Not much really going on, going to be a quick one.
We are below the PoC right now, which would be nice to reclaim and hold.
The crowding model seems to be on its way back up, the market has reset. Nothing directional for now.
I've been sitting on cash for near 3 weeks now,…
GM, SOL taking out the liquidity above, still in an uptrend. A very choppy one at that.
Nothing really to report on bar the usual. It's just a game of stop hunting for a while, as we patiently wait for either some more manipulation or real signal.
Manufacturing PMI Sept 3rd. I…
$BTC is sitting at support right now.
Above current price, it’s hot and volatile, nothing is likely to hold. Unless we just transfer into a low volatility regime for a bit.
Gamma exposure shows dealers are net short above, meaning spikes can get amplified. Expect chop and fast…
BBPct FL Impulse & Bull Fisher Divergence on $BTC 1H, $ETH trade already playing out.
Make sure you are setting alerts and getting in on the right moves : )
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The Real Risk Premium Is Pain Tolerance
Everyone talks about risk-adjusted returns, smart models, better data.
Yet few stick around when the system stops printing.
Take BTC last year, weeks of nothing. Just chop. That’s where most traders drop the ball.
They abandon…
Update on BTC & ETH & First Glimpse of the BQ Liquidation Map.
Now as per yesterdays post, the move I said may happen played out, the levels were not solid support.
Lots of selling during Asian session & $BTC took out a lot of long leverage. Could close short in ~9 hours.
$ETH…
Macro Regime update…
Another leg down in the probability of a rate cut as the model keeps adjusting to current conditions. It’s been spot on every time so far, but that doesn’t mean it can’t be wrong eventually.
Right now though, it’s looking more and more like a cut just…
$BTC is trading in a fragile, high-volatility pocket. Likely to see some chop going into the week, and strong directional movement if there is a bid in either direction.
The GEX heatmap is showing dealers are net short gamma, meaning the price levels are less sticky, a move can…
GM $ETH Holders. Not looking like much downside (yet).
Potentially looking at some near-term chop & not much action over the weekend.
Technical Macro model is long, not expecting to see much here just back into the range. Likely going to see lower prices on $BTC.
If you…
Signals Suite performing well.
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As for the rest of the market...
Options flow showing heavy call volume coming…
Where you go in life will depend on how you see things and who and what you feel connected to (your family, your community, your country, mankind, the whole ecosystem, everything). You will have to decide to what extent you will put the interests of others above your own, and…
The astute dashboard users should have noticed that as we auction away this months debt roll over, other months have marginally risen.
The one thats risen the most?
September.
Showing us the velocity of the short term debt cycle.
Today on the calendars page, go check out the…
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