Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

Writing @Barronsonline via @yahoofinance & @Dailyorange. Say 👋[email protected] finance.yahoo.com/author/josh-sc… New York, NY Joined December 2012

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Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

a hour ago

BlackRock's Rick Rieder: "Total job growth (ex-health care) is now negative for the first time outside of recession in the last 25 years."

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.@RenMacLLC: "The rates market should be pricing in more cuts into 2026 at this point. There is a risk the labor [market] gets away from the Fed." "For all the focus on low unemployment insurance claims, it is worth noting that 25.7 percent of the unemployed population has been…

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Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

3 hours ago

Pretty significant market reversal more than an hour into trading.

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Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

4 hours ago

One of the few firms that was holding out on calling for a rate cut in September has relented. BofA: “Powell's speech indicated a potential regime shift toward prioritizing the labor market. Today's jobs data should cement that shift.” They now see 150bps of cuts by the end…

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Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon

4 hours ago

Wow. The unemployment rate for 16-24 year-olds is now at 10.5%

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Garett Jones @GarettJones

4 hours ago

The Ed Leamer economic forecasting "Rule of 3"-- take 3 month moving averages to see what's happening-- suggests there's a real leg down in the labor market

Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

5 hours ago

The Ed Leamer economic forecasting "Rule of 3"-- take 3 month moving averages to see what's happening-- suggests there's a real leg down in the labor market

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Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

5 hours ago

At 4.3%, the unemployment rate is now at its highest level in nearly four years.

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Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

22 hours ago

The S&P 500 just closed at an all-time high ahead of the August jobs report release tomorrow.

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Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

a day ago

Despite the chaos in April, @Todd_Sohn's work shows the S&P 500 is having an above average third year of a bull market. Going back to 1949, the average return for the fourth year of a bull market is 11.7% with an average max correction of 6.4%, per Sohn's data.

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Josh Schafer @_JoshSchafer

a day ago

Softer than expected JOLTS yesterday. Softer than expected ADP today. Markets are now pricing in a nearly 98% chance the Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points at its September meeting ahead of tomorrow's jobs report release.