Justin, CFA @jwizzzle
Real Estate Professional, Investor, Adventurer, Father Joined May 2010-
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Justin, CFA retweeted
The Great Inversion is finally upon us. Get out while you still can. When the wealthiest top 0.00001% quietly unload their bags onto the 99.99% of retail sheep, it’s not a market, it’s a transfer. And it always marks the top. Over the last week, 198 of the top 200 insider trades…
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Justin, CFA retweeted
Which way do you think construction employment is going to go?
Justin, CFA retweeted
🚨HOLY COW: The number of Americans unemployed for 27 weeks and over has more than DOUBLED since December 2022 and hit 1.9 MILLION in August, the most in 4 YEARS. The share of Americans unemployed for over 27 weeks hit 25.7%, in line with DEEP recession levels.
Justin, CFA retweeted
BREAKING: RFK Jr. is on Fox this morning and he's CALLING OUT the Democrats who revealed their true colors during the Senate Hearing! "I’ve come to realize that those hearings are performative, they’re theater and they’re not the crowned debate or open conversation that…
Justin, CFA retweeted
⚠️The US economy is likely in a RECESSION: US construction spending has declined YoY for 6 months STRAIGHT. MoM, construction expenditures has fallen in 10 out of the last 11 months, the longest streak since the Financial Crisis. This never happened outside of recessions.
Justin, CFA retweeted
Census data is starting to show a slowdown in AI adoption for large companies. Torsten at Apollo
Justin, CFA retweeted
People think that news events control what interest rates do, but much of it is predestined. The movements of gold prices provide a 20-1/2 month leading indication for long term interest rates. So a big up move in rates is coming due in November. I'm sure the media will think of…
People think that news events control what interest rates do, but much of it is predestined. The movements of gold prices provide a 20-1/2 month leading indication for long term interest rates. So a big up move in rates is coming due in November. I'm sure the media will think of… https://t.co/n2gPS2LCc8
Justin, CFA retweeted
Divide by zero ratio
Justin, CFA retweeted
What may seem like one of the most illogical moves to many looks highly compelling to me in today’s macro environment. The goal isn’t to be contrarian for its own sake, but to pursue a thesis that is fundamentally strong and widely under-owned. That, to me, defines EM today.…
Justin, CFA retweeted
The Ukraine war and the weaponization of the dollar was the straw that broke the camel's back
Justin, CFA retweeted
Hartnett BofA: Falling construction spend lead = recession signal
Justin, CFA retweeted
It gets worse: all jobs gains were part time Full-time jobs: -357K Part-time jobs: +597K
Justin, CFA retweeted
The number of people who are not in the labor force but still want a job rose by 179K in August. Had these folks been counted as unemployed, the unemployment rate would have increased from 7.6% to 7.8%.
Justin, CFA retweeted
nobody knows the answer because you counted motorcycle accidents and remdesivir poisoning as covid deaths you idiot
nobody knows the answer because you counted motorcycle accidents and remdesivir poisoning as covid deaths you idiot
Justin, CFA retweeted
Hyperscaler capex level continues to grow $ORCL $MSFT $GOOGL $META $AMZN Half a trillion by 2027?
Justin, CFA retweeted
If you're thinking about these assets differently, you might be missing the bigger picture. The reality is simple: You can't sustain record levels of debt while running both fiscal and trade deficits — and maintain elevated yields and a strong dollar. Something has to give.…
Justin, CFA retweeted
Justin, CFA retweeted
Treasury buybacks are accelerating: The US Treasury has bought back a record $138 billion in bonds YTD. This significantly surpasses the $79 billion repurchased during the entire 2024. This buyback program aims to boost liquidity and manage cash, as deficit spending continues…
Justin, CFA retweeted
2-year yields approach multi year lows as commodities approach all time highs. This is the environment we’re in. Cut rates to service debt. Let inflation run hotter. Higher commodity prices are the release valve, in my view.
Justin, CFA retweeted
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