Econ Visuals @econvisuals
Visual content focused on finance and economics. Like to analyse financial markets and economic trends. Basically just a collection of graphs I find interesting Joined March 2020-
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US 2s/10s curve inverted, whereas the 3s/10s spread remains reasonably healthy. Reason to panic? No. Reason to expect a recession in 6-24 months? Maybe... #yieldcurveinversion #treasuries #recession #useconomy #fred #2s10s #yieldcurve #yields
Large asset managers cut fees for both passive and active strategies following scrutiny on performance and fees of active managers. Last year, just a quarter of the active fund managers that invest in large US-listed companies beat the S&P500 benchmark. #active #Assetmanagement
Interesting to see the growing appetite for floating-rate assets as protection against rising yields as the Fed gets ready to hike interest rates... #Fed #CLO #LeveragedLoans #fixedincome #ratehike #floatingvsfixed
Rents make up the single biggest portion of the consumer price index. By November, rent contributed more than any other single category to the overall number, except gasoline.
Considering the unorthodox policy of Turkey, the absolute difference in bond yields between Turkey (green dots) and all other EM countries is massive. Yet, the Turkey dollar yield curve remains upward sloping. #Turkey #centralbank #yieldcurve #yields #bonds #government #Bloomberg
Nations where yield curves signal stronger fight against inflation make bigger currency gains while laggards show losses, most notable in Turkey... #EmergingMarkets #currecy #fx #yieldcurve
US stock price reaction to quarterly EPS beats/misses (first figure) in Q3 reveal an exaggerated market reaction to EPS misses. Comparing this to European stock price reactions, the divergence can be observed easily indicating the difference in excessive valuations. #equities
Disappointing non-farm payrolls report came out today. Much lower than expected (194.000 vs. 500.000) Will this hinder tapering plans in December? To what extent will the Fed incorporate its dual mandate? On the other hand inflation seems less transitory than expected…
With the Fed keeping shortest-term rates down while allowing longer yields to rise a bit, currency-hedged 10-year US Treasuries offer a much nicer return than equivalent bunds. For a while, it was too expensive to hedge the possibility of a falling dollar which wasn't appealing..
US stocks have set another all-time high while growth in equities relative to bonds continues to be phenomenal. Despite rising inflation risks as a consequence of an overheating economy...
The lira was one of the best performing EM currencies until the president's shock decision to replace the Turkish CB chief. The lira plummeted and extended its decline to more than 10%, leading losses among EM currencies, which were already feeling pain from a stronger greenback
Stocks are increasingly bought on margin, with levels not even seen during the dot-com era. This seems to be a direct result of a new investor type and easy access via RobinHood. Dalio's 'bubble model' is not yet indicating a bubble for the market overall but emerging tech only.
As the light at the end of the tunnel can be seen, inflation fears arise. Companies with high price flexibility should come out as winners as the effect of growing revenue would outweigh the production costs... #inflation #operatingleverage #outperformance #equities #stocks
While equity markets were targeted by retail investors fuelling companies with high short interest, the Cboe High Yield Corporate Bond ETF Volatility Index to the #VIX is near historically low levels. Important to note that #Robinhood does not allow fixed-income trading...
The enthusiasm for penny stocks provide yet another indication of the irrational exuberance that have gripped markets... #pennystocks #speculation #irrationalexuberance
After a partial retracement and being largely range-bound, US yield curves have been steepening again. This is particularly the case for 2s-30s. More steepening, should it occur, would raise a number of interesting policy, economic and market issues. Worth keeping an eye on this.

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