud-top gravity waves associated with an eruption of #Ruang in Indonesia - coldest cloud-top infrared brightness temperatures reached -90ºC (yellow pixels) immediately after eruption onset: cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/satellite-blog…
2. It’s about the rapid sea level rise that has struck this region since 2010. And today, two stories at last have come out, with more still to come washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro… washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…
Preliminary Wind Summary Measurements and Analysis from Harlan, IA tornado on Friday (26 April 2024). Winds of ~224 mph and diameter of max winds of ~2966 ft. Observations were taken as part of the @NSF -sponsored #BEST project led by @karen_kosiba and @JoshuaWurman
Seven sectors now available! Here's the evolution of SST in the Atlantic main development region (MDR) over the past two months:
Seven sectors now available! Here's the evolution of SST in the Atlantic main development region (MDR) over the past two months: https://t.co/ovmXwZSYMJ
Rotating convection regenerating all day on the southwest edge of today's severe storms #txwx
⚠️Sat 4/27/24 A Regional Severe Weather Outbreak is possible over the Plains and mid MS Valley today/tonight. Numerous severe thunderstorms are possible over parts of OK, KS and North TX . Strong, long-track tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging winds are likely
Extensive damage in Elkhorn, NE west of Omaha from Friday's (likely) long-track #Tornado. There was a 34-minute lead time with the warning thanks to @NWSOmaha who issued 42 tornado warnings, the most in 5 years from a NWS office. We're live on @weatherchannel
This was a historic day for violent tornadoes in Nebraska and Iowa. One that won’t be repeated for (likely) quite some time.
NWS Omaha's warning product generation this afternoon was nothing short of heroic. As of 7:45 PM 164 SVS (followup to TOR,SVR warnings) 102 LSR (Local Storm Reports) 42 Tornado Warnings 25 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings Those SVS and LSR counts take extreme levels of effort.
Area-averaged daily SST charts for four North Atlantic sectors are now available on my website! The domain plus that day's SST anomalies are shown in the inset map, and 2023 is highlighted for comparison. kouya.has.arizona.edu/tropics/SSTmon…
Mark your calendars for the 2024 Hurricane Awareness Tour! 📅✈️ Come meet @NHC_Atlantic forecasters and see @NOAA and @53rdWRS hurricane hunter aircraft! Learn more here: noaa.gov/media-advisory…
The spatial plots of the 26C isotherm are a nice way to visualize the progression of SSTs that support TC genesis. 2024 only really comparable to 2010 and 2005 at this point. Using 28C (approx. threshold for major hurricane), 2024 is really in a league of its own out in the MDR.
The next generation of ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis of the global climate is being prepared. Based on inputs from the ERA user community, we have compiled a list of features deemed essential, and key priorities for future generations of ERA data products.➡️climate.copernicus.eu/sites/default/…
Shout out to the little swirl in the eastern Atlantic firing deep convection (with GLM-indicated lightning flashes) over 24C waters. That's warm enough for at least subtropical genesis, but shear is quite high and expected to increase.
👀
33 named storms is the ceiling so far for 2024 seasonal hurricane forecasts. Scientists from @Penn today calling for between 27 and 39 named storms (33 "best guess") this year in the Atlantic. The named storm record is 30 for the Atlantic, which occurred in 2020.
33 named storms is the ceiling so far for 2024 seasonal hurricane forecasts. Scientists from @Penn today calling for between 27 and 39 named storms (33 "best guess") this year in the Atlantic. The named storm record is 30 for the Atlantic, which occurred in 2020. https://t.co/dPf63S7DPl
Josh Morgerman @iCyclone
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The other half is because of our students. I admire them so much. It has been an absolute pleasure working with and learning from them as their advisor, teacher, or colleague. I hope that I have served them well, and I hope they know that I will always be their champion. (3/x)
It is with both excitement and melancholy to announce that I've accepted a position with @noaagsl in Boulder! I will be leading their model physics development branch in the Earth Prediction Advancement Divisions. I've got much to learn but am excited about the opportunity. (1/x)
1. For the last year, I’ve been buried in a project that merges together data journalism with storytelling from the region I grew up in – the U.S. South, and especially the Gulf Coast. Today, that project started to publish.
I am currently working on a new damage scale. This will be for tornadoes, hurricanes, storm surges, earthquakes, hail, wind, floods, ice, snow, gastrointestinal foods, subtweets, egos, alcohol, and more will be added in the coming months. A one-stop shop for damage assessment.
Some nice personal news: I'm headed to @FloridaTech's meteorology program this fall! I'm very excited to begin graduate school and further my education. Looking forward to the next couple of years there!
@DrKimWood @EricBlake12 @mattlanza @MichaelRLowry @philklotzbach This is excellent, and I know a few of us have related products and hopefully (eventually) the same domains. I love that none of us have to do everything. 😉 I will add links to related products on my page so people can find them easier. #GroupEffort
Another look at projecting the Main Devpmt Region SSTs forwards based on historical MDR warming behaviour as of 24 Apr onward. Even if we hit only the 10th percentile of warming since 24/4 we end up 0.2 degrees cooler than 2023's super-warm year. Over to you, Saharan dust, etc.
In case why you wonder I seem mildly obsessed with all this SST nonsense, see here. And yes, I know it's all about landfalls for losses, but a) not enough data and b) yet to be convinced landfall % is anything other than a constant rather than a function of SST. Hence: concerned.
Steps to nowhere in Bay Saint Louis, Mississippi. A testament to the power of #stormsurge. I collaborated with Dr. @Hal_Needham to create list of Top 10 American Storm Surges Since 1900. Think you know what they are? Think again. A few might surprise you. Countdown coming soon.👊
@MichaelRLowry Thank you! I hope these are useful, and fingers crossed they'll get (automatically) updated each morning as intended.
Additional sectors -- the North Atlantic MDR and the tropical eastern North Pacific -- are in progress. (Pinging a few folks who have expressed past interest: @BMcNoldy @EricBlake12 @mattlanza @MichaelRLowry @philklotzbach )
I'm building state-of-the-art weather station at New #HurricaneHouse. & a critical component came today: RM Young wind monitor that can go up to whopping 195 knots (224 mph). That's the kind of equipment you need in Coastal #Mississippi. This station will be built for the WORST.
My professional life would have been so much simpler and devoid of sleepless nights if this had come to pass three decades ago! #tvnews #broadcastnews #media “FTC Bans Noncompetes” 👇🏼 radioink.com/2024/04/23/ftc…
This Thursday evening… Coral Gables Arts Cinema! We’re proud of you, @SteveMacNBC6 !
@FLSERT and Florida Assosication of Broadcasters getting ready for the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season @NWSNHC @FLABroadcasters fab.org
If you have time tomorrow evening, this is another fabulous @amswxband webinar you won't want to miss. I'm also thrilled that my friend and colleague @MichaelRLowry will be moderating the event. Thanks, Mike!
Join me and @NWSNHC Director Dr. Michael Brennan tomorrow evening at 7 PM ET/6P CT for an hour-long conversation ahead of the 2024 Hurricane Season. We'll be discussing the latest hurricane headlines, new research out of NHC, and your questions. Register below @amswxband 👇
Mark was my advisor. Really great guy! He deserves a wonderful retirement.
Mark Wysocki has retired from his position as New York State Climatologist. In his 35 years at Cornell, Mark certainly has had an enormous impact in his quiet and dedicated way and we will miss him greatly. @CornellCALS @CornellEng @ametsoc eas.cornell.edu/news/mark-wyso…
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Congratulations to the #RockHall2024 Inductee Class for achieving Music's Highest Honor! 🤘 Learn more about this year's Inductees here: rockhall.com/2024-inductees