Macronomics 🇦🇲🇫🇷 @Macronomics1
Blogging on Macro trends and Credit since 2009 - Telegram channel: https://t.co/t7tvf2slVd https://macronomics-merch.creator- macronomics719.substack.com Joined September 2013-
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The US LNG boom is on a deadline, with developers racing to lock in investments before the global gas market flips into oversupply. Here are the projects to watch. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
If you're thinking about these assets differently, you might be missing the bigger picture. The reality is simple: You can't sustain record levels of debt while running both fiscal and trade deficits — and maintain elevated yields and a strong dollar. Something has to give.…
The fact that unemployment among Americans aged 16 to 24 has climbed back above 10.5% is a cyclical signal. Youth employment is always more volatile than the headline rate, but when it breaks into double digits, history shows it often foreshadows broader labor market…
The fact that unemployment among Americans aged 16 to 24 has climbed back above 10.5% is a cyclical signal. Youth employment is always more volatile than the headline rate, but when it breaks into double digits, history shows it often foreshadows broader labor market… https://t.co/dxhNXrVGtx
China’s tech hub of Shenzhen followed other large cities in easing home-buying rules in the latest attempt by authorities in Asia’s biggest economy to contain a prolonged property crisis bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Saudi has revised up foreign investment numbers • Latest (2024): $32 billion • A third higher than previously reported • Close to the 2021 record of $32.5 billion Interestingly: the UAE has been the top source of investments into Saudi for 4 years bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent blasted the Federal Reserve for putting its own independence at risk through “mission creep” and called for an independent review of the US central bank, including its monetary policy bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Italian Deputy Prime Minister Antonio Tajani spoke out against a potential plan to tax corporate stock buybacks, adding to his track record of vocal opposition to higher taxes bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick zeroed in on Switzerland’s flagship pharmaceutical industry, saying that the country is “so rich” because of its vast exports of drugs to the US bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Brazil’s central bank tightened rules for smaller fintechs after cyberattacks and a crackdown on organized crime exposed security gaps in the financial system bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Is gold signalling market expectations of QE or Yield Curve Control dead ahead? It looks like it to us. Source: ScotiaBank $SA
If you’re a large cap tech AI company, you are thriving. If you are anything else, you are in a recession already.
Following today's downside payrolls surprise, the Dollar is down (lhs), but not nearly down as much as the 2y2y (US - G10) forward rate differential (rhs), which keeps making new lows. Interest rate futures are now flirting with three 25 basis point rate cuts this year...
Gold spikes to a fresh record high as a very weak jobs data/market in the U.S. increasing odds of the Fed cutting short-term rates this month.
*(US) June payrolls revised to -13K from +14K (first negative since Dec 2020); Underemployment Rate: 8.1% v 7.9% prior - Number of "Permanent job losers" (seasonally adjusted) at 1.925M v 1.887M in July - BLS' Diffusion Index Total private (shows the number of private…
Keir Starmer’s problems multiply after deputy’s downfall on.ft.com/47uM3Ui

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