Fearless Extrapolator @astrapolator
Per aspera ad astra Joined October 2021-
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AI is all that matters right now: “AI” was cited on 287 earnings calls conducted by S&P 500 companies in Q2 2025, an all-time high. This figure has QUADRUPLED over the last 3 years. It has also surpassed the previous record of 247 set in Q4 2024. By comparison, the 5-year…
BREAKING: Global meat prices officially hit an all-time high in August, now up another +10% in 2025. This comes the US cattle herd is at its smallest in decades, while Brazil, a top exporter, is also seeing herd numbers shrink. Rising dairy prices are also limiting supply, as…
A key recession signal is flashing red: US construction spending fell -2.8% YoY in July, one of the biggest drops since the 2008 Financial Crisis. This also marks the 6th consecutive monthly decline. Month-over-month, construction spending has declined in 10 out of the last…
The car market bubble is bursting: Subprime auto loan delinquency rates have now surpassed 5% for the first time in history. The 60-day delinquency rate for subprime auto loans has more than DOUBLED over the last 3 years. Delinquency rates are now ~1.5 percentage points…
Shocking stat of the day: The US just officially ended its 2nd-longest streak of job market gains in US history, at 53 months. After TWO downward revisions to June's jobs data, the US officially lost -13,000 jobs in June. The post-pandemic expansion period is over.
Shocking stat of the day: The US just officially ended its 2nd-longest streak of job market gains in US history, at 53 months. After TWO downward revisions to June's jobs data, the US officially lost -13,000 jobs in June. The post-pandemic expansion period is over. https://t.co/3c3DmMf0Mn
Stock market vs the economy: Despite a very weak jobs report today, the S&P 500 just hit a new record high and is now up +35% since its April 2025 bottom. Why did this happen? Because the stock market can and will continue to rise despite many Americans feeling like we are in…
Why wasn't $MSTR allowed into the S&P 500 Index despite meeting all the criteria? Because the 'Committee' said no. You have to realize SPX is essentially an active fund run by a secret committee. We intv'd the dude who used to run this committee on Trillions. Check it out.
John Williams, the President of New York Fed: "I expect GDP growth this year to be between 1-1/4 and 1-1/2 percent. With this slowdown in growth, I expect the unemployment rate to gradually rise to about 4-1/2 percent next year. And I expect PCE inflation to come in between 3 and…
All you need to know: The US now has more unemployed people than job openings. In 2 weeks, the Fed will cut rates and “blame” a collapsing labor market. A lot is about to change.
For the first time in over 4 years, there are more Unemployed people in the US than there are Job Openings. Labor market continues to cool... bilello.blog/newsletter
The market cannot move without tech: Just 10 technology stocks have accounted for 59% of the US stock market’s rally since 2019. Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Broadcom, Meta, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Palantir, and Tesla shares have rallied +295% since 2019. Together, they have…
5 reasons you should stop giving a f*ck: 1. Nobody’s thinking about you – they’re too busy worrying about themselves. 2. Your loudest critics are people you’d never take advice from. 3. In 100 years we’ll all be gone – none of this will matter. 4. Regret stings harder than…
Investing in crypto is easy… right? To start, you basically have to learn a new language: blockchains, tokens, stablecoins, NFTs, smart contracts, gas fees, staking… and that’s just the beginning. Then you create a wallet and realize a random string of words is your entire…
Good evening. The US added half a trillion dollars of federal debt in the last 30 days. Have a great night.
Translation: Ethereum is going to drop to the 21W EMA and then go to new all time highs
Translation: Ethereum is going to drop to the 21W EMA and then go to new all time highs https://t.co/NZdOiDBplK
The symbol “=” was invented in 1557 by Robert Recorde, who was tired of writing “is equal to” repeatedly.
Bitcoin made it to the bull market support band a couple of days before September began, but regardless here we are This is where the bulls would like to hold the line. August formed a local high, September will likely form a local low. Note that September 1st was already a…
Bitcoin made it to the bull market support band a couple of days before September began, but regardless here we are This is where the bulls would like to hold the line. August formed a local high, September will likely form a local low. Note that September 1st was already a… https://t.co/ooMbDDdziQ
The price of gold hit an all-time high this morning. #economy #markets #gold #investing #investors
The UK faces the doom loop of rising borrowing costs, growing deficits and a government facing a lot of bad choices to raise revenues. Yields on 30-year gilts have reached their highest levels since 1998. (1 of 3)
A friendly reminder to stick to your thesis. If you don’t have one… bloody make one. Otherwise, when euphoria hits, you’ll drop the ball.

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