Liz Ann Sonders @LizAnnSonders
Chief Investment Strategist, Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Disclosures: https://t.co/UPkjXSZ9uc schwab.com Naples, FL Joined January 2015-
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April @DallasFed Mfg. Index slipped to -14.5 vs. -11.3 est. & -14.4 prior; new orders improved but remained in contraction; production jumped into expansion; prices paid eased; hours worked improved but remained in contraction … employment slipped back into contraction
Looking forward to joining @KristenScholer on @cheddar “Opening Bell” this morning at 9:30am ET
Mag7 (orange) down by nearly 1% this month, which is much better than cap-weighted (white) and equal-weighted (blue) S&P 500 ... worth noting that latter two indexes outperformed Mag7 in March, though [Past performance is no guarantee of future results]
Last time 10y Treasury yield (blue) was hovering around its current level in 2007, S&P 500's forward P/E (white) was in the 14-15 range ... today, it's at 20.2
Here is sector performance since the S&P 500's recent peak at the end of March ... Energy, Comm Services, and Utilities lead while Real Estate is in last [Past performance is no guarantee of future results; data from @business]
Interesting look at countries’ tax breakdown from @TaxFoundation @SoberLook
S&P 500 had best week since early Nov 2023, +2.7% after 3 weeks of losses, as corporate earnings generally surprised to upside; Dividend Aristocrats was only S&P 500-related strategy to close week in red, -0.1%, while Tech took home trophy, +5.1% @SPDJIndices
Performance: index tables and Mag7 chart/table updated thru Friday’s close
MA breadth charts updated thru Friday’s close
New business applications spiked during shutdown phase of pandemic and have continued to trend higher per data from @uscensusbureau
Personal interest income still high in level terms but has been moving a bit lower … as of March, 3-month change was worst since August 2020
As of this past March, Alaska, Georgia, and Hawaii had highest interest rates for new car loans at 8.6%, 8.33%, and 8.11%, respectively @DataArbor @edmunds @CNN
As a % of personal income, government transfer payments have moved up lately (but hovering around longer-term average during past decade)
Wage and salary growth continues to hold strong … 6-month annualized % change inched up to +5.9% in March
Gap closed: nominal GDP (year/year, blue) has caught down to fed funds rate (upper bound, orange) as of 1Q2024
As a share of overall consumer spending, goods sector (blue) has moved up a bit while services sector (orange) has inched lower over past couple months … services continues to dominate, however
Both nominal (blue) and real (orange) disposable personal income grew in March … worth noting given latter had struggled in first two months
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503K Followers 538 Following Actor & Producer. 82% human, 16% styrofoam, 2% unknown.Good question from @ScottWapnerCNBC and response from @LizAnnSonders ... there needs to be much more focus on why the Fed is cutting, not necessarily as much emphasis on when the cuts start (or how many there are)
"The rally was driven by what happened with Treasury yields, more so than parlor game of expectations around ‘when will the Fed cut...’" @LizAnnSonders. "If the economy remains resilient and we don’t get a significant turn back up in inflation, I think the market is probably OK."
@LizAnnSonders @CNBCClosingBell @ScottWapnerCNBC LizAnn, always good to have you on. You always bring clear, concise, calm, well thought out arguments and responses. 👍👍👏👏
@LizAnnSonders @CNBCClosingBell LizAnn - your analysis always makes me smarter on things I need to know more about - your comments just now re momentum, for instance. Thank you.
@LizAnnSonders Thanks for your daily posts. You are one of the best accounts!
@LizAnnSonders Good (and real) appearance on CNBC this morning! Thanks for your insight.
Only one week on this site for me and so far, everyone has been so nice!
@LizAnnSonders @SquawkStreet @CNBC @LizAnnSonders always my favorite on Bloomberg or CNBC; absolutely Nailed It on today's comprehensive CNBC segment. Funny witty and So Knowledgeable. I always learn more from your appearances. Thanks very much for being Liz Ann Sonders and being here on Twitter!❤️🌹🐬
Rates cuts are coming starting to feel like Trade Deal coming
@LizAnnSonders @CNBCClosingBell @michaelsantoli Brilliant as always. Thanks for the heads up.
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline ..... they should name the list after you....
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline Congratulations Liz! Well deserved👏👏👏 Thank you for keeping me up to date on everything. All the charts, indepth insights on the Schwab Network, and your fantastic podcast. You're the best!
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline Congratulations and thank you for great posts providing actionable information
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline Congrats! Proud Schwab, customer. The customer service by your team is unsurpassed.
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline Can't think of a more deserving woman!
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline Congratulations, well deserved 👋👋
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline Well done! You are a regular source for trusted information. I appreciate your voice and leadership. Congrats. 🎉
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline You absolutely earned it. You do a great job for Schwab clients and investors generally.
@LizAnnSonders @barronsonline Congrats! Well deserved! You are one of the few big accounts I derive a ton of genuine insights from! Impressive list of people this year!