Geoff Smith @geoffsmith_pp
Joined February 2014-
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JPMorgan estimates the 5 major AI hyperscalers will spend a combined $1.2 trillion from 2025 through 2027.
The bull market has been historic: The S&P 500 has traded above its 50-day moving average for 106 sessions, the longest streak in a year. This is also the 5th-longest stretch over the last 30 years. Just 5 more sessions would make it the 3rd-longest streak over the last 30…
China CNY-denominated commodity trade on pace to hit $320B No one trusts CNY > USD, but everyone trusts gold > USD, so China's used gold floating in all FX & commodities to facilitate this Since annual commodity trade = 10-15x gold prod'n, gold/oil commodity ratios keep rising…
TSLA a massive cup & handle forming now (you'll see how this goes)
BREAKING: Foreign holdings of US equities have risen to a record $20 trillion. This marks a +$2.5 trillion rise over the last few months. Investors from overseas now own ~30% of the ~$60 trillion US equity market, the most in data going back to 1945. Additionally, foreign…
$TSLA - $2M Call buyers
High-income Americans are behind roughly half of all US consumer spending, up from about a third in the early 1990s, per Bloomberg:
The Gold-to-Oil ratio is flashing a warning: falling oil prices indicate weak confidence in the global economy, while rising #gold prices reflect growing fear and risk aversion.
More and more Americans think the economy is getting worse:
In Gold Oz's: 1. The 1929 high took 30 years to recover. 2. The 1966 high took 32 years to recover. 3. The 1999 high will be unlikely to recover in even in 50+ years All other equity crises were relatively insignificant in XAU oz's and were just part of the far large cycle up's…
In Gold Oz's: 1. The 1929 high took 30 years to recover. 2. The 1966 high took 32 years to recover. 3. The 1999 high will be unlikely to recover in even in 50+ years All other equity crises were relatively insignificant in XAU oz's and were just part of the far large cycle up's… https://t.co/vr8UadA2RI
Gold up nearly 50% YTD, its best year since 1979 📈🤯👀
“gut says we’re going lower” bitcoin teleports to all time high in a straight line. lol
For years, the S&P 500 and U.S. money supply moved together. Since 2023, that link has broken. Stocks now sit nearly 60% ahead of M2 relative to 2022 levels, a sharp divergence this chart makes clear. It shows today’s rally is fueled less by monetary expansion, and more by…
For years, the S&P 500 and U.S. money supply moved together. Since 2023, that link has broken. Stocks now sit nearly 60% ahead of M2 relative to 2022 levels, a sharp divergence this chart makes clear. It shows today’s rally is fueled less by monetary expansion, and more by… https://t.co/PIjs5TLsfm
AI stocks are blazing this year 🔥 Top 3: • $IREN +349% • $NBIS +312% • $CRWV +245% Which do you thing will perform best in 2025?
Final S&P 500 poll: Pretty big sentiment swing compared to last December 👀
Final S&P 500 poll: Pretty big sentiment swing compared to last December 👀 https://t.co/IAXq2Of7p3
The Indeed job postings index is almost back to its pre-pandemic norm.
This is alarming… Almost 40% of the US real GDP growth last quarter was driven by tech capex. Bulk of the capex was AI-related investments. Aggregate capex can’t keep climbing like this in the absence of real profits derived from AI investments. If this doesn’t happen soon…
Berkshire Hathaway is now underperforming the S&P 500 by 26 percentage points since Warren Buffett announced his retirement 📉📉
If you want the complete explanation " PDF " of " CRT + TBS live chart examples part - 6 " Comment " PDF " and I will sent it directly on your DM...
Colby Kultgen @thecolbykultgen
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