ACEMAXX ANALYTICS @acemaxx
Senior Economist - @HSG_Alumni acemaxxanalytics.substack.com Zurich Joined February 2009-
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US imports from #China and #Canada fell precipitously in subsequent #tariff months, chart @sffed frbsf.org/research-and-i…
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US GDP These swings are attributable to the anticipation of #tariff increases, and #tariff increases going into effect, chart @sffed frbsf.org/research-and-i…
A new #book #economics @business The Price of Money – “A Guide to the past, present and future of the natural rate of interest” by @MyStephanomics & Tom Orlik & @RushEconomics Aug 08, 2025 @OUPAcademic Aug 08, 2025 academic.oup.com/book/60624
The rising #debt is only part of problem. The real worry is that unlike during much of the past 2-decades, we may now be approaching a “crisis” the #Fed can’t easily resolve, chart @ReutersBiz reuters.com/markets/fed-pu…
Long-dated yields across DMs such as the US, UK, #Japan and #France all hit long-term highs this week: 30y #Gilt yield climbed to its highest point since 1998; 30y JGB yield notched a record high; and 30y UST yield briefly touched 5%, chart @FT ft.com/content/e3fca1…
Some CBs are now even actively selling the debt they accumulated via QE back into the market, adding further upside pressure to yields, chart @markets bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
10y 4.15% and 30y 4.84% UST yields (intraday), chart @lizzzburden live @BloombergTV
#Senate Hearing Elizabeth Warren @SenWarren repeatedly asked #Fed board nominee Stephen Miran (a Trump loyalist and architect of the president’s #tariff policy) “Did Trump lose the election 2020?” – Mr. Miran refused to answer the straightforward question in the affirmative:
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