Tim McDade @trmcdade
PhD @DukePoliSci, Math and Chinese @williamandmary. @Microsoft alum. trmcdade.github.io Joined June 2009-
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Another reason to worry about current debt burdens in emerging & frontier market countries.
Another reason to worry about current debt burdens in emerging & frontier market countries.
"Some investors have warned that a Russian default could ultimately lead to a global sovereign debt crisis if investors start shunning risk and more countries are locked out of financial markets." [1/3] washingtonpost.com/business/energ…
Thread from @daniel_mcdowell on how financial sanctions against Russia could be tightened.
Thread from @daniel_mcdowell on how financial sanctions against Russia could be tightened.
Central bank reserves are useful, if the central bank is actually able to access them. @senoj_erialc & @jsphctrl explain why that probably won't be the case for many of Russia's.
Central bank reserves are useful, if the central bank is actually able to access them. @senoj_erialc & @jsphctrl explain why that probably won't be the case for many of Russia's. https://t.co/mq6k3LNlTs
Here's why next week will be the most dangerous week I've lived through since November 1983. Its the right thing to do, but with Nucs in play the stakes just got maximally high...
Here's why next week will be the most dangerous week I've lived through since November 1983. Its the right thing to do, but with Nucs in play the stakes just got maximally high...
Re-upping this thread about Cameron Ballard-Rosa, @goodhouses & my sovereign bond currency denomination paper, since it just appeared "in print" (what does that even mean anymore???) cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Re-upping this thread about Cameron Ballard-Rosa, @goodhouses & my sovereign bond currency denomination paper, since it just appeared "in print" (what does that even mean anymore???) cambridge.org/core/journals/…
Political risk and sovereign debt - Ukraine couldn't sell its 1-1.5 year *local currency* bonds last week... @thwillow || "Ukraine’s access to debt markets have hit a bump" wsj.com/articles/ukrai… via @WSJ
Some folks at Brown asked me to given them an overview of the work of @BJMbraun on Asset Manager Capitalism. So I did, throwing in a few of my own extensions, observations, and puts. If you want to know why Blackrock et al rule the world, give me 20 mins: youtube.com/watch?v=dHlEka…
Now online from @cps_journal, and co-authored with @sarahmbrooks & @raphaccunha: "Sovereign Risk and Government Change: Elections, Ideology & Experience." Is the election of left-leaning governments in emerging and frontier markets linked w/ higher sovereign risk premiums?[1/6]
Now online from @cps_journal, and co-authored with @sarahmbrooks & @raphaccunha: "Sovereign Risk and Government Change: Elections, Ideology & Experience." Is the election of left-leaning governments in emerging and frontier markets linked w/ higher sovereign risk premiums?[1/6]
Maybe markets hate left governments in general...but maybe this is about an unexpected margin of victory, OR about uncertainty around a party that's never been in government. (See this paper w/ @raphaccunha & @sarahmbrooks, forthcoming in CPS). scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/…
Maybe markets hate left governments in general...but maybe this is about an unexpected margin of victory, OR about uncertainty around a party that's never been in government. (See this paper w/ @raphaccunha & @sarahmbrooks, forthcoming in CPS). scholar.princeton.edu/sites/default/…
#SovereignDebtForum event starting in 2!
#SovereignDebtForum event starting in 2!
TUNE IN Dec. 1 at 9 AM ET for a discussion on when and how countries should restructure government debt, w/ IMF staff & @GtownLawIIEL. Join @UVALaw's G. Mitu Gulati, Ben Heller, @PrincetonSPIA's Layna Mosley (@thwillow), @AGelpern. 💻Watch it live here: bit.ly/3o6XD0t
The needs of fragile and conflict-affected settings must be included in this week's #WHASS discussions. See five recommendations in my latest with @DukeCPIGH @GYamey and @WHOEMRO @amagole @wasiqk & Richard Brennan: bmj.com/content/375/bm…
The needs of fragile and conflict-affected settings must be included in this week's #WHASS discussions. See five recommendations in my latest with @DukeCPIGH @GYamey and @WHOEMRO @amagole @wasiqk & Richard Brennan: bmj.com/content/375/bm…
Join us on Wednesday!
Interested in sovereign debt? Register to attend this #SovereignDebtForum event on Domestic Debt Restructuring. December 1, 9am EST, including #DebtCon superstars @AGelpern & Mitu Gulati (and many others, including yours truly). georgetown.zoom.us/webinar/regist…
Thanks to @melislaebens @MatthiasDilling & @gcapoccia1 for Zoom-hosting me at @Politics_Oxford today. It's always fun to talk about the politics of sovereign debt and (especially!) to get great suggestions on how to improve the paper (co-authored w/ @trmcdade & @PeterRosendorff).
Thanks to @melislaebens @MatthiasDilling & @gcapoccia1 for Zoom-hosting me at @Politics_Oxford today. It's always fun to talk about the politics of sovereign debt and (especially!) to get great suggestions on how to improve the paper (co-authored w/ @trmcdade & @PeterRosendorff).
This Milley story really doesn’t add up to me. He saw intelligence that others in the administration did not see suggesting Beijing thought the US was going to strike in the South China Sea? Lots more to this I suspect than was revealed today.
On the latest episode of Mitu Gulati & @mweidemaier's Clauses and Controversies podcast, I get to talk about the politics of sovereign debt (and about my @IntOrgJournal article w/ C. Ballard-Rosa and @goodhouses). podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/ep-…
In this @DuckofMinerva post, Ballard-Rosa, @goodhouses & I summarize the findings of our new @IntOrgJournal article (ungated through 9/30) and discuss some broader sovereign debt themes. duckofminerva.com/2021/08/on-the…
THREAD for sovereign debt geeks (and others who care about how governments' financing choices matter for all the other things governments do....): New paper from @goodhouses, @uncpolisci's Cameron Ballard-Rosa & I, at @IntOrgJournal (now #FirstView and ungated all month). [1]
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