Portfolio manager, stocks, options, futures, day trading, swing trading, position trading, investing, and break and retest. Los Angeles, CA.Joined May 2025
If you haven't noticed by now, AI continues to drive this market higher.
From JPM's Cembalest:
- AI-related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns
- 80% of earnings growth
- 90% of capital spending growth since ChatGPT launched in November 2022
$LAC - The U.S. government will take a stake in Lithium Americas $LAC to support its Thacker Pass lithium project in Nevada, Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on Bloomberg TV.
Could Bill O'Neil predict the future? In mid-October 1999, he told me that "This market is through, finished!" And then it went and did this. Bill, however, quickly changed his view as the real-time evidence proved him wrong and made a ton of money on the long side after that.
Goldman on systematic positioning (no surprise it's very high): Positioning is at 4+ year highs (long $66bn of US equities) but estimates over the next week/month are benign (with large asymmetry in a down tape). Key threshold levels are still far. Short term threshold = 6489 //…
Current Leading Themes & Stocks
Many stocks/groups extended but this is a broad list of all the stocks in play worth watching.
Aerospace/Defense - $KRMN $AVAV $ONDS $KTOS $RKLB $ASTS
Quantum Computing - $IONQ $QBTS $RGTI $QUBT
Computer Data Storage - $MU $STX $BLZE $PSTG…
If you invest...
10% of income = Free in 25 years
20% of income = Free in 17 years
50% of income = Free in 8 years
70% of income = Free in 4 years
Moderation is slavery.
Aggression is freedom.
S&P 500 >10% YTD heading into Q4?
Oct is down on avg and higher only 50% of time.
BUT Q4 higher 14 of past 15 times. Yes, 1987 was 16 times ago, still, this isn't bearish.
Aaronson dismantles ridiculous HSBC/IBM paper. My point: I do a lot of financial programming and there is no way to encode time series of bonds into 100 bits. Angle encoding can’t save you either.
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