Guilherme Tavares @i3_invest
CEO at i3 invest. After years trading the markets I have developed quantitative strategies that generate alpha in any scenario. i3invest.tech Not Financial Advice Joined February 2022-
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By the time that people realize that bad news is really bad news it's gonna be too late. This is what happens when markets are so used to easy money, moral hazard at finest..
$AAPL is up pre market after announcing the largest share buyback program of $110 billion, further fuelling the tech giant’s stock rally. The stock remains on a bearish trend and it has to breakout the top of this downward channel to confirm bullishness.
April was a good month for our quantitative portfolio! While the $SPX was down -4.16% we were able to stay positive +0.43% due to our short positions $SPXS The portfolio's sharpe ratio is 1.48 which is a great risk adjusted one + ready to outperform during different scenarios
The problem with 'buy and hold' is that if your trade is not working, you should get out! Having a plan and using risk management tools can make all the difference. $PTON $NYCB
The problem with 'buy and hold' is that if your trade is not working, you should get out! Having a plan and using risk management tools can make all the difference. $PTON $NYCB
$PTON I would like to know if this aged well..
$IWD $IWF triple bottom level suggesting that value will outperform growth over the next months/years. Do you agree?
$PINS great earnings for Pinterest + strong growth expectations. The stock will probably chase the top of the channel, which is a +15% upside potential in the short term.
$ETSY has good growth expectations for the next years, however missed estimates again. Stock is crashing pre market, and if it loses this support, will probably test the bottom of this channel. Especially if overall market turns south, as ETSY is a high sensitive beta stock.
Today's bonus report suggests going long on $XLU and short on $SPY, explaining the triggers and when to close the trade for potential profit. Since XLU's inception, all instances when this trade was triggered have been profitable. This strategy is also effective for hedging or…
Spread between 3M and 30Y above -0.4% level has ALWAYS predicted a recession. I wonder if.. $SPY $QQQ
$AMD aging well (2).
$SMCI aging well..
$SBUX target ✅
#Bitcoin is losing its 100 DMA support, and we have to admit that the pattern is very similar. Let's see if it holds, otherwise.. $BTC $ETH
Stay away from the noise by focusing on what really matters.. Diversification + Alpha = 🔑📈
$SBUX Bearish back then... Nice call!! 🚀🚀 And tomorrow will probably reach the level that I predicted as a good entry point (But not sure after latest earnings, will dig into the numbers later).
$SBUX Bearish back then... Nice call!! 🚀🚀 And tomorrow will probably reach the level that I predicted as a good entry point (But not sure after latest earnings, will dig into the numbers later). https://t.co/CdYqfZsTCC
Leonardo Benitez @BullBearLB
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361K Followers 981 Following founder @ litquidity capital // meme slinger, investor, advisor // newsletter @exec_sum // scout @baincapvc@i3_invest @TaviCosta Ty his doesn’t even show the ma
@i3_invest @KobeissiLetter It doesn't matter if 99.9% of the modern Western world starves to death as long as the top five blue chips keep pumping. Wait, am I talking to the wrong room?
@OTC_Bitcoin @i3_invest @KobeissiLetter If those people starve, there will be too few people that can buy their (useless) stuff. So effectively they will get hit as well.
Long 2yr Treasury Powell can't wait to cut Fed Funds at first sign of weakness.
@elerianm Soft landing? Not sure..
Il livello di disoccupazione indica già una recessione, dato che la pendenza sta salendo. Dobbiamo preoccuparci?
@zerohedge Unemployment level already pointing to a recession ahead as the slope is turning up. Should we worry?
@i3_invest Absolutely 175 is not a great number especially when you consider it will probably be revised down to 150 or lower and then the unemployment rate could accelerate
I want you to think this through carefully: today, the stock market will be up big, because people can’t find jobs. Think about that. Wall Street is cheering that things are hard on you. Why? Because it will (they hope) force the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, which…
BREAKING: Dow futures soar over 500 points after April jobs data comes in significantly below expectations. Not only did the economy only add 175,000 jobs, but the unemployment rate rise to 3.9%. On Wednesday, Fed Chair Powell said substantial weakening of the labor market…
اتفاقات مهمی در بازار اشتغال ایالات متحده در حال رخ دادن است، داده های اشتغال ماه آوریل خنک شدن بیشتر بازار اشتغال را نشان داد که واکنش ریزش شدید بازده اوراق فرضه ده ساله و دوساله امریکا و قوی شدن ین ژاپن در پی داشت.
@GameofTrades_ Agree... The ongoing trend is becoming unsustainable imho
#STAGFLATION - WHERE IS POWELL'S STAG ?
@DeItaone Unemployment level already pointing to a recession ahead as the slope is turning up. Should we worry?
@i3_invest It was a guest analysis from one of the big banks or brokerage firms.
Não existe almoço grátis, nem dinheiro real pode ser criado na impressora. x.com/i3_invest/stat…
By the time that people realize that bad news is really bad news it's gonna be too late. This is what happens when markets are so used to easy money, moral hazard at finest..
@i3_invest @DeItaone The market & big banks will be pleased, it’s the start of what causes easing & rate cuts
@i3_invest @elerianm No, don't break the narrative, it's Goldilocks.
@i3_invest @lisaabramowicz1 election year. theyll crash it if trump wins. too easy.
@i3_invest @DeItaone We have been in a recession for the past 6 months. The data has just been manipulated and revised at a later time. We are at the point where it’s too bad to hide the losses.