Back @backquant

law school dropout, now quant finance :) not financial advice. message for inquiries. linktr.ee/backquant Sydney Joined September 2023

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Back @backquant

17 hours ago

Non-farm payroll of 22k? Rate cuts are certain at this point. Powell has a history of being late. The positioning will shift. The cut is likely getting priced in now if it isn't already. A lot of shorts just got taken out, don't get long and aggressive based off the news.…

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18 hours ago

Everyone obsesses over entry, instead of caring about staying in the move. In trend systems, PnL is driven more by sizing, risk caps, and exits rather than the first print. Hold strength matters, keep winners, cut losers, only add as risk allows. Think in portfolio terms,…

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4 days ago

As a part of the new publications on @kiyotaka_ai we are going to be making some posts regarding logic + use cases for traders. Let's start with 3: Buy Sell Volume Ratio: shows the ratio of buys vs sells in real-time. Helps you see when buyers/sellers dominate and where…

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7 days ago

onto the analysis then shall we, market is not looking too good, from a technical perspective. I've been in cash for a bit just waiting. there are some heavy shorts above 125k on $BTC, which could be rocket full if touched. yet well above current price. GEX support ~ 108k,…

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a week ago

Quick GEX Update for $BTC Support ~112k Resistence ~115k Also of note, 110k has the highest Put OI, there is a lot of bearish positioning/ or hedging around there. it could provide a floor if prices drop, as put holders might defend that level For the calls there is…

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a week ago

Most traders misunderstand mean reversion, here's why it works short-term but fails over weeks to months: Trend & momentum works over weeks to months, the edge compounds in fewer trades. This is why we build upon it & systemise it, it comes with its flaws, chop, higher equity…

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a week ago

Update on $ETH & the liquidation maps front too. ETH is still in an uptrend and looks clear on the liquidation around current price. Mainly because its taken out the shorts, then the longs times 2. Retail has just been rinsed this cycle, and by the time the beta comes there…

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2 weeks ago

$BTC is sitting at support right now. Above current price, it’s hot and volatile, nothing is likely to hold. Unless we just transfer into a low volatility regime for a bit. Gamma exposure shows dealers are net short above, meaning spikes can get amplified. Expect chop and fast…