sam manning @sj_manning
Penelope, Otis, and Annie's dad. Senior Research Fellow @GovAI_, Non-Resident Fellow @JoinFAI. Economic and labor impacts of advanced AI. sam-manning.com Newbury, MA Joined February 2010-
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Excited to add a 3rd Sam to FAI's staff page
Cool time to share I've joined @JoinFAI as a non-resident fellow. And to say that I've never been to a rave nor am I libertarian. I do care about understanding AI's labor impacts and defining a progress-oriented policy vision for AIxlabor, which I'll be working on w/ the team.
Cool time to share I've joined @JoinFAI as a non-resident fellow. And to say that I've never been to a rave nor am I libertarian. I do care about understanding AI's labor impacts and defining a progress-oriented policy vision for AIxlabor, which I'll be working on w/ the team.
Despite poor jobs numbers and recent research showing that AI may be negatively impacting employment of young workers in some sectors, I think the effect of AI on job creation has been overwhelmingly positive to date. When thinking about the state of the US economy, worth…
People are going to start blaming stuff like this on ai if it continues, regardless of whether it’s true (Just like people are blaming ai for rising electricity prices, which any savvy observer of the us grid knows have been baked in for years before ai data center demand)
We've updated a paper on the 3-year, $1000/month U.S. guaranteed income study. New results, in 3 figures: 🧵 1) Subjective well-being significantly improved in the treatment group in year 1, but there were no sig differences between the treatment & control group after that. 1/
Mantic is out of stealth today! I'm incredibly excited for the technical progress we are making on AI forecasting.
Mantic is out of stealth today! I'm incredibly excited for the technical progress we are making on AI forecasting.
This seems like the most serious & most credible attempt to answer a question on many minds - what does AI do to entry-level labor market?
This seems like the most serious & most credible attempt to answer a question on many minds - what does AI do to entry-level labor market?
Rent these chips, it's the best of both worlds.
Rent these chips, it's the best of both worlds. https://t.co/9PMz4LJFcY
Here's some advice I often find myself giving people keen to do AI governance research: - Take trends seriously - Make up your own mind - Get a handle on the technical stuff - Ground yourself in concrete policy choices - Back yourself markusanderljung.com/blog/some-advi…
Interestingly, an economics paper that came out in 2023 predicting which jobs would overlap most with AI turned out to be right. A new Microsoft study of actual AI use by workers (more on that in another post) found a 90% correlation between real world overlap & the predictions.
🚨 New Report: Global Compute & National Security 🛡️ How the US can secure global AI leadership, why maintaining the “compute” advantage matters, and how proactive partnerships can strengthen America’s edge. 🧵1/
Very cool resource on SB 53 by @Miles_M_K - a physics undergrad at Williams who made it in his free time. Check it out!
Very cool resource on SB 53 by @Miles_M_K - a physics undergrad at Williams who made it in his free time. Check it out!
🚀Looking for a Manager or Associate Director to help launch EconTAI at @UVA - a new initiative on the transformative economic implications of advanced AI. Looking for someone passionate about AI & shaping the future. Please apply, RT or tag someone perfect for this role!🎯
New results on the impact of $1000/month of unconditional cash assistance on parenting and children's outcomes.
New results on the impact of $1000/month of unconditional cash assistance on parenting and children's outcomes.
NEW: There’s been a lot of discussion lately about rising graduate unemployment. I dug a little closer and a striking story emerged: Unemployment is climbing among young graduate *men*, but college-educated young women are generally doing okay.
Applications still open to become part of the compute team + other AI policy roles at RAND! The Technology and Security Policy Center (TASP) is likely the largest team of AI strategy experts the world has ever seen. Join us if you want to help us do the hard work!
Applications still open to become part of the compute team + other AI policy roles at RAND! The Technology and Security Policy Center (TASP) is likely the largest team of AI strategy experts the world has ever seen. Join us if you want to help us do the hard work!
Wondering if we should just move all peer review to twitter

Khoa Vu @KhoaVuUmn
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Michael Nielsen @michael_nielsen
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Miles Brundage @Miles_Brundage
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Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs
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Sarah Miller @smilleralert
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Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
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Andrea Matranga 🇺�... @andreamatranga
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University of San Fra... @USF_Economics
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Ryan McWay @RyanMcWay
160 Followers 478 Following Applied Micro | Development | Behavior | Enviornment | Urban
Abhijeet Singh @singhabhi
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Séb Krier @sebkrier
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Ben Grodeck🔸 @benleo_econ
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SheLeadsBoldly @marlys_garcia_3
14 Followers 808 Following I’m always interested in new opportunities and collaborations
Kurt Fren @KurtBach1789
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Maksym Andriushchenko @maksym_andr
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dek1215 @dek121525
28 Followers 444 Following
David “Build Back N... @lorenz_system
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Kim-Mai Cutler @kimmaicutler
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Connacher Murphy @connacher_
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Trooper Sanders @TrooperSanders
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Josh Herritz @jherritz
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GHP @teh_galen
389 Followers 5K Following Mostly a high-volume bookmarking feed created using @python_rt_bot ; RTs and likes necessarily != endorsements
Ben Thomas @Ben_Thomas_o7
139 Followers 738 Following Events @rootsofprogress | but my views | economics, housing, technology, progress, bible | personal tinkering & writing at https://t.co/Dp3f8tisBl
Katz @Katz613
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Amrith Ramkumar @AmrithRamkumar
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Michael Hanegan @mhanegan
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ujval @_ujval
334 Followers 2K Following CS PhD student @ucberkeley based in NY @cornell_tech || @berkeleyRDI @initc3org @ucbrise || security, privacy, tech law, ethics etc || 🦋 https://t.co/hdU1qqg0A3
Alexander C. Kaufman @AlexCKaufman
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kamilė @kamilelukosiute
663 Followers 123 Following integrity, rigor, and a touch of chaos | cyber threat modeling @GovAI_
Marcus Maldonado @MarcusMaldonad0
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Conner Brace @connerbrace
175 Followers 6K Following SVP @BSPfirm I Fmr @SecBrouillette @SecretaryPerry @SteveScalise
Lars Schönander @LarsESchonander
1K Followers 761 Following Software and policy (remotely) in The Swamp at @JoinFAI @TuckSchool Ex Senate Staffer - SBC Former Fellow @congressfellows
Quade MacDonald @qcmacdonald
801 Followers 735 Following space industrialization | fellow @rootsofprogress | non-resident fellow @joinFAI | pax americana
Matthew Eitel @mattheweitel
297 Followers 1K Following Doing my best Leo McGarry impression (and EU-US-China tech stuff) @cepa. Hoosier. ATLien. Usual like/RT/views caveats apply!
Austin Rose @AustinR43417468
108 Followers 2K Following
Ryan Fedasiuk @RyanFedasiuk
15K Followers 8K Following Fellow @AEI. Adjunct Prof @GeorgetownCSS. Fmr @StateDept China House & @CSETGeorgetown. Views my own. 费瑞安.
Emmet Penney @nukebarbarian
6K Followers 1K Following Senior Fellow, Infrastructure and Energy: @joinfai Contributing editor: @compactmag_ @TFASorg Novak Fellow '24 - 25.
ElaineVaughan @fbDgvUQ6w9Af3T
0 Followers 349 Following
Tryn Haney @trynhaney
223 Followers 319 Following strongly against regulatory detritus | ops @JoinFAI
David Cowan @david_cowan
2K Followers 5K Following @TheConReaderSub editor | @JoinFAI fellow | @UniOfBuckingham research fellow | @CamGeopolitics visiting scholar | writing a book with @politybooks
Foundation for Americ... @JoinFAI
14K Followers 59 Following A think tank focused on advancing technology, talent, and ideas that support a better, freer, and more prosperous future.
Oliver Klingefjord �... @klingefjord
589 Followers 472 Following A future that feels great to be alive in @meaningaligned
Troy Perry @tPerry_DC
200 Followers 3K Following Shrimp & grits aficionado| Morehouse & Georgetown alum.
Laurie @lauriereid37
290 Followers 3K Following
Herzensmelodie @GuaYbjJ9ylio8U
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Joe Cole - e/acc @joecole
13K Followers 14K Following Human potential x software x AI. Science maximalist. e/acc x h/acc. Prev founded SaaS for pro sport & olympians.
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BelleFlynn @49rd8UGv0Ar8MT
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64 Followers 496 Following Quite an embarrassing proposition. 25% of Belarusian population @Harvard ‘23.5. Aficionado of espresso-tonics
Tim Bartik @TimBartik
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Swiefon @Swiefon750
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Ethan Mollick @emollick
288K Followers 576 Following Professor @Wharton studying AI, innovation & startups. Democratizing education using tech Book: https://t.co/CSmipbJ2jV Substack: https://t.co/UIBhxu4bgq
Peter Hull @instrumenthull
51K Followers 3K Following Professor @Brown_Economics, studying econometrics, discrimination, education, and healthcare. Editor @AEAjournals, affiliate @nberpubs, scholar @amazon
Noah Smith 🐇 @Noahpinion
359K Followers 2K Following Writes about economics, posts about rabbits. For serious opinions/analysis, read my blog: https://t.co/KfUxUlCYPz
Ben Golub @ben_golub
60K Followers 2K Following econ prof @NorthwesternU social and economic networks from Ukraine past: @Harvard | @Stanford'12 | @Caltech '07
Seema Jayachandran @seema_econ
34K Followers 834 Following Economics professor I no longer post to this account. on Bluesky: https://t.co/01OhXbGrOt
Michael Nielsen @michael_nielsen
110K Followers 6K Following Searching for the numinous 🇦🇺 🇨🇦, currently live in 🇺🇸 Research @AsteraInstitute https://t.co/maezekzRUb https://t.co/2dWwZKrvrn
Miles Brundage @Miles_Brundage
62K Followers 12K Following AI policy researcher, wife guy in training, fan of cute animals and sci-fi, Substack writer, stealth-ish non-profit co-founder
Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs
12K Followers 1K Following Raising kids & bread & grant money. Cleaning data & diapers & fish. EA (bed nets not light cone). Social scientist. https://t.co/g8teKfCf91
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹... @ESYudkowsky
207K Followers 101 Following The original AI alignment person. Missing punctuation at the end of a sentence means it's humor. If you're not sure, it's also very likely humor.
Sarah Miller @smilleralert
8K Followers 871 Following I am off twitter these days. Reach out over email if you need me.
Max Roser @MaxCRoser
277K Followers 1K Following Data to understand global problems and research to make progress against them. Founder of @OurWorldInData / Professor at @UniofOxford's @BlavatnikSchool
Arin Dube @arindube
55K Followers 989 Following Provost Prof. of Economics (UMass Amherst). Inequality, labor market policies, and competition. Book project: The Wage Standard. @nberpubs @MITshapingwork
Chris Blattman @cblatts
102K Followers 4K Following Economist & political scientist @UChicago @HarrisPolicy studying conflict & organized crime. My book is Why We Fight: https://t.co/pwWjDnYzvo
Josh Merfeld @Josh_Merfeld
4K Followers 1K Following Development, labor, and nerdy measurement stuff | Sr. Lecturer, @UQ_News | @iza_bonn | @jpal | insulin addict | dad of an awesome girl
Stefan Schubert @StefanFSchubert
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Gary Marcus @GaryMarcus
191K Followers 7K Following “In the aftermath of GPT-5’s launch … the views of critics like Marcus seem increasingly moderate.” —@newyorker
Andrea Matranga 🇺�... @andreamatranga
10K Followers 6K Following Economic history, GIS, 🇮🇹. University of Torino. Serial agorazeinator. What is necessary is never difficult. Previously: sales associate Taim & Bak
Maksym Andriushchenko @maksym_andr
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Charlie Anderson @EconCharlie
9K Followers 6K Following EVP for Infrastructure at @Arnold_Ventures Formerly: @WhiteHouse NEC (2x) & DPC; @WHCOVIDResponse; @SenatorBennet; @USTreasury.
Amrith Ramkumar @AmrithRamkumar
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Quade MacDonald @qcmacdonald
801 Followers 735 Following space industrialization | fellow @rootsofprogress | non-resident fellow @joinFAI | pax americana
Lars Schönander @LarsESchonander
1K Followers 761 Following Software and policy (remotely) in The Swamp at @JoinFAI @TuckSchool Ex Senate Staffer - SBC Former Fellow @congressfellows
Ryan Fedasiuk @RyanFedasiuk
15K Followers 8K Following Fellow @AEI. Adjunct Prof @GeorgetownCSS. Fmr @StateDept China House & @CSETGeorgetown. Views my own. 费瑞安.
Emmet Penney @nukebarbarian
6K Followers 1K Following Senior Fellow, Infrastructure and Energy: @joinfai Contributing editor: @compactmag_ @TFASorg Novak Fellow '24 - 25.
Tryn Haney @trynhaney
223 Followers 319 Following strongly against regulatory detritus | ops @JoinFAI
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2K Followers 5K Following @TheConReaderSub editor | @JoinFAI fellow | @UniOfBuckingham research fellow | @CamGeopolitics visiting scholar | writing a book with @politybooks
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Nancy Scola @nancyscola
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219 Followers 157 Following Assistant Professor of Economics - IESE Business School
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156 Followers 129 Following Semi-professionally trying to figure out what a good future would look like
Steven Byrnes @steve47285
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242 Followers 252 Following AI policy. JD. Research fellow at RAND. | Prev Harvard Law School, University of Maryland | Opinions my own.
Rest of World @restofworld
73K Followers 2K Following We're a nonprofit publication covering global technology outside the West. Sign up: https://t.co/peKhy8Rgib
Jerusalem @JerusalemDemsas
43K Followers 1K Following yes, like the city | Editor @TheArgumentMag | she/her
Travis L. Scholten @Travis_Sch
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The Argument @TheArgumentMag
10K Followers 9 Following Join us. We're Libbing Out. Complaints to @JerusalemDemsas
Dimitris Papailiopoul... @DimitrisPapail
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64 Followers 37 Following fellow @JoinFAI // AI, energy, and BTM to make it happen ⚡️🦾
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Julia Pollak @juliaonjobs
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Casey Handmer @CJHandmer
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Luke Hogg @LEHogg
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Ara Kharazian @arakharazian
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Peter Harrell @petereharrell
5K Followers 576 Following Non-Resident Fellow, Carnegie Endowment. Attorney. Host, “Security Economics” podcast. Posts mostly on international economics. Opinions my own.
Sydnee Caldwell @SydneeCaldwell
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Simon Grimm @Simon__Grimm
922 Followers 598 Following Looking for new pathogens | https://t.co/ynTlbD9JmS
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435 Followers 994 Following non-resident fellow @joinFAI editor @ oxford emerging threats journal
Iskandar Haykel @i_haykel
75 Followers 397 Following AI Policy Researcher @americans4ri Retweets, endorsements, and opinions are my own.
Kevin Feng @kjfeng_
594 Followers 454 Following PhD student @hcdeUW @SocFuturesLab; summer fellow @GovAI_; social computing & human-AI interaction; prev @allen_ai @MSFTResearch @PrincetonCITP @PrincetonCS