Mike Beuoy @inpredict
actuary | creator of https://t.co/BTWJrSMjWY | co-creator of https://t.co/HNxUmLCtpq | you can also find me at bsky under the same handle inpredictable.com Los Angeles Joined July 2013-
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Mike Beuoy retweeted
Texas came back from a 6% win probability (down 5-10 in the 5th set) to deny Stanford the reverse sweep.
Texas came back from a 6% win probability (down 5-10 in the 5th set) to deny Stanford the reverse sweep. https://t.co/j1GEN55qxu
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Stat report from my daughter's 1st high school volleyball game of the season. I decided to track service ace rate and service error rate, and compare to current rates in NCAA D1 womens volleyball. Service Ace Rate: 15% (NCAA D1: 7%) Service Error Rate: 17% (NCAA D1: 11%)
Mike Beuoy retweeted
Applications for the 2026 @NFL #BigDataBowl mentorship program are open! Mentees work one-on-one with a mentor to contribute to the football analytics community and have the opportunity to present their work. ⌛ Apply here by 5 p.m. ET, Wed, September 17:…
Mike Beuoy retweeted
New this year: Evollve weekly recap! 🏐Biggest upset 🏐Biggest comeback 🏐Clutch player of the week ...and our top 25! evollve.substack.com/p/weekly-recap…
Mike Beuoy retweeted
La reproduction interdite, by René Magritte, 1937, 📸 via @BleacherReport
Mike Beuoy retweeted
First massive slate of the year tomorrow! As a a reminder, new this year on the site is a schedule page ... get set for every match and which ones you should have circled! evollve.net/stats/ncaa/wom…
Mike Beuoy retweeted
⚾ We’re hiring a Senior Data Engineer in Phillies R&D! Join my team to help build the pipelines and infrastructure behind baseball systems and decision-making tools for our front office. job-boards.greenhouse.io/philadelphiaph…
I’m stupidly proud of the title I chose for that post (“Half measures”). I think it’s worthy of The Economist.
I’m stupidly proud of the title I chose for that post (“Half measures”). I think it’s worthy of The Economist.
Mike Beuoy retweeted
This reminds me of @inpredict study on "almost half", "nearly half", "about half", "more than half" and "over half" inpredictable.com/2020/06/half-m…
This reminds me of @inpredict study on "almost half", "nearly half", "about half", "more than half" and "over half" inpredictable.com/2020/06/half-m…
Mike Beuoy retweeted
Somehow, the actuary conversation turned into some good old-fashioned analytics-bashing. 🤷
Mike Beuoy retweeted
We're less than 27 hours away from the start of the college volleyball season! Ahead of the season, here's our preseason top 25 -- the top 2 teams will get us started tomorrow as Pitt and Nebraska square off in the AVCA First Serve Showcase!
If this were the actual relative size of a basketball and the hoop, Steph Curry would be a 9% three point shooter. And probably every one else in the league shoots 5% or worse.
If this were the actual relative size of a basketball and the hoop, Steph Curry would be a 9% three point shooter. And probably every one else in the league shoots 5% or worse.
The Fever were down by 14 with 6:25 left in the game. It was the 4th most improbable comeback of the season. Kelsey Mitchell's +75% win probability added is the 2nd highest mark of the 2025 season.
Mike Beuoy retweeted
Average "hold time" - the time between the catch and the decision to dribble, pass or shoot - for some of the league's best offensive initiators.
If you count a draw as half a win, and using my soccer and NBA win probability calculators: A 1 goal lead at halftime in a soccer game is roughly equivalent to a 9 point lead at halftime in the NBA.
If you count a draw as half a win, and using my soccer and NBA win probability calculators: A 1 goal lead at halftime in a soccer game is roughly equivalent to a 9 point lead at halftime in the NBA. https://t.co/54u7UedFQi
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