Mikal Skuterud @mikalskuterud
Professor of Economics at @UWaterloo; Director of @CLEForum; Fellow-in-Residence at @CDHoweInstitute. Disclosure statement: https://t.co/0HbWBOeJeF arts.uwaterloo.ca/~skuterud/ Waterloo, Ontario Joined November 2013-
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Diverging SEPH and LFS estimates receiving more attention. Explanations given miss main factor - surging NPR population and impact on LFS sampling weights. Time for @StatCan_eng to provide clarity. nationalpost.com/news/economy/j…
@gldinvestor @mikalskuterud No, this doesn't confirm that "media questions are pre-screened by handlers." And Mikal, thanks for input but we got input from a lot of people and only used a small fraction.
My colleague, @MikkoPackalen, has long argued that economists failed in assessing the costs of COVID public health measures, especially the costs imposed on our children. I struggle to disagree with him.
My colleague, @MikkoPackalen, has long argued that economists failed in assessing the costs of COVID public health measures, especially the costs imposed on our children. I struggle to disagree with him.
Likely why PMO preferring these outlets!
I've been told by someone with experience that the Shadow Minister of Immigration is the worst job in Parliament because the only job expectation is to never touch the third rail. When criticism in an entire policy domain is shut down, we have a failure of democracy.
I've been told by someone with experience that the Shadow Minister of Immigration is the worst job in Parliament because the only job expectation is to never touch the third rail. When criticism in an entire policy domain is shut down, we have a failure of democracy.
Polite, indeed. The show’s producer emailed me and my coauthors in advance asking for questions on immigration to pose to the PM. We offered two hard balls. Neither was asked.
Polite, indeed. The show’s producer emailed me and my coauthors in advance asking for questions on immigration to pose to the PM. We offered two hard balls. Neither was asked.
LPC taking much blame for immigration debacle but good governance needs effective opposition. On immigration, CPC and NDP opposition has in recent years been little better than useless.
"an increase in industry concentration and a decline in firm entry rates have a negative effect on firm investment, and the effect is larger among small firms."
"an increase in industry concentration and a decline in firm entry rates have a negative effect on firm investment, and the effect is larger among small firms."
@mikalskuterud @Andrew_Griffith To Mikal's point. I think it's fair to say some economists were ahead of the curve on this. Here's a column I wrote almost exactly a year ago on this exact thing. financialpost.com/news/economy/e…
And then they were down to 27. Most recent departures appear to be Willa Black (formerly VP, Cisco Canada) and Murad Al-Katib (President and CEO, AGT Food and Ingredients).
.@mattlundy33 does evidence-based journalism better than anyone else in this country.
.@mattlundy33 does evidence-based journalism better than anyone else in this country.
*NEW* As of February 2024, there were 0.57 million job vacancies in this country and 1.23 million job seekers. Little change from January 2024. Have we reached a new steady state or will labour markets continue to slacken in the months ahead?
A “more is always better” belief in the potential of immigration has defined the LPC’s economic agenda since 2015. Levels have surged in *all* programs and streams. How the consequences can now be pinned on academia is beyond me. Seems a convenient scapegoat for the red team.
A “more is always better” belief in the potential of immigration has defined the LPC’s economic agenda since 2015. Levels have surged in *all* programs and streams. How the consequences can now be pinned on academia is beyond me. Seems a convenient scapegoat for the red team.
I would nuance your comment by noting that *many* academics have questioned the LPC immigration agenda but have been ignored or hesitant to express their concerns publicly for fear of being deemed anti-immigrant or worse.
I would nuance your comment by noting that *many* academics have questioned the LPC immigration agenda but have been ignored or hesitant to express their concerns publicly for fear of being deemed anti-immigrant or worse.
🧵 Here's an updated look at how employers are using the Temporary Foreign Worker Program. I thought companies would throttle back their use of TFWP because of rising unemployment, lots of int'l students already in Canada, etc. I was wrong. (1/9)
Canada’s government will keep economic productivity down by any means necessary.
Trevor Tombe @trevortombe
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1K Followers 461 Following How do we help families access the tools and resources they need to flourish? Historian of economics and public policy analyst with a gender equity lens.Just announced: International students will be able to work up to 24 hours / week off-campus. Limits were temporarily scrapped in late 2022. Previous limit was 20 hours / week. (Thirty hours had been floated by the government.)
@mikalskuterud Go see the doctor is an under-rated classic.
I don’t even support the capital gains changes but people on this site are trying to convince people that having 250K+ in gains on a second property (cottage) is just normal middle class stuff? Just wondering what reality these folks live in.
🚨New WP by @antomancino and coauthors leverages data from a certification program in Colombia and shows that signaling advanced occupation-specific skills yields significant returns for experienced workers.
Always more interesting when the data provides new insights:)
@Andrew_Griffith Research methodology is to search the data until it shows something consistent with the story the authors want to tell. Not uncommon, sadly.
@konradyakabuski Ottawa’s noble plan to fast-track francophone immigrants seems doomed to fail /via @globeandmail theglobeandmail.com/opinion/articl… #cdnimm Unfortunately correct
@gldinvestor @mikalskuterud No, this doesn't confirm that "media questions are pre-screened by handlers." And Mikal, thanks for input but we got input from a lot of people and only used a small fraction.
5th Annual Workshop of Southern Ontario Macro Economists on Monday, April 29th. Looking forward to this great lineup of speakers. Register here: sites.google.com/view/awsome202… @LazaridisSchool @LaurierResearch
“…whereas for several decades Canada’s population growth rate hovered at about 1.0 percent annually, this rate has more than tripled in a few short years, up to 3.2 percent in 2023.”
Don Kerr: Canada’s population growth is exploding. Here’s why thehub.ca/2024-04-26/don…
Likely why PMO preferring these outlets!
Polite, indeed. The show’s producer emailed me and my coauthors in advance asking for questions on immigration to pose to the PM. We offered two hard balls. Neither was asked.
When I went to Ottawa during the convoy, I tried to convey that most of the people there were harmless. Well-meaning. Maybe wrong, but not bad. And that within those people, there was a harder, nastier, dangerous element. EXACT SAME THING with protests today.
@mikalskuterud Wulong will be doing a cabe webinar on May 22
@mikalskuterud @Andrew_Griffith To Mikal's point. I think it's fair to say some economists were ahead of the curve on this. Here's a column I wrote almost exactly a year ago on this exact thing. financialpost.com/news/economy/e…
ICYMI: Canada’s economic output on a per capita basis has slipped to 7% below its long-term trend, amounting to a decline of roughly $4,200 a person, according to a report published Wednesday by Statistics Canada. theglobeandmail.com/business/artic…
Here's a direct link to the Rhys Kessleman article on cap gains. Rhys argued for an increase in the inclusion rate above a threshold. His research had impact! Sadly, Rhys passed away a few weeks ago so this will be his last of many CTJ contributions. ctf.ca/common/Uploade…
@EricDLombardi @mikalskuterud Fwiw I think this is conflating two things. 1. In many provinces governments strongly encouraged higher education to rely on international students rather than tax revenue for funding. Higher education has not much blame there, and it’s the biggest part of story.
Important thread. The Feds really let the TFW program get out of control.
🧵 Here's an updated look at how employers are using the Temporary Foreign Worker Program. I thought companies would throttle back their use of TFWP because of rising unemployment, lots of int'l students already in Canada, etc. I was wrong. (1/9)
🧵 Here's an updated look at how employers are using the Temporary Foreign Worker Program. I thought companies would throttle back their use of TFWP because of rising unemployment, lots of int'l students already in Canada, etc. I was wrong. (1/9)
For years, approvals in the low and high-wage streams were largely similar. Then a gap emerges in early 2022. In April of that year, the federal gov't allowed companies to hire a larger % of their staff from the low-wage stream. (6/9)