Foreseeable. @forseeable_pm
Forecasting and Policy Analysis Germany Joined July 2024-
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Word.
Trump will *NOT* fire powell. The uncertainty of his Trade War? The devestating consequences of the Big Beautiful Bill? Low Growth? High inflation? It will all be on Powell for the next 10 month. polymarket.com/event/will-tru…
Trump will *NOT* fire powell. The uncertainty of his Trade War? The devestating consequences of the Big Beautiful Bill? Low Growth? High inflation? It will all be on Powell for the next 10 month. polymarket.com/event/will-tru…
This is a real White House Post.
This is a real White House Post.
Trump to the President of Liberia: "Such good English. Where did you learn to speak so beautifully?" English is the official language of Liberia...
Trump: "We get a lot of bullshit thrown at us by Putin"
Good lord... One can change to any nickname at any time on @Polymarket , and - most obviously - "popular menswear influencer and writer who goes by the moniker x.com/dieworkwear DID ABSOLUTELY NOT bet $3.6 million on the market resolving as "no". 😂 WTF @OKnightCrypto?…
Hey @JonasVDBruaene, how is it that the positive mean return only seems to work for home teams? Doesnt this somehow imply that there is a structural underpricing for the HomeTeams Fair Value? Appreciate the paper!! :)
The Big Beautiful Bill is supposed to generate $1.1 billion in extra tax revenue from gamblers. It won’t. And, here’s how they could generate $100+ billion instead.
📍 FORDOW: A STRATEGIC DEFEAT BY DESIGN? The Islamic Republic of Iran appears to be steering toward a calculated loss. Under mounting pressure, and with dwindling options, the destruction of its underground nuclear facility at Fordow could be reframed — not as a defeat, but as a…
With Trump now declaring that he’ll make a decision “within two weeks” — which, in Trump time, could mean tomorrow — the strategic calculus around Fordow is entering a critical phase. What’s often overlooked: Even 🇨🇳 has a DUAL interest in a U.S. strike. 1️⃣ Narrative leverage:…
📈 Latest Market Odds on U.S. Action & Fordow Right now, U.S. military action against Iran before July is trading at 65%: 🔗 polymarket.com/event/us-milit… 🇺🇸 The probability of the U.S. bombing Fordow is only at 59%: 🔗 polymarket.com/event/will-the… 🤨 That seems low. If the U.S.…
The main reason why I am sure the US will intervene. "It's was the greatest explosion ever, folks, nobody explodes better than me, believe me. People are saying, 'Sir, its like God moved the mountain!' Maybe I'm a God now, maybe even greater. It really is tremendous, just…
we’re joining forces with Polymarket as our official prediction market partner @X 🤝 @Polymarket
A tiny Chinese company owned by same people that own TikTok just bought $300,000,000 of $TRUMP Coin. Now why do you think they did that? 🧐👀
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