“The top 10 mineral commodities, in descending order by the estimated probability-weighted impact of supply disruptions on the U.S. economy, are samarium, rhodium, lutetium, terbium, dysprosium, gallium, germanium, gadolinium, tungsten and niobium.”
doi.gov/pressreleases/…
Indonesians fret that talk of nuclear power could be just hot air
Gelasa is just one of nearly 30 potential sites the government is considering for nuclear power. These sites are generally in coastal areas to ensure access to plentiful water for cooling.
s.nikkei.com/4mWkqHY
American financial dominance meets Chinese manufacturing dominance. As I’ve said before, there are many double-edged swords in the highly interdependent US-China relationship.
Great point here from @ChorzempaMartin
Source: nytimes.com/2025/08/24/bus…
China has laid a rare earths trap for the west
Hardly Gideon, the west has failed to realize that industrial policy is required for the industries of the future....
ft.com/content/5cd7bc… via @FT
Everyone says the US is finished. Meanwhile, foreign investors are buying US assets at record pace.
The 12-months sum of foreign flows into LT US assets reached an alltime-high in June.
As we always said, "De-Euroization" comes before #Dedollariation 🇺🇸💶
ht @robin_j_brooks
Spain's headline economic growth comes from a large government spending increase, rising immigration, tourism and EU fund inflow. It hides enormous challenges: massive unemployment and labour slack, negative net real wage growth and poor productivity.
@JavierBlas 🚨 Orsted shares plunge after U.S. gov orders halt to a nearly finished wind project.
📉 Stock down ~17% today — and now off ~80% vs 5 years ago.
💰 Still moving ahead with $9.4B rights issue, backed by Danish state.
Shares now oversold and likely to bounce but extreme caution…
@JavierBlas 🚨 Orsted shares plunge after U.S. gov orders halt to a nearly finished wind project.
📉 Stock down ~17% today — and now off ~80% vs 5 years ago.
💰 Still moving ahead with $9.4B rights issue, backed by Danish state.
Shares now oversold and likely to bounce but extreme caution… https://t.co/C56USx3e2Z
BREAKING: European wind giant Orsted plunges ~19% after Trump administration halts construction of key wind farm. The Danish company was already struggling financially, trying to raise >$9 billions in an emergency equity injection
Long-term portfolio flows by foreigners into the US are at record highs. Those inflows are offset by short-term outflows based on expectations of big Fed cuts, which assume benign inflation. A tension that can't last and will end in a strengthening Dollar.
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/foreign-flow…
Germany is in big trouble. The massive fiscal stimulus announced in March just racks up debt and isn't lifting manufacturing. No surprise. Germany is suffering from a cost shock and too much red tape. You don't fix that with fiscal stimulus and debt. You just make things worse...
Good Morning from Germany, where an increasing number of companies are being forced to shut down.
Acc to preliminary data from the Federal Statistical Office, the number of regular insolvency filings in July 2025 rose by 19.2% YoY.
Democracies only grow faster than autocracies because of personalist leaders. Bad things mainly happen in overcentralized, unchecked regimes, from @cblatts, Scott Gehlbach, and Zeyang Yu nber.org/papers/w34093
Germany's in trouble. Its manufacturing faces a structural shock for which the fix is a weaker Euro and structural reforms. But its intellectual elite think the fix is fiscal stimulus & more debt, a policy that's only led to more debt - not growth - in the rest of the Euro zone.
OUCH! The S&P 493 – that’s the S&P 500 excl “Magnificent 7” – is expected to deliver just 2-3% net income growth in Q2, Q3, and Q4. That’s slower than inflation, meaning most of the market is barely growing in real terms. Measured against this, US equities are quite expensive!…
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