Matt Millar @cello2econ
Decision Scientist and life enthusiast. My posts are my opinion and are not investment advice nor do they reflect the opinion of my employer. Wisconsin Joined October 2013-
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👀new 10 month low on natty continuous contract this evening. I remain flat ... patiently waiting at this point.
Steepest V/V 12M contango since 2009 in natty #natgas Also steepest V/F since 2009. Could be some fireworks coming up.
Very interesting place for Nasdaq here. Dropped out of the 3 month channel on Tuesday - now we're trying to get back in. Mainly interested to see where we close the day. Bearish <23,400. Ambiguous 23,400 --> 23,600. Bullish >23,600.
Still not time for natty bulls - getting closer though. If we can get October contract below $2.75 might see some effective washout.
#Natgas Natty close to a reversal here. "Beware the overconfidence of natural gas bears in August." Extreme levels of oversold can be sustained for long time Nov-Feb...much different story in August. Will post if/when I take a position - looking for a bullish engulfing…
3 things turning the equity market down today: 1) QRA was BAU (Treasury's announced purchase of debt securities was in line, and not bills heavy. Some expected expansionary issuance increase in T-bills) 2) Jerome Powell pushed back on a September rate cut 3) PCE came in hot -…
Your parents' unhealed trauma might be destroying your brain chemistry. I've dedicated my life to decoding human psychology. Science proved these wounds pass down anxiety, depression & addiction to your kids. Here's the disturbing truth (& how to break the cycle): 🧵
We are entering the window of peak disconnect in the equity market. Most signs and news flow say stonks should have gone down this week and they didn't. At this point in the month, I think it is safe to have a baseline assumption that volatility related structural flows…
Out of my NatGas longs. Now I'm a buyer (i.e. my likely next move is I will buy).
At some point in the not too distant future, a good trade will emerge (Long 30 delta Crude puts paid for with short 30 delta Nasdaq calls - zero cost option play). It becomes a better trade if Crude gets above $80, and the higher crude gets the better the trade gets. Why the…
The Ultimate Peptide Cheatsheet Bookmark this. 21 years of knowledge boiled into this thread 1. ENERGY & PERFORMANCE - SLU-PP-332 = Exercise mimetic 100–500 mcg/day in the AM - SS-31 = Mitochondrial amplifier 250–300 mcg every other day - MOTS-c = Cellular energy booster…
But you can't force it, you will know when it's time
This conversation with @hubermanlab & @MichaelLouisPl1 was so compelling to me that in the middle of watching it I immediately reached out to Dr Platt to invite him on my podcast so to help Traders better understand their relationship to RISK. How fortunate we all are he said YES…
This conversation with @hubermanlab & @MichaelLouisPl1 was so compelling to me that in the middle of watching it I immediately reached out to Dr Platt to invite him on my podcast so to help Traders better understand their relationship to RISK. How fortunate we all are he said YES…
Watch this before making any trades this week
The real secret: take care to get your dopamine on many different time scales. The creep of no/low effort, fast dopamine yielding behaviors will crater your mental & physical health unless you are also playing medium/long-hard-effort-to-dopamine games. That’s how you win.
About as bearish a monthly chart as I've ever seen. Two bearish doji candlesticks (December and February) with distribution/resistance confirmed above 22,250 in the Nasdaq. See you at 16,000.
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