Tom Wright @thomaswright08
Senior Fellow @BrookingsFP. contributing writer @TheAtlantic, Formerly Biden NSC, Author of All Measures Short of War, co-author of Aftershocks. Views my own. brookings.edu/experts/thomas… Washington DC Joined June 2008-
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Pentagon leadership poised to deprioritize China.
Pentagon leadership poised to deprioritize China.
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Nvidia going hard after the GAIN AI act that would require it to sell advanced AI chips to US customers before selling to China and other countries of concern. tomshardware.com/pc-components/…
Russia won’t be at it. Hopefully Putin will have to watch Ukraine play.
Russia won’t be at it. Hopefully Putin will have to watch Ukraine play.
Wise counsel on one of the most important strategic decisions facing the United States.
Wise counsel on one of the most important strategic decisions facing the United States.
Important piece by my former colleague @jonfiner
Trump admin’s constraints on Ukrainian long range strikes exceed those of the Biden administration. Will that now change?
Trump admin’s constraints on Ukrainian long range strikes exceed those of the Biden administration. Will that now change?
This is v incomplete. The core Russian demand is the “demilitarization” of Ukraine, which is a means of subjugating it. One gets the sense the administration still doesn’t fully understand what the Russians are saying to them. They need to press them on the demilitarization piece
This is v incomplete. The core Russian demand is the “demilitarization” of Ukraine, which is a means of subjugating it. One gets the sense the administration still doesn’t fully understand what the Russians are saying to them. They need to press them on the demilitarization piece
“The Russians…probably have been surprised by a couple of things. One, that they can’t get the U.S. to understand what they’re asking for, and two, that they can’t get the United States to accept it”— my former colleague Nate Reynolds in the WaPo washingtonpost.com/world/2025/08/…
As we thought.
Tom Wright retweeted
Trump seems optimistic that peace may be close as terms for a security guarantee emerge, @thomaswright08 argues. But “it’s very possible that, far from achieving a breakthrough, the Trump administration simply misread” Russia’s willingness to end the war. theatln.tc/rhVWz8pn
My @TheAtlantic piece from yesterday on the only credible pathway to peace in Ukraine.
My @TheAtlantic piece from yesterday on the only credible pathway to peace in Ukraine.
Security assurances/ guarantees produced in Budapest. What could go wrong?
Security assurances/ guarantees produced in Budapest. What could go wrong?
Tom Wright retweeted
Honestly can't see how this meeting was a "triumph" for Ukraine or Europe (even if baseline was the Feb. 28 disaster.) Trump didn't agree to meaningful US security guarantees, his position on "land swaps" is totally unacceptable to Ukraine, Putin hasn't agreed to terms for a…
Honestly can't see how this meeting was a "triumph" for Ukraine or Europe (even if baseline was the Feb. 28 disaster.) Trump didn't agree to meaningful US security guarantees, his position on "land swaps" is totally unacceptable to Ukraine, Putin hasn't agreed to terms for a…
Concerning. Huge mistake by Trump to be guided by David Sacks and Jensen Huang on this (as I wrote about here theatlantic.com/international/… )
Concerning. Huge mistake by Trump to be guided by David Sacks and Jensen Huang on this (as I wrote about here theatlantic.com/international/… )
Why does Trump now oppose a ceasefire? It is the simplest and clearest part to ending the war. Ukraine and Europe on board. Trump could hold an international conference, invite China and the global south and ask for support for a ceasefire to isolate Russia but instead we have…
Why does Trump now oppose a ceasefire? It is the simplest and clearest part to ending the war. Ukraine and Europe on board. Trump could hold an international conference, invite China and the global south and ask for support for a ceasefire to isolate Russia but instead we have…
Tom Wright retweeted
Europeans with Trump today would do well to understand this from @thomaswright08: "The only credible guarantee for Ukraine in current circumstances is a national one: that the West would help Ukraine build a force capable of defending the country and deterring a future attack."
Europeans with Trump today would do well to understand this from @thomaswright08: "The only credible guarantee for Ukraine in current circumstances is a national one: that the West would help Ukraine build a force capable of defending the country and deterring a future attack."
Tom Wright retweeted
I agree with Tom on this crucial point: "The only credible guarantee for Ukraine in current circumstances is a national one: that the West would help Ukraine build a force capable of defending the country and deterring a future attack."
I agree with Tom on this crucial point: "The only credible guarantee for Ukraine in current circumstances is a national one: that the West would help Ukraine build a force capable of defending the country and deterring a future attack."
Tom Wright retweeted
If we talk about "security guarantees", let's talk about security guarantees, not about something else. Here is what "security guarantee" means:
If we talk about "security guarantees", let's talk about security guarantees, not about something else. Here is what "security guarantee" means:
After Friday’s summit, the Trump team touted progress on the Russian view of security guarantees but they were almost certainly misreading Putin. My latest in @TheAtlantic theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
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