ken morrison @morrisonmkts
Former Editor Morrison On The Markets, 48 years market-experience (physical and derivatives), Credibility is Everything. st. louis missouri usa Joined October 2010-
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In rare interviews, federal judges criticize Supreme Court's handling of Trump cases nbcnews.com/politics/supre…
Trades reported for OC and NC CFR China. This week is much more active than the past two. It seems the Chinese market realized that soybean auctions will be very limited and Brz is running out of beans – the window is closing. Reports China booked Arg NC for reserves - a signal…
The advantage of PNW vs Brz CFR Asia is eroding (based on FOB replacement). In August it was $15/t, now it’s down to $7/t. USG remains far out of the money. SK buyers keep indicating below $230/t CFR. PNW will likely remain the main origin. #corn
LDC re-delivered 2.9 m.b. Soybeans vs. the U-contract; they had taken delivery and held 3.4 m.b. on the Q-contract.
Corn replacement in Brz is becoming cheaper. Coops are destocking.
Crush margin for old crop remain very poor in China. No real interest in OC. Soybean stocks at ports and crushers – and vegetable oils – hit year highs. Port stocks hit 9 Mi t, a very similar pattern to LY and a new record
BREAKING: Republican Sen. Joni Ernst of Iowa won't seek reelection to Senate in 2026, sources say. cbsn.ws/47CE1c7
Ags in China have a negative week. Today’s bean auction saw good demand - 64.64% of the 161,601 t offered. Avrg price at 3,852 RMB/t. Oct shipment (Brz) calculates at 3,862 RMB/t CFR China, including import tax and VAT. The market is also talking about a broader reserve’s…
Soymeal: All-time record volume Wednesday . Declining open interest on the rally indicates short-covering dominated the $-flow. Managed-$ funds have recently been record net-short soymeal futures & options.
US Soybean Growers Beg Trump for China Trade Deal youtu.be/q3UTnu0AfWo?si… via @YouTube
The U.S. beans balance sheet still looks very uncertain. Timing is everything. Roughly speaking, each week China skips the U.S. could mean 1 Mi t less in its ex-U.S. program. So far, China has covered 65% of Oct and ~10% of Nov. This week, Brazil is the cheaper VS LW.
Q beans expire in a whimper , OI was 4 coming into today and 4 traded. Q/U narrowed about 8-cts since FND. LDC stopped nearly all the 4 m.b. delivered vs. the Q
Sec. Rollins on today's USDA Crop Report: (Shorter Version: Nothing buys global demand for U.S. corn like sub-$4 corn & nobody is getting fired over the Bearish Corn Production forecast)
A government-sanctioned "truth arbiter" will soon arrive at CBS. Their role will be to ensure that journalists do not criticize this Administration or express views that conflict with its agenda. This is a betrayal—not just of journalistic independence, but of the public trust🧵
Export Soybean Sales September forward: Nobody should be surprised U.S. has sold no soybeans to China . The biggest concern is, at 3.6 mmt to-date all destinations, it's the lowest to-date U.S. sales in over 15 years.
Export Corn Sales September Forward: At 11.8 mmt to date, it's the best since 2021. But the most impressive part is it's all non-China destinations. The closest non-China sales to date the past 15 years is 7.9 mmt (2016).
Ag Trade to China: No Open Unshipped Sales to China: ** Corn ** Soybeans ** Sorghum: ** Cotton = No Trade Deal

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